South Dakota's Republican supermajority legislature—63-7 in the House and 32-3 in the Senate—drives the 95.2% "No" odds on Governor Kristi Noem's impeachment in 2026, as conviction requires two-thirds votes from both chambers, making same-party removal improbable absent extraordinary circumstances. No impeachment proceedings are underway, and recent polls show her approval steady among GOP voters despite past controversies like her memoir's dog-killing account, which failed to gain traction for removal. Trader confidence aligns with historical rarity of gubernatorial impeachments. Realistic catalysts for change include major federal indictments, proven ethics breaches sparking bipartisan revolt, or a 2026 midterm shift flipping legislative control, though such outcomes remain low-probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedKristi Noem impeached in 2026?
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
$16,429 Vol.
$16,429 Vol.
$16,429 Vol.
$16,429 Vol.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Market Opened: Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...South Dakota's Republican supermajority legislature—63-7 in the House and 32-3 in the Senate—drives the 95.2% "No" odds on Governor Kristi Noem's impeachment in 2026, as conviction requires two-thirds votes from both chambers, making same-party removal improbable absent extraordinary circumstances. No impeachment proceedings are underway, and recent polls show her approval steady among GOP voters despite past controversies like her memoir's dog-killing account, which failed to gain traction for removal. Trader confidence aligns with historical rarity of gubernatorial impeachments. Realistic catalysts for change include major federal indictments, proven ethics breaches sparking bipartisan revolt, or a 2026 midterm shift flipping legislative control, though such outcomes remain low-probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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