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Next French Presidential Election

$1,040,309 Vol.

Jordan Bardella 31%

Édouard Philippe 16%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

Dominique de Villepin 8.2%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$1,040,309
End Date
Apr 30, 2027
Created At
Nov 13, 2025, 10:47 PM UTC
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$1,040,309 Vol.

Market icon

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella 31%

Édouard Philippe 16%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

Dominique de Villepin 8.2%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Jordan Bardella

$35,452 Vol.

31%

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Édouard Philippe

$25,177 Vol.

16%

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Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$46,573 Vol.

11%

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Dominique de Villepin

$46,059 Vol.

8%

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Marine Le Pen

$24,065 Vol.

7%

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Gabriel Attal

$24,659 Vol.

7%

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Sébastien Lecornu

$1,694 Vol.

6%

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Sarah Knafo

$35,665 Vol.

5%

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Bruno Retailleau

$19,832 Vol.

3%

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David Lisnard

$18,347 Vol.

3%

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Raphaël Glucksmann

$19,942 Vol.

2%

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Olivier Faure

$18,661 Vol.

1%

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François Hollande

$24,641 Vol.

1%

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Juan Branco

$19,071 Vol.

1%

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François Ruffin

$16,558 Vol.

1%

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Gérald Darmanin

$18,661 Vol.

1%

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Éric Zemmour

$30,617 Vol.

1%

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Marine Tondelier

$22,704 Vol.

1%

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Laurent Wauquiez

$15,696 Vol.

1%

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Jean Castex

$34,556 Vol.

1%

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Clémence Guetté

$2,767 Vol.

1%

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Manuel Bompard

$42,783 Vol.

<1%

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Ségolène Royal

$50,899 Vol.

<1%

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Yaël Braun-Pivet

$21,585 Vol.

<1%

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Bernard Cazeneuve

$14,561 Vol.

<1%

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Fabien Roussel

$59,621 Vol.

<1%

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François Asselineau

$83,138 Vol.

<1%

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Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$26,654 Vol.

<1%

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Valérie Pécresse

$14,000 Vol.

<1%

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Élisabeth Borne

$24,708 Vol.

<1%

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Carole Delga

$62,035 Vol.

<1%

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Xavier Bertrand

$26,288 Vol.

<1%

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Clémentine Autain

$45,102 Vol.

<1%

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Michel Barnier

$21,919 Vol.

<1%

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François Bayrou

$15,606 Vol.

<1%

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Mathilde Panot

$30,014 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$1,040,309
End Date
Apr 30, 2027
Created At
Nov 13, 2025, 10:47 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.