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Elections predictions & odds

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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·Primaries

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

26%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$3M today

$53M Liq.

716

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·Primaries

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

39%

J.D. Vance

$603M Vol.

$2M today

$25M Liq.

380

Ends in over 2 years

Next French Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Next French Presidential Election

24%

Jordan Bardella

$61M Vol.

$1M today

$5M Liq.

459

Ends in 12 months

Presidential Election Winner 2028
Elections·US Election

Presidential Election Winner 2028

20%

JD Vance

$569M Vol.

$876K today

$29M Liq.

886

Ends in over 2 years

California Governor Election Winner
Elections·US Election

California Governor Election Winner

46%

Xavier Becerra

$18M Vol.

$606K today

$3M Liq.

50

Ends in 6 months

Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election Winner

Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election Winner

92%

Park Soo-hyun

$1M Vol.

$289K today

$232K Liq.

2

Ends in 28 days

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

89%

Chong Won-oh

$35M Vol.

$222K today

$4M Liq.

56

Ends in 28 days

Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Elections·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

100%

Péter Magyar

$95M Vol.

$189K today

$4M Liq.

2,114

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

77%

Thomas Massie

$668K Vol.

$151K today

$123K Liq.

40

Ends in 13 days

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

66%

United Russia (ER)

$7M Vol.

$138K today

$384K Liq.

180

Ends in 5 months

Colombia Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Colombia Presidential Election

37%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$27M Vol.

$133K today

$2M Liq.

408

Ends in about 2 months

Peru Presidential Election Winner
Elections·Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election Winner

65%

Keiko Fujimori

$49M Vol.

$122K today

$5M Liq.

4,549

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

44%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$7M Vol.

$115K today

$779K Liq.

229

Ends in 8 months

Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Elections·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

28%

Sorin Grindeanu

$83.0K Vol.

$83.0K today

$325K Liq.

3

Ends in 25 days

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Elections·US Election

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

49%

Democrats Sweep

$6M Vol.

$82.8K today

$568K Liq.

164

Ends in 6 months

Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Elections·US Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

55%

Nithya Raman

$1M Vol.

$52.6K today

$239K Liq.

8

Ends in 27 days

Which party will win the House in 2026?
Elections·US Election

Which party will win the House in 2026?

83%

Democratic Party

$5M Vol.

$261K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Wales Parliamentary Election Winner
Elections·Global Elections

Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

83%

Plaid Cymru

$193K Vol.

$117K Liq.

4

Ends in about 18 hours

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

97%

Reform

$268K Vol.

$122K Liq.

3

Ends in about 18 hours

 Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?
Elections·Global Elections

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

92%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$5M Vol.

$1M Liq.

22

Ends in 25 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Elections.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Elections that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.6B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 26% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Elections predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.