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Next French Presidential Election

$540,795 Vol.

Jordan Bardella 33%

Édouard Philippe 18%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

Marine Le Pen 9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$540,795
End Date
Apr 30, 2027
Created At
Nov 13, 2025, 10:47 PM UTC
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$540,795 Vol.

Market icon

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella 33%

Édouard Philippe 18%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

Marine Le Pen 9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Jordan Bardella

$15,157 Vol.

33%

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Édouard Philippe

$10,015 Vol.

18%

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Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$26,580 Vol.

11%

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Marine Le Pen

$10,943 Vol.

9%

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Sarah Knafo

$12,662 Vol.

8%

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Gabriel Attal

$10,108 Vol.

7%

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Bruno Retailleau

$7,386 Vol.

5%

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Dominique de Villepin

$10,662 Vol.

4%

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David Lisnard

$9,193 Vol.

3%

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Raphaël Glucksmann

$9,138 Vol.

2%

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Éric Zemmour

$8,737 Vol.

1%

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Olivier Faure

$12,096 Vol.

1%

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François Hollande

$8,610 Vol.

1%

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François Asselineau

$72,350 Vol.

1%

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Juan Branco

$2,584 Vol.

1%

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François Ruffin

$9,440 Vol.

1%

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Gérald Darmanin

$7,639 Vol.

1%

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Laurent Wauquiez

$7,207 Vol.

1%

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Bernard Cazeneuve

$8,937 Vol.

1%

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Marine Tondelier

$12,347 Vol.

<1%

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Manuel Bompard

$14,658 Vol.

<1%

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Xavier Bertrand

$19,766 Vol.

<1%

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Fabien Roussel

$19,787 Vol.

<1%

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Clémentine Autain

$27,243 Vol.

<1%

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Michel Barnier

$10,867 Vol.

<1%

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François Bayrou

$8,530 Vol.

<1%

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Mathilde Panot

$17,045 Vol.

<1%

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Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$21,081 Vol.

<1%

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Valérie Pécresse

$8,004 Vol.

<1%

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Élisabeth Borne

$10,288 Vol.

<1%

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Jean Castex

$22,601 Vol.

<1%

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Carole Delga

$50,797 Vol.

<1%

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Ségolène Royal

$29,865 Vol.

<1%

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Yaël Braun-Pivet

$8,473 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$540,795
End Date
Apr 30, 2027
Created At
Nov 13, 2025, 10:47 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.