Fed decision in December?

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

46%

No change

52%

25+ bps increase

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

46%

No change

52%

25+ bps increase

$103m Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Philadelphia

14%

Los Angeles R

12%

Buffalo

10%

Detroit

Kansas City

Philadelphia

14%

Los Angeles R

12%

Buffalo

10%

Detroit

Kansas City

$538m Vol.

Chile Presidential Election

José Antonio Kast

96%

Jeannette Jara

Francesca Muñoz

<1%

Jaime Mulet

<1%

Carolina Tohá

<1%

José Antonio Kast

96%

Jeannette Jara

Francesca Muñoz

<1%

Jaime Mulet

<1%

Carolina Tohá

<1%

$71m Vol.

Maduro out by...?

November 30, 2025

December 31, 2025

14%

March 31, 2026

36%

November 30, 2025

December 31, 2025

14%

March 31, 2026

36%

$10m Vol.

House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?

98%

chance

$712k Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets November 11 - November 18, 2025?

240-259

260-279

31%

280-299

34%

300-319

17%

320-339

240-259

260-279

31%

280-299

34%

300-319

17%

320-339

$10m Vol.

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?

30%

chance

$69k Vol.

Chile Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Jeannette Jara

100%

Jaime Mulet

<1%

Carolina Tohá

<1%

Gonzalo Winter

<1%

Eduardo Artés

<1%

Jeannette Jara

100%

Jaime Mulet

<1%

Carolina Tohá

<1%

Gonzalo Winter

<1%

Eduardo Artés

<1%

$4m Vol.

Who will Trump talk to in November?

Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman

100%

Keir Starmer

46%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

44%

Narendra Modi

38%

Zohran Mamdani

22%

Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman

100%

Keir Starmer

46%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

44%

Narendra Modi

38%

Zohran Mamdani

22%

$751k Vol.

Gemini 3.0 released by...?

November 22

89%

November 30

94%

December 31

99%

November 22

89%

November 30

94%

December 31

99%

$14m Vol.

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

24%

chance

$1m Vol.

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files?

Stephen Hawking

21%

Joe Biden

17%

Jay-Z

15%

Barack Obama

14%

Michael Jackson

14%

Stephen Hawking

21%

Joe Biden

17%

Jay-Z

15%

Barack Obama

14%

Michael Jackson

14%

$521k Vol.

Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?

chance

$1m Vol.

Time 2025 Person of the Year

Artificial Intelligence

36%

Pope Leo XIV

16%

Donald Trump

Zohran Mamdani

Elon Musk

Artificial Intelligence

36%

Pope Leo XIV

16%

Donald Trump

Zohran Mamdani

Elon Musk

$5m Vol.

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

14%

chance

$3m Vol.

Which company has best AI model end of 2025?

Google

86%

Anthropic

OpenAI

xAI

Alibaba

Google

86%

Anthropic

OpenAI

xAI

Alibaba

$8m Vol.

What day will Gemini 3.0 be released?

November 18

77%

November 19

November 20

November 25

November 30+

November 18

77%

November 19

November 20

November 25

November 30+

$2m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

chance

$27m Vol.

Largest Company end of November?

NVIDIA

97%

Apple

Alphabet

<1%

Microsoft

<1%

Tesla

<1%

NVIDIA

97%

Apple

Alphabet

<1%

Microsoft

<1%

Tesla

<1%

$10m Vol.

Largest Company end of 2025?

NVIDIA

90%

Apple

Microsoft

Alphabet

Saudi Aramco

<1%

NVIDIA

90%

Apple

Microsoft

Alphabet

Saudi Aramco

<1%

$33m Vol.

What price will Ethereum hit in November?

↑ 4,000

12%

↓ 3,000

68%

↓ 2,800

34%

↓ 2,600

18%

↓ 2,400

↑ 4,000

12%

↓ 3,000

68%

↓ 2,800

34%

↓ 2,600

18%

↓ 2,400

$14m Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?

↑ 130,000

10%

↑ 120,000

19%

↓ 90,000

65%

↓ 80,000

24%

↓ 70,000

12%

↑ 130,000

10%

↑ 120,000

19%

↓ 90,000

65%

↓ 80,000

24%

↓ 70,000

12%

$57m Vol.

La Liga Winner

Real Madrid

60%

Barcelona

31%

Atletico Madrid

Villarreal

<1%

Celta Vigo

<1%

Real Madrid

60%

Barcelona

31%

Atletico Madrid

Villarreal

<1%

Celta Vigo

<1%

$26m Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

56%

Marco Rubio

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Donald Trump

Tucker Carlson

J.D. Vance

56%

Marco Rubio

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Donald Trump

Tucker Carlson

$91m Vol.

English Premier League Winner

Arsenal

55%

Man City

30%

Liverpool

Chelsea

Man United

Arsenal

55%

Man City

30%

Liverpool

Chelsea

Man United

$102m Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in November?

↑ 115,000

↓ 90,000

45%

↓ 85,000

18%

↓ 80,000

↓ 75,000

↑ 115,000

↓ 90,000

45%

↓ 85,000

18%

↓ 80,000

↓ 75,000

$28m Vol.

Bitcoin above ___ on November 17?

96,000

37%

98,000

100,000

102,000

<1%

104,000

<1%

96,000

37%

98,000

100,000

102,000

<1%

104,000

<1%

$1m Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom

37%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

12%

Pete Buttigieg

Kamala Harris

Jon Ossoff

Gavin Newsom

37%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

12%

Pete Buttigieg

Kamala Harris

Jon Ossoff

$307m Vol.

2026 NBA Champion

Oklahoma City Thunder

33%

Denver Nuggets

13%

Cleveland Cavaliers

Houston Rockets

New York Knicks

Oklahoma City Thunder

33%

Denver Nuggets

13%

Cleveland Cavaliers

Houston Rockets

New York Knicks

$50m Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

29%

Gavin Newsom

19%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Donald Trump

Marco Rubio

JD Vance

29%

Gavin Newsom

19%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Donald Trump

Marco Rubio

$122m Vol.

UEFA Champions League Winner

Bayern Munich

17%

Arsenal

16%

PSG

11%

Real Madrid

11%

Man City

10%

Bayern Munich

17%

Arsenal

16%

PSG

11%

Real Madrid

11%

Man City

10%

$76m Vol.

•

•

•

•