Polymarket | The World’s Largest Prediction Market™

Solid Jobs Report Leaves Inflation, Markets to Settle Fed’s December Call

Kevin Warsh Is Now Free to Unleash His Inner Hawk

Fed's Waller plans to support at least a quarter-point rate hike in December

Bloomberg

Fed’s Daly Says More Rate Hikes Likely Needed to Tame Prices

Federal worker named on ‘DEI Watchlist’ files wrongful firing lawsuit

Solid Jobs Report Leaves Inflation, Markets to Settle Fed’s December Call

Kevin Warsh Is Now Free to Unleash His Inner Hawk

Fed's Waller plans to support at least a quarter-point rate hike in December

Bloomberg

Fed’s Daly Says More Rate Hikes Likely Needed to Tame Prices

Federal worker named on ‘DEI Watchlist’ files wrongful firing lawsuit

Solid Jobs Report Leaves Inflation, Markets to Settle Fed’s December Call

Kevin Warsh Is Now Free to Unleash His Inner Hawk

Fed's Waller plans to support at least a quarter-point rate hike in December

Bloomberg

Fed’s Daly Says More Rate Hikes Likely Needed to Tame Prices

Federal worker named on ‘DEI Watchlist’ files wrongful firing lawsuit

25 bps increase 86%

50+ bps increase 11%

No change 4%

25 bps decrease <1%

$25M Vol

Monthly

Western Michigan vs. Akron

Sports·Football·College Football

Western Michigan vs. Akron

Sports·Football·College Football

Spread

Total

Spread

Total

12:00 AMNovember 11

$284K Vol

Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by...?

December 31, 2027

March 31, 2027

December 31, 2026

Hegseth Mounts Aggressive Campaign to Fight Pending Impeachment

Paraguay Senate votes to impeach President Peña

Judge wants former US attorney to investigate whether the government misled her in Trump golf case

HP Appoints Emma Walmsley as CEO, Concluding Executive Search

Hegseth Mounts Aggressive Campaign to Fight Pending Impeachment

Paraguay Senate votes to impeach President Peña

Judge wants former US attorney to investigate whether the government misled her in Trump golf case

HP Appoints Emma Walmsley as CEO, Concluding Executive Search

Hegseth Mounts Aggressive Campaign to Fight Pending Impeachment

Paraguay Senate votes to impeach President Peña

Judge wants former US attorney to investigate whether the government misled her in Trump golf case

HP Appoints Emma Walmsley as CEO, Concluding Executive Search

December 31, 2027 38%

March 31, 2027 24%

December 31, 2026 17%

$809K Vol

Ends Apr 1, 2027·

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Howard Lutnick

Pete Hegseth

Kash Patel

Kristi Noem

Rubio Weighs Leaving Administration After GOP’s Midterm Loss

Rubio Dismisses Reports He Will Leave His Jobs to Run for President

Susie Wiles’s exit adds to list of women leaving top roles in Trump administration

Stephen Miller replaces Susie Wiles as Trump's White House chief of staff after GOP's midterm defeat

Trump makes hardliner Stephen Miller his chief of staff after midterm defeat

Rubio Weighs Leaving Administration After GOP’s Midterm Loss

Rubio Dismisses Reports He Will Leave His Jobs to Run for President

Susie Wiles’s exit adds to list of women leaving top roles in Trump administration

Stephen Miller replaces Susie Wiles as Trump's White House chief of staff after GOP's midterm defeat

Trump makes hardliner Stephen Miller his chief of staff after midterm defeat

Rubio Weighs Leaving Administration After GOP’s Midterm Loss

Rubio Dismisses Reports He Will Leave His Jobs to Run for President

Susie Wiles’s exit adds to list of women leaving top roles in Trump administration

Stephen Miller replaces Susie Wiles as Trump's White House chief of staff after GOP's midterm defeat

Trump makes hardliner Stephen Miller his chief of staff after midterm defeat

Howard Lutnick 27%

Pete Hegseth 23%

Kash Patel 20%

Kristi Noem 17%

$2M Vol

Monthly

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot

60%

Benjamin Netanyahu

25%

Avigdor Lieberman

Naftali Bennett

Israeli president picks Gadi Eisenkot, Netanyahu rival, to try to form government

How Israel’s Next Prime Minister Will Be Determined

Eisenkot Seeks to Oust Netanyahu as Prime Minister. Here’s How.

Israel’s president gives Eisenkot the first chance to form the next government

Ex-military chief Gadi Eisenkot, opponent of Netanyahu, tapped to form government

Israeli president picks Gadi Eisenkot, Netanyahu rival, to try to form government

How Israel’s Next Prime Minister Will Be Determined

Eisenkot Seeks to Oust Netanyahu as Prime Minister. Here’s How.

Israel’s president gives Eisenkot the first chance to form the next government

Ex-military chief Gadi Eisenkot, opponent of Netanyahu, tapped to form government

Israeli president picks Gadi Eisenkot, Netanyahu rival, to try to form government

How Israel’s Next Prime Minister Will Be Determined

Eisenkot Seeks to Oust Netanyahu as Prime Minister. Here’s How.

Israel’s president gives Eisenkot the first chance to form the next government

Ex-military chief Gadi Eisenkot, opponent of Netanyahu, tapped to form government

Gadi Eizenkot 60%

Benjamin Netanyahu 25%

Avigdor Lieberman 4%

Naftali Bennett 3%

$91M Vol

Ends Oct 28, 2026·

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

17%

Jon Ossoff

17%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

11%

Marco Rubio

Four things we learned from midterms about 2028 White House race

The 2028 Election Map Just Broke Wide Open

2028 Republican Presidential Primary: Latest Polls

After midterm blowout, potential GOP 2028 candidates have some critiques

Midterms over, Democrats plunge into wide-open 2028 presidential race

Four things we learned from midterms about 2028 White House race

The 2028 Election Map Just Broke Wide Open

2028 Republican Presidential Primary: Latest Polls

After midterm blowout, potential GOP 2028 candidates have some critiques

Midterms over, Democrats plunge into wide-open 2028 presidential race

Four things we learned from midterms about 2028 White House race

The 2028 Election Map Just Broke Wide Open

2028 Republican Presidential Primary: Latest Polls

After midterm blowout, potential GOP 2028 candidates have some critiques

Midterms over, Democrats plunge into wide-open 2028 presidential race

JD Vance 17%

Jon Ossoff 17%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 11%

Marco Rubio 9%

$738M Vol

Ends Nov 8, 2028·

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

June 30, 2027

March 31, 2027

December 31, 2026

Explainer: How would impeaching Pentagon chief Hegseth work?

Hegseth Rejects Impeachment ‘Slander’ as House Nears Preliminary Vote

How Impeaching Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth Would Work

Republican Thomas Massie will force impeachment vote on Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth

Only two Cabinet secretaries have ever been impeached. Will Hegseth be the third?

Explainer: How would impeaching Pentagon chief Hegseth work?

Hegseth Rejects Impeachment ‘Slander’ as House Nears Preliminary Vote

How Impeaching Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth Would Work

Republican Thomas Massie will force impeachment vote on Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth

Only two Cabinet secretaries have ever been impeached. Will Hegseth be the third?

Explainer: How would impeaching Pentagon chief Hegseth work?

Hegseth Rejects Impeachment ‘Slander’ as House Nears Preliminary Vote

How Impeaching Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth Would Work

Republican Thomas Massie will force impeachment vote on Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth

Only two Cabinet secretaries have ever been impeached. Will Hegseth be the third?

June 30, 2027 83%

March 31, 2027 77%

December 31, 2026 66%

$632K Vol

Ends Jan 1, 2027·

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Jon Ossoff

27%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Gavin Newsom

Pete Buttigieg

The New Stars and Presidential Hopefuls Shaking Up Democrats’ 2028 Field

Analysis | The 2028 winners and losers from the midterms

Progressives Launch ‘Ready for AOC’ Ahead of 2028 Presidential Election

Midterms over, Democrats plunge into wide-open 2028 presidential race

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

The New Stars and Presidential Hopefuls Shaking Up Democrats’ 2028 Field

Analysis | The 2028 winners and losers from the midterms

Progressives Launch ‘Ready for AOC’ Ahead of 2028 Presidential Election

Midterms over, Democrats plunge into wide-open 2028 presidential race

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

The New Stars and Presidential Hopefuls Shaking Up Democrats’ 2028 Field

Analysis | The 2028 winners and losers from the midterms

Progressives Launch ‘Ready for AOC’ Ahead of 2028 Presidential Election

Midterms over, Democrats plunge into wide-open 2028 presidential race

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

Jon Ossoff 27%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 15%

Gavin Newsom 10%

Pete Buttigieg 5%

$1B Vol

Ends Nov 8, 2028·

Bitcoin Up or Down

November 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down

November 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Up1.94x Down2.22x

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

It-aint-much

I refreshed like 500 times today :D

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

It-aint-much

I refreshed like 500 times today :D

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

It-aint-much

I refreshed like 500 times today :D

$13M Vol

Live

All markets

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase

86%

Yes86%No15%

50+ bps increase

11%

Yes11%No89%

25 bps increase

86%

Yes86%No15%

50+ bps increase

11%

Yes11%No89%

$25M Vol.

Monthly

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

52%

Down

Live

ANTAnthropic Pre-IPO

$1,720.2+2.39%10xPerps

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Howard Lutnick

27%

Yes27%No74%

Pete Hegseth

23%

Yes23%No78%

Howard Lutnick

27%

Yes27%No74%

Pete Hegseth

23%

Yes23%No78%

$2M Vol.

Monthly

Zero Tenacity

21%

Nemiga Gaming

80%

Zero

Nemiga

$150K Vol.

·Dota 2

Bucks

11%

Knicks

90%

Bucks

Knicks

$589K Vol.

·NBA

Heat

78%

Jazz

23%

Heat

Jazz

$1M Vol.

·NBA

$500K rewards

LoL Worlds
Odds & Predictions

Spirit

82%

FUT Esports

19%

Spirit

FUT Esports

$838K Vol.

·CS2

Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by...?

December 31, 2027

38%

Yes38%No63%

March 31, 2027

24%

December 31, 2027

38%

Yes38%No63%

March 31, 2027

24%

$809K Vol.

Anthropic IPO by __?

December 15, 2026

98%

Yes98%No2%

December 31, 2026

97%

Yes97%No3%

December 15, 2026

98%

Yes98%No2%

December 31, 2026

97%

Yes97%No3%

$8M Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$1.25–$1.5T

44%

Yes44%No56%

<$1.25T

23%

Yes23%No77%

$1.25–$1.5T

44%

Yes44%No56%

<$1.25T

23%

Yes23%No77%

$5M Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

17%

Jon Ossoff

17%

JD Vance

17%

Jon Ossoff

17%

$738M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot

60%

Yes60%No40%

Benjamin Netanyahu

25%

Yes25%No75%

Gadi Eizenkot

60%

Yes60%No40%

Benjamin Netanyahu

25%

Yes25%No75%

$91M Vol.

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

June 30, 2027

83%

Yes83%No18%

March 31, 2027

77%

Yes77%No23%

June 30, 2027

83%

Yes83%No18%

March 31, 2027

77%

Yes77%No23%

$632K Vol.

Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by...?

March 31, 2027

22%

Yes22%No79%

December 31, 2026

11%

Yes11%No90%

March 31, 2027

22%

Yes22%No79%

December 31, 2026

11%

Yes11%No90%

$269K Vol.

How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?

215-219

31%

No vote

24%

215-219

31%

No vote

24%

$18K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Ulf Kristersson

50%

Yes50%No50%

Magdalena Andersson

48%

Yes48%No53%

Ulf Kristersson

50%

Yes50%No50%

Magdalena Andersson

48%

Yes48%No53%

$12M Vol.

Kai Cenat finishes GTA marathon by...?

November 16 (11:59 PM ET)

99%

Yes99%No<1%

November 14 (11:59 PM ET)

99%

November 16 (11:59 PM ET)

99%

Yes99%No<1%

November 14 (11:59 PM ET)

99%

$2M Vol.

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

26%

chance

Yes

$3M Vol.

Will Trump be impeached by...?

December 31, 2027

56%

Yes56%No44%

June 30, 2027

35%

Yes35%No66%

December 31, 2027

56%

Yes56%No44%

June 30, 2027

35%

Yes35%No66%

$1M Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Jon Ossoff

27%

Yes27%No73%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

15%

Yes15%No85%

Jon Ossoff

27%

Yes27%No73%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

15%

Yes15%No85%

$1B Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

31%

Marco Rubio

18%

Yes18%No82%

J.D. Vance

31%

Marco Rubio

18%

Yes18%No82%

$733M Vol.

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

November 7

100%

Yes100%No<1%

November 11

99%

November 7

100%

Yes100%No<1%

November 11

99%

$51M Vol.

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 31

68%

December 31

37%

Yes37%No63%

March 31

68%

December 31

37%

Yes37%No63%

$51M Vol.

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen

45%

Yes45%No55%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

14%

Yes14%No87%

Marine Le Pen

45%

Yes45%No55%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

14%

Yes14%No87%

$171M Vol.

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

December 31

34%

Yes34%No67%

November 30

12%

Yes12%No89%

December 31

34%

Yes34%No67%

November 30

12%

Yes12%No89%

$4M Vol.

Nuggets

Rockets

100%

Nuggets

Rockets

$3M Vol.

·NBA

M. Kostyuk

J. Pegula

100%

M. Kostyuk

J. Pegula

$739K Vol.

·WTA Tour

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Barcelona

24%

Paris Saint-Germain

20%

Yes20%No81%

Barcelona

24%

Paris Saint-Germain

20%

Yes20%No81%

$72M Vol.

Froglings

Power Rangers

100%

Froglings

Power

$654K Vol.

·Dota 2

Fed Decision in January?

No change

51%

Yes51%No50%

25 bps increase

49%

Yes49%No52%

No change

51%

Yes51%No50%

25 bps increase

49%

Yes49%No52%

$2M Vol.

Monthly

M. Cecchinato

F. Comesana

100%

M. Cecc.

F. Comesana

$585K Vol.

·ATP Tour

What price will Bitcoin hit on November 10?

↑ 75,000

13%

Yes13%No87%

↓ 72,000

Yes7%No94%

↑ 75,000

13%

Yes13%No87%

↓ 72,000

Yes7%No94%

NEW

$515K Vol.

Daily

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↓ 70,000

68%

↓ 65,000

36%

Yes36%No64%

↓ 70,000

68%