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Noem predictions & odds

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Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?

Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?

32%

$1.9K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

11%

$17.6K Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

9

Ends in 8 months

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

36%

J.D. Vance

$620M Vol.

$1M today

$31M Liq.

396

Ends in over 2 years

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

68%

Kash Patel

$1M Vol.

$149K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

22%

Kamala Harris

$644K Vol.

$652K Liq.

15

Ends in 8 months

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

32%

Vivek Ramaswamy

$7.7K Vol.

$384K Liq.

Ends in about 2 years

South Dakota Republican Senate Primary Winner

South Dakota Republican Senate Primary Winner

96%

Mike Rounds

$22.0K Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

86%

$2.3K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

South Dakota Governor Election Winner

South Dakota Governor Election Winner

95%

Republican

$13.0K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

85%

$2.7K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

South Dakota Senate Election Winner

South Dakota Senate Election Winner

92%

Republican

$5.7K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Winner

South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Winner

68%

Dusty Johnson

$58.0K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

93%

Big / Bigger / Biggest

$445 Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

40%

Baby

$10.8K Vol.

$727 Liq.

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

65%

$568K Vol.

$24.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will Trump say this week? (May 24)

What will Trump say this week? (May 24)

93%

China

$2.9K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

SD-AL Democratic Primary Winner

SD-AL Democratic Primary Winner

97%

Nikki Gronli

$11.4K Vol.

$32.7K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

59%

Republican

$113K Vol.

$33.3K Liq.

3

Ends in 6 months

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

38%

1

$4.9K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

ND-AL House Election Winner

ND-AL House Election Winner

96%

Republican Party

$37.8K Vol.

$23.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Noem.

Polymarket currently hosts 109 active markets for Noem that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $622.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 36% chance to J.D. Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Noem predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.