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Next French Presidential Election

$442,711 Vol.

Jordan Bardella 31%

Édouard Philippe 17%

Sarah Knafo 11.9%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 10%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$442,711
End Date
Apr 30, 2027
Created At
Nov 13, 2025, 10:47 PM UTC
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$442,711 Vol.

Market icon

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella 31%

Édouard Philippe 17%

Sarah Knafo 11.9%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 10%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Jordan Bardella

$13,068 Vol.

31%

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Édouard Philippe

$7,688 Vol.

17%

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Sarah Knafo

$5,978 Vol.

12%

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Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$17,547 Vol.

10%

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Marine Le Pen

$9,604 Vol.

9%

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Dominique de Villepin

$9,268 Vol.

6%

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Gabriel Attal

$6,327 Vol.

5%

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Bruno Retailleau

$6,327 Vol.

5%

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David Lisnard

$8,118 Vol.

3%

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Raphaël Glucksmann

$8,231 Vol.

3%

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François Ruffin

$8,537 Vol.

1%

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Gérald Darmanin

$6,683 Vol.

1%

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François Hollande

$7,683 Vol.

1%

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Juan Branco

$1,326 Vol.

1%

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Olivier Faure

$10,537 Vol.

1%

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Éric Zemmour

$6,836 Vol.

1%

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Laurent Wauquiez

$6,080 Vol.

1%

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François Bayrou

$7,228 Vol.

1%

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Bernard Cazeneuve

$7,554 Vol.

1%

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Manuel Bompard

$13,388 Vol.

<1%

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Marine Tondelier

$7,310 Vol.

<1%

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Xavier Bertrand

$18,544 Vol.

<1%

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Fabien Roussel

$8,312 Vol.

<1%

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François Asselineau

$65,834 Vol.

<1%

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Clémentine Autain

$16,121 Vol.

<1%

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Michel Barnier

$7,911 Vol.

<1%

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Mathilde Panot

$13,678 Vol.

<1%

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Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$19,899 Vol.

<1%

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Valérie Pécresse

$6,205 Vol.

<1%

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Élisabeth Borne

$9,076 Vol.

<1%

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Jean Castex

$19,466 Vol.

<1%

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Carole Delga

$49,581 Vol.

<1%

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Ségolène Royal

$26,687 Vol.

<1%

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Yaël Braun-Pivet

$6,077 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$442,711
End Date
Apr 30, 2027
Created At
Nov 13, 2025, 10:47 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.