Skip to main content

Elections predictions & odds

·
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·Primaries

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

27%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$5M today

$47M Liq.

669

Ends in over 2 years

Peru Presidential Election Winner
Elections·Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election Winner

65%

Keiko Fujimori

$31M Vol.

$5M today

$7M Liq.

2,941

Ends in about 2 months

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·Primaries

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

39%

J.D. Vance

$557M Vol.

$4M today

$30M Liq.

352

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028
Elections·US Election

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$528M Vol.

$4M today

$30M Liq.

851

Ends in over 2 years

Next French Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Next French Presidential Election

25%

Édouard Philippe

$41M Vol.

$2M today

$4M Liq.

408

Ends in about 1 year

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Elections·Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

61%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$3M Vol.

$1M today

$1M Liq.

266

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

89%

Chong Won-oh

$23M Vol.

$1M today

$2M Liq.

32

Ends in about 2 months

Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Elections·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

99%

Péter Magyar

$90M Vol.

$1M today

$6M Liq.

2,083

Colombia Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Colombia Presidential Election

42%

Paloma Valencia

$20M Vol.

$764K today

$1M Liq.

377

Ends in 2 months

California Governor Election Winner
Elections·US Election

California Governor Election Winner

69%

Tom Steyer

$10M Vol.

$479K today

$2M Liq.

30

Ends in 7 months

Trump out as President by April 30?

Trump out as President by April 30?

1%

$8M Vol.

$429K today

$1M Liq.

1

Ends in 14 days

Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?
Elections·Global Elections

Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?

62%

Other

$958K Vol.

$187K today

$130K Liq.

19

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Elections·Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

64%

Rafael López Aliaga

$553K Vol.

$182K today

$301K Liq.

9

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place
Elections·Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place

99%

Jorge Nieto

$389K Vol.

$174K today

$181K Liq.

2

Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner
Elections·Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner

100%

Keiko Fujimori

$2M Vol.

$129K today

$715K Liq.

17

Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election Winner

Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election Winner

91%

Park Soo-hyun

$976K Vol.

$109K today

$197K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Elections·Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

70%

Keiko Fujimori 5%+

$285K Vol.

$83.5K today

$115K Liq.

5

Next Prime Minister of Denmark?
Elections·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

91%

Mette Frederiksen

$8M Vol.

$79.3K today

$326K Liq.

141

 Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?
Elections·Global Elections

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

92%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$2M Vol.

$77.5K today

$428K Liq.

6

Ends in about 2 months

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

6%

$3M Vol.

$72.8K today

$568K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Elections.

Polymarket currently hosts 848 active markets for Elections that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.4B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump out as President by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 27% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Elections predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.