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Elections predictions & odds

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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·Primaries

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

27%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$4M today

$54M Liq.

684

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028
Elections·US Election

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$544M Vol.

$4M today

$29M Liq.

864

Ends in over 2 years

Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place
Elections·Global Elections

Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place

96%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)

$17M Vol.

$3M today

$66.2K Liq.

27

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·Primaries

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

39%

J.D. Vance

$572M Vol.

$3M today

$33M Liq.

361

Ends in over 2 years

Next French Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Next French Presidential Election

23%

Jordan Bardella

$46M Vol.

$901K today

$5M Liq.

411

Ends in about 1 year

Peru Presidential Election Winner
Elections·Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election Winner

67%

Keiko Fujimori

$38M Vol.

$897K today

$6M Liq.

3,856

Ends in about 2 months

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

89%

Chong Won-oh

$27M Vol.

$725K today

$3M Liq.

37

Ends in about 1 month

Colombia Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Colombia Presidential Election

41%

Paloma Valencia

$22M Vol.

$609K today

$1M Liq.

373

Ends in 2 months

Trump out as President by April 30?

Trump out as President by April 30?

1%

$10M Vol.

$375K today

$625K Liq.

1

Ends in 10 days

Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Elections·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

99%

Péter Magyar

$92M Vol.

$222K today

$5M Liq.

2,101

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Elections·Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

84%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$5M Vol.

$144K today

$1M Liq.

348

 Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?
Elections·Global Elections

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

90%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$3M Vol.

$140K today

$586K Liq.

7

Ends in about 1 month

California Governor Election Winner
Elections·US Election

California Governor Election Winner

52%

Tom Steyer

$11M Vol.

$136K today

$2M Liq.

32

Ends in 7 months

West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Elections·Global Elections

West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner

54%

AITC

$2M Vol.

$106K today

$133K Liq.

33

Ends in 9 days

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

5%

$3M Vol.

$97.0K today

$486K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Elections·Global Elections

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

98%

GERB-SDS

$198K Vol.

$87.1K today

$96.9K Liq.

3

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Elections·Global Elections

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

99%

PP–DB

$231K Vol.

$82.9K today

$78.0K Liq.

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?
Elections·Global Elections

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

1%

BSP

$228K Vol.

$76.0K today

$50.3K Liq.

18

Alaska Governor Election Winner
Elections·US Election

Alaska Governor Election Winner

26%

Tom Begich

$902K Vol.

$75.4K today

$240K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Elections·US Election

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

52%

Democrats Sweep

$5M Vol.

$65.5K today

$514K Liq.

151

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Elections.

Polymarket currently hosts 855 active markets for Elections that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.5B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump out as President by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 27% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Elections predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.