Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

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Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

22%

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

22%

$21m Vol.

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Super Bowl Champion 2026 card icon

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Los Angeles R

20%

Buffalo

12%

Los Angeles R

20%

Buffalo

12%

$623m Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett

52%

Kevin Warsh

43%

Kevin Hassett

52%

Kevin Warsh

43%

$56m Vol.

Maduro out by...? card icon

Maduro out by...?

December 31, 2025

7%

January 31, 2026

16%

December 31, 2025

7%

January 31, 2026

16%

$25m Vol.

Dolphins

39%

Steelers

62%

$628k Vol.

•NFL•Tomorrow 1:15 AM
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025? card icon

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?

0

89%

1-100

9%

0

89%

1-100

9%

$7m Vol.

David Friedberg image

David Friedberg

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S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 15? card icon

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 15?

79%

Up

$6k Vol.

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Will Trump release Epstein files by...? card icon

Will Trump release Epstein files by...?

December 19

64%

December 31

74%

December 19

64%

December 31

74%

$5m Vol.

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch? card icon

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

>$1B

90%

>$2B

83%

>$1B

90%

>$2B

83%

$23m Vol.

Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua card icon

Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua

Jake Paul

10%

Anthony Joshua

85%

Jake Paul

10%

Anthony Joshua

85%

$2m Vol.

NFL MVP card icon

NFL MVP

Matthew Stafford

76%

Drake Maye

13%

Matthew Stafford

76%

Drake Maye

13%

$1m Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Kristi Noem

24%

Pete Hegseth

18%

Kristi Noem

24%

Pete Hegseth

18%

$147k Vol.

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Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...? card icon

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...?

December 15

<1%

December 31

36%

December 15

<1%

December 31

36%

$511k Vol.

US x Venezuela military engagement by...? card icon

US x Venezuela military engagement by...?

December 15

1%

December 31

15%

December 15

1%

December 31

15%

$38m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

3%

chance

$55m Vol.

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Largest Company end of 2025? card icon

Largest Company end of 2025?

NVIDIA

86%

Apple

14%

NVIDIA

86%

Apple

14%

$54m Vol.

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Bitcoin above ___ on December 15? card icon

Bitcoin above ___ on December 15?

80,000

100%

82,000

100%

80,000

100%

82,000

100%

$3m Vol.

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Chile Presidential Election Margin of Victory: Second Round card icon

Chile Presidential Election Margin of Victory: Second Round

Kast 20-25%

<1%

Kast 15-20%

100%

Kast 20-25%

<1%

Kast 15-20%

100%

$2m Vol.

2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship Winner card icon

2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship Winner

Sam Soverel

99%

Erik Seidel

<1%

Sam Soverel

99%

Erik Seidel

<1%

$230m Vol.