Who will replace Mullin as Oklahoma Senator?
Noem·Politics

Who will replace Mullin as Oklahoma Senator?

16%

Gentner Drummond

$26.3K Vol.

$18.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

When will the DHS shutdown end?
Noem·Politics

When will the DHS shutdown end?

75%

After March 31

$1M Vol.

$170K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

How long will the DHS shutdown last?
Noem·Politics

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

100%

30+ days

$1M Vol.

$56.0K Liq.

Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by...?
Noem·Politics

Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by...?

94%

April 30

$13.3K Vol.

$15.6K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
Noem·Politics

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

4%

$14.7K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

8

Ends in 10 months

Kristi Noem and Corey Lewandowski confirm relationship by March 31?
Noem·Politics

Kristi Noem and Corey Lewandowski confirm relationship by March 31?

3%

$0 Vol.

$436 Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Noem·Politics

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

38%

J.D. Vance

$416M Vol.

$10M today

$23M Liq.

288

Ends in over 2 years

What will Trump post this week? (March 9 - March 15)
Noem·Politics

What will Trump post this week? (March 9 - March 15)

28%

MIGA / Make Iran Great Again

$35.5K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Noem·Politics

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

23%

Mark Kelly

$187K Vol.

$418K Liq.

13

Ends in 10 months

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
Noem·Politics

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

50%

Kristi Noem

$339K Vol.

$79.9K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

South Dakota Republican Senate Primary Winner
Noem·Politics

South Dakota Republican Senate Primary Winner

84%

Mike Rounds

$16.7K Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
Noem·Politics

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

93%

$0 Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

South Dakota Governor Election Winner
Noem·Politics

South Dakota Governor Election Winner

95%

Republican

$0 Vol.

$27.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will Trump post this week? (March 16 - March 22)
Noem·Politics

What will Trump post this week? (March 16 - March 22)

81%

Hormuz

$2.6K Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
Noem·Politics

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

88%

$2.1K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

South Dakota Senate Election Winner
Noem·Politics

South Dakota Senate Election Winner

92%

Republican

$0 Vol.

$27.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Winner
Noem·Politics

South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Winner

50%

Dusty Johnson

$8.4K Vol.

$34.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Noem·Politics

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

50%

$403K Vol.

$30.6K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

SD-AL Democratic Primary Winner
Noem·Politics

SD-AL Democratic Primary Winner

73%

Nikki Gronli

$6.5K Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Nebraska Senate Election Winner
Noem·Politics

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

66%

Republican

$28.9K Vol.

$33.8K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Noem.

Polymarket currently hosts 113 active markets for Noem that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Who will replace Mullin as Oklahoma Senator?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $419.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 38% chance to J.D. Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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