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Elections predictions & odds

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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·Primaries

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

27%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$7M today

$47M Liq.

677

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028
Elections·US Election

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$537M Vol.

$5M today

$29M Liq.

858

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·Primaries

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

39%

J.D. Vance

$564M Vol.

$4M today

$30M Liq.

354

Ends in over 2 years

Peru Presidential Election Winner
Elections·Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election Winner

67%

Keiko Fujimori

$35M Vol.

$2M today

$8M Liq.

3,629

Ends in about 2 months

Next French Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Next French Presidential Election

25%

Édouard Philippe

$43M Vol.

$919K today

$4M Liq.

408

Ends in about 1 year

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

89%

Chong Won-oh

$25M Vol.

$816K today

$2M Liq.

36

Ends in about 2 months

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Elections·Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

82%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$4M Vol.

$435K today

$2M Liq.

327

Colombia Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Colombia Presidential Election

42%

Paloma Valencia

$21M Vol.

$366K today

$1M Liq.

373

Ends in 2 months

Trump out as President by April 30?

Trump out as President by April 30?

<1%

$9M Vol.

$316K today

$1M Liq.

1

Ends in 12 days

California Governor Election Winner
Elections·US Election

California Governor Election Winner

59%

Tom Steyer

$11M Vol.

$300K today

$2M Liq.

32

Ends in 7 months

Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Elections·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

99%

Péter Magyar

$92M Vol.

$299K today

$6M Liq.

2,096

Santa Cruz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)
Elections·Global Elections

Santa Cruz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)

91%

Juan Pablo Velasco

$983K Vol.

$149K today

$222K Liq.

116

Ends in about 23 hours

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

6%

$3M Vol.

$134K today

$431K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

17%

$7M Vol.

$91.5K today

$420K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

60%

Ken Paxton

$16M Vol.

$86.9K today

$287K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

95%

United Russia (ER)

$1M Vol.

$72.1K today

$247K Liq.

6

Ends in 5 months

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Elections·Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

83%

Rafael López Aliaga

$716K Vol.

$68.3K today

$411K Liq.

10

Next Prime Minister of Slovenia
Elections·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Slovenia

84%

Janez Janša

$3M Vol.

$62.8K today

$150K Liq.

168

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

66%

United Russia (ER)

$6M Vol.

$62.4K today

$389K Liq.

145

Ends in 5 months

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza)
Elections·Global Elections

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza)

96%

Tisza 12-15%

$839K Vol.

$53.0K today

$120K Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Elections.

Polymarket currently hosts 863 active markets for Elections that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.4B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump out as President before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 27% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Elections predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.