Polymarket | The World’s Largest Prediction Market™

Flights grounded across US after air traffic communications outage

More Than 13,000 Flights Delayed or Canceled in FAA’s Nationwide Groundstop

FAA ground stop triggers widespread travel chaos as teams scramble ahead of games - The Athletic

Nvidia launches investigation into CEO's affair with suspected Chinese spy

Housing protests sweep Madrid and Barcelona after Spain’s workers strike, with clashes erupting

Flights grounded across US after air traffic communications outage

More Than 13,000 Flights Delayed or Canceled in FAA’s Nationwide Groundstop

FAA ground stop triggers widespread travel chaos as teams scramble ahead of games - The Athletic

Nvidia launches investigation into CEO's affair with suspected Chinese spy

Housing protests sweep Madrid and Barcelona after Spain’s workers strike, with clashes erupting

Flights grounded across US after air traffic communications outage

More Than 13,000 Flights Delayed or Canceled in FAA’s Nationwide Groundstop

FAA ground stop triggers widespread travel chaos as teams scramble ahead of games - The Athletic

Nvidia launches investigation into CEO's affair with suspected Chinese spy

Housing protests sweep Madrid and Barcelona after Spain’s workers strike, with clashes erupting

November 15, 12:00 AM ET 96%

November 14, 12:00 PM ET 89%

November 14, 6:00 AM ET 80%

November 14, 2:00 AM ET 65%

$834K Vol

Ends Nov 15, 2026·

FAA outage attributed to Iran?

3% chance

Yes No

Flights halted at airports across US due to air traffic control communications problems

Flights grounded across US after air traffic communications outage

Exclusive | U.S. Aircraft Evacuated From Second U.K. Base Due to Iran Threat

Flights halted at airports across US due to air traffic control communications problems

Flights grounded across US after air traffic communications outage

Exclusive | U.S. Aircraft Evacuated From Second U.K. Base Due to Iran Threat

Flights halted at airports across US due to air traffic control communications problems

Flights grounded across US after air traffic communications outage

Exclusive | U.S. Aircraft Evacuated From Second U.K. Base Due to Iran Threat

$71.6K Vol

Ends Dec 1, 2026·

FAA outage attributed to a foreign actor?

4% chance

Yes No

Belgian ministers at odds over Iran's alleged role in refrigerator cyberattacks

Nvidia and Jensen Huang face shareholder lawsuit alleging investors were misled about spy affair

Fiction: ‘Eisen’ by Guzel Yakhina

Belgian ministers at odds over Iran's alleged role in refrigerator cyberattacks

Nvidia and Jensen Huang face shareholder lawsuit alleging investors were misled about spy affair

Fiction: ‘Eisen’ by Guzel Yakhina

Belgian ministers at odds over Iran's alleged role in refrigerator cyberattacks

Nvidia and Jensen Huang face shareholder lawsuit alleging investors were misled about spy affair

Fiction: ‘Eisen’ by Guzel Yakhina

$39.5K Vol

Ends Dec 1, 2026·

Next CEO of NVIDIA?

Ian Buck

24%

Rene Haas

21%

Colette Kress

10%

Jensen Huang (No Change)

Who Could Replace Jensen Huang as Nvidia’s CEO? Here Are 7 Candidates.

Jensen Huang Resigns, Nvidia Starts Search for Next CEO | What’s News for Nov. 12

Watch With Jensen Huang Gone, Who Will Be Nvidia's Next CEO?

Instant view: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang steps down

Watch Jensen Huang on AI Optimism and Nvidia’s Next CEO

Who Could Replace Jensen Huang as Nvidia’s CEO? Here Are 7 Candidates.

Jensen Huang Resigns, Nvidia Starts Search for Next CEO | What’s News for Nov. 12

Watch With Jensen Huang Gone, Who Will Be Nvidia's Next CEO?

Instant view: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang steps down

Watch Jensen Huang on AI Optimism and Nvidia’s Next CEO

Who Could Replace Jensen Huang as Nvidia’s CEO? Here Are 7 Candidates.

Jensen Huang Resigns, Nvidia Starts Search for Next CEO | What’s News for Nov. 12

Watch With Jensen Huang Gone, Who Will Be Nvidia's Next CEO?

Instant view: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang steps down

Watch Jensen Huang on AI Optimism and Nvidia’s Next CEO

Ian Buck 24%

Rene Haas 21%

Colette Kress 10%

Jensen Huang (No Change) 9%

$2M Vol

Ends Jan 1, 2029·

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase

89%

50+ bps increase

No change

25 bps decrease

<1%

Federal Reserve to Forgo Rate Decision at October 2027 Meeting

Fed officials open door to a quicker round of rate hikes as inflation worsens

Kevin Warsh Is Now Free to Unleash His Inner Hawk

US Treasury Futures Retreat as Markets See More Fed Hikes

Fewer Fed Meetings Raise Stakes of Warsh’s Communications

Federal Reserve to Forgo Rate Decision at October 2027 Meeting

Fed officials open door to a quicker round of rate hikes as inflation worsens

Kevin Warsh Is Now Free to Unleash His Inner Hawk

US Treasury Futures Retreat as Markets See More Fed Hikes

Fewer Fed Meetings Raise Stakes of Warsh’s Communications

Federal Reserve to Forgo Rate Decision at October 2027 Meeting

Fed officials open door to a quicker round of rate hikes as inflation worsens

Kevin Warsh Is Now Free to Unleash His Inner Hawk

US Treasury Futures Retreat as Markets See More Fed Hikes

Fewer Fed Meetings Raise Stakes of Warsh’s Communications

25 bps increase 89%

50+ bps increase 8%

No change 3%

25 bps decrease <1%

$33M Vol

Monthly

Jensen Huang divorce by...?

March 31, 2027

December 31, 2026

Jensen Huang’s Resignation From Nvidia Could Complicate Billions in Philanthropic Giving

Silicon Valley’s Group Chats Are Having a Moment of Jensanity

Alice Huang: Who is suspected Chinese spy in Nvidia investigation?

Opinion | For Those Who Can’t Afford Legal Help, AI Offers Access

Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton has finalized his divorce, lawyer says, ending long marriage

Jensen Huang’s Resignation From Nvidia Could Complicate Billions in Philanthropic Giving

Silicon Valley’s Group Chats Are Having a Moment of Jensanity

Alice Huang: Who is suspected Chinese spy in Nvidia investigation?

Opinion | For Those Who Can’t Afford Legal Help, AI Offers Access

Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton has finalized his divorce, lawyer says, ending long marriage

Jensen Huang’s Resignation From Nvidia Could Complicate Billions in Philanthropic Giving

Silicon Valley’s Group Chats Are Having a Moment of Jensanity

Alice Huang: Who is suspected Chinese spy in Nvidia investigation?

Opinion | For Those Who Can’t Afford Legal Help, AI Offers Access

Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton has finalized his divorce, lawyer says, ending long marriage

March 31, 2027 35%

December 31, 2026 19%

$927K Vol

Ends Apr 1, 2027·

Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by...?

December 31

November 20

November 13

Nvidia stood behind Jensen Huang. Now comes the reckoning.

Jensen Huang Resigns as Nvidia CEO After Affairs: Live Updates

Nvidia faces deepening scrutiny over China chip ties, CEO affair

Nvidia Scandal Creates Risk for Entire AI Industry, Not Just CEO

Who is Alice Huang? The woman at the center of Nvidia’s scandal remains elusive

Nvidia stood behind Jensen Huang. Now comes the reckoning.

Jensen Huang Resigns as Nvidia CEO After Affairs: Live Updates

Nvidia faces deepening scrutiny over China chip ties, CEO affair

Nvidia Scandal Creates Risk for Entire AI Industry, Not Just CEO

Who is Alice Huang? The woman at the center of Nvidia’s scandal remains elusive

Nvidia stood behind Jensen Huang. Now comes the reckoning.

Jensen Huang Resigns as Nvidia CEO After Affairs: Live Updates

Nvidia faces deepening scrutiny over China chip ties, CEO affair

Nvidia Scandal Creates Risk for Entire AI Industry, Not Just CEO

Who is Alice Huang? The woman at the center of Nvidia’s scandal remains elusive

December 31 47%

November 20 27%

November 13 2%

$266K Vol

Ends Jan 1, 2027·

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by...?

December 31

November 30

November 13

White House discussing Howard Lutnick's future as Commerce secretary, people familiar say

Howard Lutnick Took Softer Line on Nvidia as Calls for Tougher Controls Grew

Trump Backs Lutnick Despite Uproar Over Nvidia Chip Controls

Lutnick Fights for His Job as Trump Aides Blame Him for Nvidia Fallout

Opinion | The Nvidia scandal is about more than sex and spies

White House discussing Howard Lutnick's future as Commerce secretary, people familiar say

Howard Lutnick Took Softer Line on Nvidia as Calls for Tougher Controls Grew

Trump Backs Lutnick Despite Uproar Over Nvidia Chip Controls

Lutnick Fights for His Job as Trump Aides Blame Him for Nvidia Fallout

Opinion | The Nvidia scandal is about more than sex and spies

White House discussing Howard Lutnick's future as Commerce secretary, people familiar say

Howard Lutnick Took Softer Line on Nvidia as Calls for Tougher Controls Grew

Trump Backs Lutnick Despite Uproar Over Nvidia Chip Controls

Lutnick Fights for His Job as Trump Aides Blame Him for Nvidia Fallout

Opinion | The Nvidia scandal is about more than sex and spies

December 31 48%

November 30 26%

November 13 1%

$169K Vol

Ends Jan 1, 2027·

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$1.25–$1.5T

<$1.25T

$1.5–$1.75T

$1.75–$2.0T

EXCLUSIVE: Anthropic eyes $1.4 trillion IPO valuation in test of Wall Street's AI fervor

AI Doubts Collide With Anthropic’s Mega IPO

Tech’s Biggest Companies Will See a Giant Payday From Anthropic’s I.P.O.

Anthropic IPO Share Orders From China Are Said to Be Rebuffed

U.S. Stocks Decline as Nvidia Shares Slide Again

EXCLUSIVE: Anthropic eyes $1.4 trillion IPO valuation in test of Wall Street's AI fervor

AI Doubts Collide With Anthropic’s Mega IPO

Tech’s Biggest Companies Will See a Giant Payday From Anthropic’s I.P.O.

Anthropic IPO Share Orders From China Are Said to Be Rebuffed

U.S. Stocks Decline as Nvidia Shares Slide Again

EXCLUSIVE: Anthropic eyes $1.4 trillion IPO valuation in test of Wall Street's AI fervor

AI Doubts Collide With Anthropic’s Mega IPO

Tech’s Biggest Companies Will See a Giant Payday From Anthropic’s I.P.O.

Anthropic IPO Share Orders From China Are Said to Be Rebuffed

U.S. Stocks Decline as Nvidia Shares Slide Again

$1.25–$1.5T 45%

<$1.25T 22%

$1.5–$1.75T 17%

$1.75–$2.0T 11%

$7M Vol

Ends Jan 1, 2028·

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot

63%

Benjamin Netanyahu

21%

Avigdor Lieberman

Naftali Bennett

Israel's parliament sworn in as Eisenkot tries to forge a government

Who Is Gadi Eisenkot, the Israeli Tasked With Forming a Government?

Eisenkot unveils agenda to reverse Netanyahu’s policies as Israel's new parliament is sworn in

Netanyahu and Eisenkot Clash Over Whether Israel Should Strike Iran Again

Ex-military chief Gadi Eisenkot, opponent of Netanyahu, tapped to form government

Israel's parliament sworn in as Eisenkot tries to forge a government

Who Is Gadi Eisenkot, the Israeli Tasked With Forming a Government?

Eisenkot unveils agenda to reverse Netanyahu’s policies as Israel's new parliament is sworn in

Netanyahu and Eisenkot Clash Over Whether Israel Should Strike Iran Again

Ex-military chief Gadi Eisenkot, opponent of Netanyahu, tapped to form government

Israel's parliament sworn in as Eisenkot tries to forge a government

Who Is Gadi Eisenkot, the Israeli Tasked With Forming a Government?

Eisenkot unveils agenda to reverse Netanyahu’s policies as Israel's new parliament is sworn in

Netanyahu and Eisenkot Clash Over Whether Israel Should Strike Iran Again

Ex-military chief Gadi Eisenkot, opponent of Netanyahu, tapped to form government

Gadi Eizenkot 63%

Benjamin Netanyahu 21%

Avigdor Lieberman 5%

Naftali Bennett 3%

$92M Vol

Ends Oct 28, 2026·

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Jon Ossoff

17%

JD Vance

13%

Marco Rubio

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Vance, Rubio, Ossoff and Buttigieg lead 2028 White House hopefuls, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds

The New Stars and Presidential Hopefuls Shaking Up Democrats’ 2028 Field

JD Vance still likely to run for president as GOP rivals circle

Progressives Launch ‘Ready for AOC,’ as 2028 Jockeying Heats Up

The Trump coalition is shattered - what will Republicans do now?

Vance, Rubio, Ossoff and Buttigieg lead 2028 White House hopefuls, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds

The New Stars and Presidential Hopefuls Shaking Up Democrats’ 2028 Field

JD Vance still likely to run for president as GOP rivals circle

Progressives Launch ‘Ready for AOC,’ as 2028 Jockeying Heats Up

The Trump coalition is shattered - what will Republicans do now?

Vance, Rubio, Ossoff and Buttigieg lead 2028 White House hopefuls, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds

The New Stars and Presidential Hopefuls Shaking Up Democrats’ 2028 Field

JD Vance still likely to run for president as GOP rivals circle

Progressives Launch ‘Ready for AOC,’ as 2028 Jockeying Heats Up

The Trump coalition is shattered - what will Republicans do now?

Jon Ossoff 17%

JD Vance 13%

Marco Rubio 9%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 9%

$742M Vol

Ends Nov 8, 2028·

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

December 31, 2027

June 30, 2027

February 28, 2027

January 31, 2027

SpaceX and Tesla Talks on Record Merger Are Said to Progress

Watch The $150 Billion Catch in US Shipbuilding

US handled $12 billion of Venezuela's oil revenues, report says

SpaceX and Tesla Talks on Record Merger Are Said to Progress

Watch The $150 Billion Catch in US Shipbuilding

US handled $12 billion of Venezuela's oil revenues, report says

SpaceX and Tesla Talks on Record Merger Are Said to Progress

Watch The $150 Billion Catch in US Shipbuilding

US handled $12 billion of Venezuela's oil revenues, report says

December 31, 2027 82%

June 30, 2027 76%

February 28, 2027 59%

January 31, 2027 45%

$2M Vol

Ends Jan 1, 2028·

Bitcoin Up or Down

November 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down

November 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Up1.98x Down2.02x

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

It-aint-much

I refreshed like 500 times today :D

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

It-aint-much

I refreshed like 500 times today :D

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

It-aint-much

I refreshed like 500 times today :D

$13M Vol

Live

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Chuck Schumer

86%

Chris Van Hollen

13%

Brian Schatz

Tom Cotton

<1%

Maryland Democrat Chris Van Hollen to Challenge Chuck Schumer for Senate Majority Leader

House Republicans elect Jim Jordan to serve as minority leader next year

Thune, Jordan emerge as Republican minority leaders for next US Congress

Schumer, Once Besieged, Is on Track to Remain Leader After Election Blowout

Chris Van Hollen to challenge Chuck Schumer for Senate leadership

Maryland Democrat Chris Van Hollen to Challenge Chuck Schumer for Senate Majority Leader

House Republicans elect Jim Jordan to serve as minority leader next year

Thune, Jordan emerge as Republican minority leaders for next US Congress

Schumer, Once Besieged, Is on Track to Remain Leader After Election Blowout

Chris Van Hollen to challenge Chuck Schumer for Senate leadership

Maryland Democrat Chris Van Hollen to Challenge Chuck Schumer for Senate Majority Leader

House Republicans elect Jim Jordan to serve as minority leader next year

Thune, Jordan emerge as Republican minority leaders for next US Congress

Schumer, Once Besieged, Is on Track to Remain Leader After Election Blowout

Chris Van Hollen to challenge Chuck Schumer for Senate leadership

Chuck Schumer 86%

Chris Van Hollen 13%

Brian Schatz 2%

Tom Cotton <1%

$1M Vol

Ends Nov 4, 2026·

All markets

Nationwide ground stop lifted by...?

November 15, 12:00 AM ET

95%

Yes95%No5%

November 14, 12:00 PM ET

88%

Yes88%No13%

November 15, 12:00 AM ET

95%

Yes95%No5%

November 14, 12:00 PM ET

88%

Yes88%No13%

NEW

$834K Vol.

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

77%

Down

Live

FAA outage attributed to Iran?

chance

Yes

NEW

$72K Vol.

Knicks

73%

Pacers

28%

Knicks

Pacers

$916K Vol.

·NBA

Grizzlies

61%

Pelicans

40%

Grizzlies

Pelicans

$819K Vol.

·NBA

Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns

50%

UNCW Seahawks

51%

Louisiana-Lafayette

UNCW

$2M Vol.

·College Basketball

FURIA

52%

Team Falcons

49%

FURIA

Team

$193K Vol.

·CS2

$500K rewards

LoL Worlds
Odds & Predictions

ANTAnthropic Pre-IPO

$1,784.3-1.72%10xPerps

FAA outage attributed to a foreign actor?

chance

Yes

NEW

$40K Vol.

Next CEO of NVIDIA?

Ian Buck

24%

Yes24%No77%

Rene Haas

21%

Ian Buck

24%

Yes24%No77%

Rene Haas

21%

$2M Vol.

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase

89%

Yes89%No12%

50+ bps increase

Yes8%No92%

25 bps increase

89%

Yes89%No12%

50+ bps increase

Yes8%No92%

$33M Vol.

Monthly

Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by...?

December 31

47%

Yes47%No54%

November 20

27%

Yes27%No74%

December 31

47%

Yes47%No54%

November 20

27%

Yes27%No74%

NEW

$266K Vol.

Jensen Huang divorce by...?

March 31, 2027

35%

Yes35%No66%

December 31, 2026

18%

Yes18%No83%

March 31, 2027

35%

Yes35%No66%

December 31, 2026

18%

Yes18%No83%

$927K Vol.

Jensen Huang rejoins NVIDIA by...?

December 31, 2027

31%

Yes31%No70%

December 31, 2026

11%

Yes11%No89%

December 31, 2027

31%

Yes31%No70%

December 31, 2026

11%

Yes11%No89%

NEW

$299K Vol.

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by...?

December 31

50%

Yes50%No51%

November 30

26%

December 31

50%

Yes50%No51%

November 30

26%

$169K Vol.

Anthropic IPO by __?

December 31, 2026

98%

Yes98%No2%

December 15, 2026

97%

December 31, 2026

98%

Yes98%No2%

December 15, 2026

97%

$8M Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$1.25–$1.5T

45%

Yes45%No55%

<$1.25T

22%

Yes22%No78%

$1.25–$1.5T

45%

Yes45%No55%

<$1.25T

22%

Yes22%No78%

$7M Vol.

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?

November 30, 2026

100%

November 15, 2026

100%

November 30, 2026

100%

November 15, 2026

100%

$166K Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Jon Ossoff

17%

Yes17%No83%

JD Vance

13%

Jon Ossoff

17%

Yes17%No83%

JD Vance

13%

$742M Vol.

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

December 31, 2027

82%

Yes82%No19%

June 30, 2027

76%

December 31, 2027

82%

Yes82%No19%

June 30, 2027

76%

$2M Vol.

Ljubljana Mayoral Election Winner

Zoran Janković

76%

Luka Mesec

21%

Zoran Janković

76%

Luka Mesec

21%

$570K Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot

63%

Yes63%No37%

Benjamin Netanyahu

21%

Gadi Eizenkot

63%

Yes63%No37%

Benjamin Netanyahu

21%

$92M Vol.

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Chuck Schumer

86%

Yes86%No15%

Chris Van Hollen

13%

Chuck Schumer

86%

Yes86%No15%

Chris Van Hollen

13%

$1M Vol.

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Howard Lutnick

43%

Yes43%No57%

David Sacks

16%

Yes16%No84%

Howard Lutnick

43%

Yes43%No57%

David Sacks

16%

Yes16%No84%

$3M Vol.

Monthly

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Ulf Kristersson

53%

Yes53%No47%

Magdalena Andersson

46%

Yes46%No54%

Ulf Kristersson

53%

Yes53%No47%

Magdalena Andersson

46%

Yes46%No54%

$12M Vol.

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

18%

chance

Yes

$3M Vol.

Will Trump be impeached by...?

December 31, 2027

54%

Yes54%No46%

June 30, 2027

39%

Yes39%No62%

December 31, 2027

54%

Yes54%No46%

June 30, 2027

39%

Yes39%No62%

$1M Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Jon Ossoff

26%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

15%

Yes15%No85%

Jon Ossoff

26%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

15%

Yes15%No85%

$1B Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

32%

Yes32%No68%

Marco Rubio

18%

J.D. Vance

32%

Yes32%No68%

Marco Rubio

18%

$737M Vol.

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

December 31

83%

Yes83%No18%

November 30

66%

Yes66%No35%

December 31

83%

Yes83%No18%

November 30

66%

Yes66%No35%

$1M Vol.

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

November 13

99%

Yes99%No<1%

November 15

97%

November 13

99%

Yes99%No<1%

November 15

97%

$54M Vol.

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 31

59%

Yes59%No42%

December 31

23%

Yes23%No77%

March 31

59%

Yes59%No42%

December 31

23%

Yes23%No77%

$53M Vol.

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen

47%

Yes47%No53%

David Lisnard

18%

Marine Le Pen

47%

Yes47%No53%

David Lisnard

18%