Michael Kim's two-shot lead after Round 2 at -8 has boosted trader consensus on his Top 20 lock, while mid-pack contenders like Xander Schauffele (-3) and Tony Finau (-2) hold strong implied probabilities around 80-90% based on their elite ball-striking and Copperhead course history. Recent developments include Adam Scott's pre-tournament withdrawal due to injury and calm scoring conditions favoring birdie-makers, with the 36-hole cut safely behind top favorites. Upcoming wind gusts forecast for Rounds 3-4 could widen the leaderboard on the notoriously tough "Snake Pit" finish, rewarding steady irons from veterans like Sam Burns (past winner) over streaky bombers, aligning current pricing with form and venue splits.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedViktor Hovland
71%
Akshay Bhatia
70%
Jacob Bridgeman
70%
Xander Schauffele
70%
Patrick Cantlay
68%
Corey Conners
67%
Matt Fitzpatrick
67%
Ryo Hisatsune
67%
Ben Griffin
66%
Nicolai Hojgaard
65%
Ricky Castillo
63%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
53%
Eric Cole
52%
Pierceson Coody
52%
Patton Kizzire
52%
Mac Meissner
52%
Zach Bauchou
51%
Zac Blair
51%
Chandler Blanchet
51%
Keegan Bradley
51%
Michael Brennan
51%
Blades Brown
51%
Daniel Brown
51%
Brian Campbell
51%
Rafael Campos
51%
Bud Cauley
51%
Davis Chatfield
51%
Luke Clanton
51%
Wyndham Clark
51%
Cam Davis
51%
Ze-Cheng Dou
51%
Nick Dunlap
51%
Austin Eckroat
51%
Tony Finau
51%
Steven Fisk
51%
David Ford
51%
Brice Garnett
51%
Doug Ghim
51%
Lucas Glover
51%
Emiliano Grillo
51%
Adam Hadwin
51%
Garrick Higgo
51%
Kensei Hirata
51%
Lee Hodges
51%
Rico Hoey
51%
Charley Hoffman
51%
Rasmus Hojgaard
51%
Max Homa
51%
Billy Horschel
51%
Beau Hossler
51%
Mark Hubbard
51%
Stephan Jaeger
51%
Takumi Kanaya
51%
Johnny Keefer
51%
Tom Kim
51%
Matt Kuchar
51%
Henry Lebioda
51%
Peter Malnati
51%
Max McGreevy
51%
Taylor Moore
51%
Pontus Nyholm
51%
John Parry
51%
Jeremy Paul
51%
Matthieu Pavon
51%
Taylor Pendrith
51%
Marco Penge
51%
Paul Peterson
51%
Aaron Rai
51%
Chad Ramey
51%
Davis Riley
51%
Patrick Rodgers
51%
Kevin Roy
51%
Isaiah Salinda
51%
Gordon Sargent
51%
Adam Schenk
51%
A.J. Ewart
51%
Joe Highsmith
51%
Sung-Jae Im
51%
Michael Kim
51%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
51%
Matt McCarty
51%
Matthias Schmid
51%
Kristoffer Reitan
50%
Andrew Novak
50%
Marcelo Rozo
50%
Adrien Saddier
50%
Greg Koch
50%
Jeffrey Kang
49%
Brooks Koepka
49%
Thorbjorn Olesen
48%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
45%
Mackenzie Hughes
43%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
42%
Chandler Phillips
42%
Patrick Fishburn
41%
David Lipsky
25%
William Mouw
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Keith Mitchell
2%
Max Greyserman
2%
$362 Vol.
Viktor Hovland
71%
Akshay Bhatia
70%
Jacob Bridgeman
70%
Xander Schauffele
70%
Patrick Cantlay
68%
Corey Conners
67%
Matt Fitzpatrick
67%
Ryo Hisatsune
67%
Ben Griffin
66%
Nicolai Hojgaard
65%
Ricky Castillo
63%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
53%
Eric Cole
52%
Pierceson Coody
52%
Patton Kizzire
52%
Mac Meissner
52%
Zach Bauchou
51%
Zac Blair
51%
Chandler Blanchet
51%
Keegan Bradley
51%
Michael Brennan
51%
Blades Brown
51%
Daniel Brown
51%
Brian Campbell
51%
Rafael Campos
51%
Bud Cauley
51%
Davis Chatfield
51%
Luke Clanton
51%
Wyndham Clark
51%
Cam Davis
51%
Ze-Cheng Dou
51%
Nick Dunlap
51%
Austin Eckroat
51%
Tony Finau
51%
Steven Fisk
51%
David Ford
51%
Brice Garnett
51%
Doug Ghim
51%
Lucas Glover
51%
Emiliano Grillo
51%
Adam Hadwin
51%
Garrick Higgo
51%
Kensei Hirata
51%
Lee Hodges
51%
Rico Hoey
51%
Charley Hoffman
51%
Rasmus Hojgaard
51%
Max Homa
51%
Billy Horschel
51%
Beau Hossler
51%
Mark Hubbard
51%
Stephan Jaeger
51%
Takumi Kanaya
51%
Johnny Keefer
51%
Tom Kim
51%
Matt Kuchar
51%
Henry Lebioda
51%
Peter Malnati
51%
Max McGreevy
51%
Taylor Moore
51%
Pontus Nyholm
51%
John Parry
51%
Jeremy Paul
51%
Matthieu Pavon
51%
Taylor Pendrith
51%
Marco Penge
51%
Paul Peterson
51%
Aaron Rai
51%
Chad Ramey
51%
Davis Riley
51%
Patrick Rodgers
51%
Kevin Roy
51%
Isaiah Salinda
51%
Gordon Sargent
51%
Adam Schenk
51%
A.J. Ewart
51%
Joe Highsmith
51%
Sung-Jae Im
51%
Michael Kim
51%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
51%
Matt McCarty
51%
Matthias Schmid
51%
Kristoffer Reitan
50%
Andrew Novak
50%
Marcelo Rozo
50%
Adrien Saddier
50%
Greg Koch
50%
Jeffrey Kang
49%
Brooks Koepka
49%
Thorbjorn Olesen
48%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
45%
Mackenzie Hughes
43%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
42%
Chandler Phillips
42%
Patrick Fishburn
41%
David Lipsky
25%
William Mouw
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Keith Mitchell
2%
Max Greyserman
2%
Market Opened: Mar 16, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Michael Kim's two-shot lead after Round 2 at -8 has boosted trader consensus on his Top 20 lock, while mid-pack contenders like Xander Schauffele (-3) and Tony Finau (-2) hold strong implied probabilities around 80-90% based on their elite ball-striking and Copperhead course history. Recent developments include Adam Scott's pre-tournament withdrawal due to injury and calm scoring conditions favoring birdie-makers, with the 36-hole cut safely behind top favorites. Upcoming wind gusts forecast for Rounds 3-4 could widen the leaderboard on the notoriously tough "Snake Pit" finish, rewarding steady irons from veterans like Sam Burns (past winner) over streaky bombers, aligning current pricing with form and venue splits.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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