Fed Decision in September?

Politics·Fomc

25 bps decrease

<1%

No change

39%

25 bps increase

62%

50+ bps increase

JohnA

No matter the result, its an honor to gamble with you fellow degens

Secondary-Mosque

Just added more 😁😁

negoossppe

camel finance if you fucked this up its on you

Polken

wasup from camel crew

NotNiels

First Polymarket bet, Camels, UNITE! (entertainment purposes only)

JohnA

No matter the result, its an honor to gamble with you fellow degens

Secondary-Mosque

Just added more 😁😁

negoossppe

camel finance if you fucked this up its on you

Polken

wasup from camel crew

NotNiels

First Polymarket bet, Camels, UNITE! (entertainment purposes only)

JohnA

No matter the result, its an honor to gamble with you fellow degens

Secondary-Mosque

Just added more 😁😁

negoossppe

camel finance if you fucked this up its on you

Polken

wasup from camel crew

NotNiels

First Polymarket bet, Camels, UNITE! (entertainment purposes only)

25 bps increase 62%

No change 39%

50+ bps increase <1%

25 bps decrease <1%

$116M Vol

Monthly

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?

↑ $105

↓ $100

↓ $95

↓ $90

Oil ends week higher on renewed US-Iran strikes, diesel hits record

wsj.com

・

Tight Supply Worries Lift Oil As Middle East Conflict Heats Up

Bloomberg.com

・

Novartis Sees Avidity Drug Fail in Third Setback in a Week

AP News

・

US strikes 3 Iranian oil tankers after saying warships were targeted with ballistic missiles

Reuters

・

Oil ends week higher on renewed US-Iran strikes, diesel hits record

wsj.com

・

Tight Supply Worries Lift Oil As Middle East Conflict Heats Up

Bloomberg.com

・

Novartis Sees Avidity Drug Fail in Third Setback in a Week

AP News

・

US strikes 3 Iranian oil tankers after saying warships were targeted with ballistic missiles

Reuters

・

Oil ends week higher on renewed US-Iran strikes, diesel hits record

wsj.com

・

Tight Supply Worries Lift Oil As Middle East Conflict Heats Up

Bloomberg.com

・

Novartis Sees Avidity Drug Fail in Third Setback in a Week

AP News

・

US strikes 3 Iranian oil tankers after saying warships were targeted with ballistic missiles

↓ $100 100.0%

↓ $95 79%

↑ $105 61.1%

↓ $90 58.4%

$3M Vol

Monthly

Bitcoin Up or Down

September 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down

September 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Up2.9x Down1.53x

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Blue31

Waiting for 1min market

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Blue31

Waiting for 1min market

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Blue31

Waiting for 1min market

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

$0 Vol

Live

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Politics·US Election

Democrats Sweep

50%

D Senate, R House

R Senate, D House

Republicans Sweep

Trump Headlines Texas Convention to Tap Donors, Rally Voters

The New York Times

・

Election Officials Grapple With Uncertainty as Supreme Court Considers Mail Ballot Plan

The Washington Post

・

Analysis | How Canada, with elbows up, could hurt Trump in the midterms

AP News

・

Midterm mail ballots start to go to voters as litigation over Trump’s order creates uncertainty

Reuters

・

US Treasury chief Bessent backs using US financial power as foreign policy tool

Bloomberg.com

・

Trump Headlines Texas Convention to Tap Donors, Rally Voters

The New York Times

・

Election Officials Grapple With Uncertainty as Supreme Court Considers Mail Ballot Plan

The Washington Post

・

Analysis | How Canada, with elbows up, could hurt Trump in the midterms

AP News

・

Midterm mail ballots start to go to voters as litigation over Trump’s order creates uncertainty

Reuters

・

US Treasury chief Bessent backs using US financial power as foreign policy tool

Bloomberg.com

・

Trump Headlines Texas Convention to Tap Donors, Rally Voters

The New York Times

・

Election Officials Grapple With Uncertainty as Supreme Court Considers Mail Ballot Plan

The Washington Post

・

Analysis | How Canada, with elbows up, could hurt Trump in the midterms

AP News

・

Midterm mail ballots start to go to voters as litigation over Trump’s order creates uncertainty

Reuters

・

US Treasury chief Bessent backs using US financial power as foreign policy tool

Democrats Sweep 50%

R Senate, D House 36%

Republicans Sweep 14%

D Senate, R House 1.6%

$12M Vol

Ends Nov 3, 2026·

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

Sports·NFL

Los Angeles Rams

14%

Buffalo Bills

Seattle Seahawks

San Francisco 49ers

The New York Times

・

Pro Football Hall of Fame Class of 2027 candidates: Adrian Peterson, Rob Gronkowski lead way - The Athletic

BBC

・

NFL 2026 schedule & key fixtures: Start date, play-offs, Super Bowl 61 & Christmas games

AP News

・

Ryder Cup points for Americans only available in 2027 under new qualifying criteria

wsj.com

・

Google to Invest $15 Billion in AI Infrastructure in Finland

Reuters

・

Liverpool announce five-year sponsorship deal with Turkish Airlines

The New York Times

・

Pro Football Hall of Fame Class of 2027 candidates: Adrian Peterson, Rob Gronkowski lead way - The Athletic

BBC

・

NFL 2026 schedule & key fixtures: Start date, play-offs, Super Bowl 61 & Christmas games

AP News

・

Ryder Cup points for Americans only available in 2027 under new qualifying criteria

wsj.com

・

Google to Invest $15 Billion in AI Infrastructure in Finland

Reuters

・

Liverpool announce five-year sponsorship deal with Turkish Airlines

The New York Times

・

Pro Football Hall of Fame Class of 2027 candidates: Adrian Peterson, Rob Gronkowski lead way - The Athletic

BBC

・

NFL 2026 schedule & key fixtures: Start date, play-offs, Super Bowl 61 & Christmas games

AP News

・

Ryder Cup points for Americans only available in 2027 under new qualifying criteria

wsj.com

・

Google to Invest $15 Billion in AI Infrastructure in Finland

Reuters

・

Liverpool announce five-year sponsorship deal with Turkish Airlines

Los Angeles Rams 15%

Buffalo Bills 9%

Seattle Seahawks 8%

San Francisco 49ers 6.8%

$52M Vol

Ends Feb 14, 2027·

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

September 21

September 30

October 31

December 31

Iran warns US energy assets in Gulf are vulnerable after latest clashes

The Washington Post

・

Trump accuses Iran of meddling in midterms as wave of missiles targets U.S. base in Jordan

The New York Times

・

Iran Signals Readiness to Escalate Fight in Face of Rising U.S. Pressure

wsj.com

・

Exclusive | Trump’s Top Advisers Confront Possibility That Iran War Lasts Through End of Term

AP News

・

Iran says it plans to announce a new ‘exclusion zone’ near the Strait of Hormuz

Reuters

・

Iran warns US energy assets in Gulf are vulnerable after latest clashes

The Washington Post

・

Trump accuses Iran of meddling in midterms as wave of missiles targets U.S. base in Jordan

The New York Times

・

Iran Signals Readiness to Escalate Fight in Face of Rising U.S. Pressure

wsj.com

・

Exclusive | Trump’s Top Advisers Confront Possibility That Iran War Lasts Through End of Term

AP News

・

Iran says it plans to announce a new ‘exclusion zone’ near the Strait of Hormuz

Reuters

・

Iran warns US energy assets in Gulf are vulnerable after latest clashes

The Washington Post

・

Trump accuses Iran of meddling in midterms as wave of missiles targets U.S. base in Jordan

The New York Times

・

Iran Signals Readiness to Escalate Fight in Face of Rising U.S. Pressure

wsj.com

・

Exclusive | Trump’s Top Advisers Confront Possibility That Iran War Lasts Through End of Term

AP News

・

Iran says it plans to announce a new ‘exclusion zone’ near the Strait of Hormuz

December 31 64.1%

October 31 37%

September 30 19%

September 21 11%

$28M Vol

Ends Jan 1, 2027·

All markets

Fed Decision in September?

25 bps increase

62%

Yes62%No39%

No change

39%

Yes39%No62%

25 bps increase

62%

Yes62%No39%

No change

39%

Yes39%No62%

$116M Vol.

BTC Up or Down 5m

31%

Down

Live

·Bitcoin

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Alexander Zverev

51%

Yes51%No49%

Ben Shelton

36%

Yes36%No64%

Alexander Zverev

51%

Yes51%No49%

Ben Shelton

36%

Yes36%No64%

$24M Vol.

FURIA

47%

54%

FURIA

Game 1

$1M Vol.

·CS2

KT Rolster Challengers

92%

DN SOOPers Challengers

KT Rolster

DN SOOPers

Game 3

$789K Vol.

·LoL

85%

Inner Circle Esports

16%

Inner

Game 2

$268K Vol.

·CS2

Rennes

49%

Marseille

28%

Rennes

DRAW

Marseille

$697K Vol.

·Ligue 1

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 31

29%

Yes29%No72%

October 31

21%

Yes21%No80%

December 31

29%

Yes29%No72%

October 31

21%

Yes21%No80%

$13M Vol.

August Inflation US - Annual

3.4%

47%

Yes47%No53%

3.3%

28%

Yes28%No73%

3.4%

47%

Yes47%No53%

3.3%

28%

Yes28%No73%

$113K Vol.

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.0%

89%

Yes89%No11%

5.1%

76%

Yes76%No25%

5.0%

89%

Yes89%No11%

5.1%

76%

Yes76%No25%

$368K Vol.

Core CPI YoY - August 2026

2.4%

48%

Yes48%No52%

2.3%

33%

Yes33%No67%

2.4%

48%

Yes48%No52%

2.3%

33%

Yes33%No67%

$28K Vol.

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?

December 31, 2026

11%

Yes11%No90%

November 2, 2026

Yes7%No94%

December 31, 2026

11%

Yes11%No90%

November 2, 2026

Yes7%No94%

$11K Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 2027

70%

Yes70%No31%

November 30, 2027

66%

Yes66%No34%

December 31, 2027

70%

Yes70%No31%

November 30, 2027

66%

Yes66%No34%

$8M Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Anthropic

89%

Yes89%No12%

OpenAI

Yes9%No91%

Anthropic

89%

Yes89%No12%

OpenAI

Yes9%No91%

$3M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson

83%

Yes83%No18%

Ulf Kristersson

19%

Yes19%No82%

Magdalena Andersson

83%

Yes83%No18%

Ulf Kristersson

19%

Yes19%No82%

$5M Vol.

Anthropic IPO by __?

December 31, 2026

90%

Yes90%No11%

December 15, 2026

86%

Yes86%No15%

December 31, 2026

90%

Yes90%No11%

December 15, 2026

86%

Yes86%No15%

$3M Vol.

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 31

64%

Yes64%No36%

October 31

37%

Yes37%No63%

December 31

64%

Yes64%No36%

October 31

37%

Yes37%No63%

$28M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot

56%

Yes56%No44%

Benjamin Netanyahu

29%

Yes29%No72%

Gadi Eizenkot

56%

Yes56%No44%

Benjamin Netanyahu

29%

Yes29%No72%

$37M Vol.

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

50%

Yes50%No51%

R Senate, D House

36%

Yes36%No65%

Democrats Sweep

50%

Yes50%No51%

R Senate, D House

36%

Yes36%No65%

$12M Vol.

Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?

Anna Kelly

23%

Yes23%No77%

Scott Jennings

19%

Yes19%No81%

Anna Kelly

23%

Yes23%No77%

Scott Jennings

19%

Yes19%No81%

$399K Vol.

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?

December 31, 2027

19%

Yes19%No82%

December 31, 2026

Yes5%No95%

December 31, 2027

19%

Yes19%No82%

December 31, 2026

Yes5%No95%

$603K Vol.

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 31

22%

Yes22%No79%

October 31

Yes8%No93%

December 31

22%

Yes22%No79%

October 31

Yes8%No93%

$7M Vol.

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

20%

chance

Yes

$15M Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

53%

Yes53%No48%

Republican Party

49%

Yes49%No52%

Democratic Party

53%

Yes53%No48%

Republican Party

49%

Yes49%No52%

$4M Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

50%

Yes50%No50%

Marco Rubio

19%

Yes19%No81%

J.D. Vance

50%

Yes50%No50%

Marco Rubio

19%

Yes19%No81%

$702M Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

19%

Yes19%No81%

Jon Ossoff

16%

Yes16%No84%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

19%

Yes19%No81%

Jon Ossoff

16%

Yes16%No84%

$1B Vol.

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Barcelona

19%

Yes19%No82%

Bayern Munich

16%

Yes16%No85%

Barcelona

19%

Yes19%No82%

Bayern Munich

16%

Yes16%No85%

$31M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro

54%

Yes54%No46%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

45%

Yes45%No56%

Flávio Bolsonaro

54%

Yes54%No46%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

45%

Yes45%No56%

$148M Vol.

Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?

70,000

100%

Yes100%No<1%

72,000

100%

Yes100%No<1%

70,000

100%

Yes100%No<1%

72,000

100%

Yes100%No<1%

$2M Vol.

·Bitcoin

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen

35%

Yes35%No65%

Édouard Philippe

30%

Yes30%No71%

Marine Le Pen

35%

Yes35%No65%

Édouard Philippe

30%

Yes30%No71%

$131M Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?

160-179

75%

Yes75%No25%

180-199

25%

Yes25%No75%

160-179

75%

Yes75%No25%

180-199

25%

Yes25%No75%

$2M Vol.

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?

↓ $100

100%

Yes100%No<1%

↓ $95

79%

Yes79%No22%

↓ $100

100%

Yes100%No<1%

↓ $95

79%

Yes79%No22%

$3M Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in September?

↓ 75,000

73%

Yes73%No27%

↑ 80,000

66%

Yes66%No35%

↓ 75,000

73%

Yes73%No27%

↑ 80,000

66%

Yes66%No35%

$5M Vol.

·Bitcoin

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↓ 75,000

87%

Yes87%No14%

↓ 70,000

64%

Yes64%No36%

↓ 75,000

87%

Yes87%No14%

↓ 70,000

64%

Yes64%No36%

$65M Vol.

·Bitcoin

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)

93%

Yes93%No7%

1 (25 bps)

Yes5%No95%

0 (0 bps)

93%

Yes93%No7%

1 (25 bps)

Yes5%No95%

$52M Vol.

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER)

80%

Yes80%No21%

New People (NL)

17%

Yes17%No83%

United Russia (ER)

80%

Yes80%No21%

New People (NL)

17%

Yes17%No83%

$27M Vol.

Polymarket | The World’s Largest Prediction Market™

Featured markets

All markets

Fed Decision in September?

BTC Up or Down 5m

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

August Inflation US - Annual

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Core CPI YoY - August 2026

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Anthropic IPO by __?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Brazil Presidential Election

Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?

Next French Presidential Election

Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?

What price will Bitcoin hit in September?

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?