Elections predictions & odds

·
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Elections

Politics

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

34%

Gavin Newsom

$574m Vol.

$6m today

$23m Liq.

457

Ends in almost 3 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Elections

Politics

Presidential Election Winner 2028

27%

JD Vance

$234m Vol.

$5m today

$18m Liq.

603

Ends in almost 3 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Elections

Politics

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

50%

J.D. Vance

$229m Vol.

$4m today

$11m Liq.

228

Ends in almost 3 years

Portugal Presidential Election

Elections

Politics

Portugal Presidential Election

99%

António José Seguro (IND)

$127m Vol.

$517k today

$9m Liq.

1,606

Ends in 8 days

Costa Rica Presidential Election

Elections

Politics

Costa Rica Presidential Election

91%

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

$2m Vol.

$287k today

$381k Liq.

98

Ends in about 17 hours

Thailand Legislative Election Winner

Elections

Politics

Thailand Legislative Election Winner

64%

People’s Party (PPLE)

$3m Vol.

$242k today

$224k Liq.

70

Ends in 8 days

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

Elections

Politics

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

98%

VVD + CDA + D66

$31m Vol.

$225k today

$1m Liq.

320

Ends in 9 months

Next French Presidential Election

Elections

Politics

Next French Presidential Election

26%

Jordan Bardella

$4m Vol.

$179k today

$1m Liq.

214

Ends in about 1 year

Trump out as President by March 31?

Elections

Politics

Trump out as President by March 31?

3%

$2m Vol.

$106k today

$64.8k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Portugal Presidential Election Margin of Victory: Second Round

Elections

Politics

Portugal Presidential Election Margin of Victory: Second Round

45%

Seguro 30-40%

$611k Vol.

$102k today

$198k Liq.

6

Ends in 8 days

Next President of Vietnam

Elections

Politics

Next President of Vietnam

93%

Tô Lâm

$4m Vol.

$100k today

$324k Liq.

163

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Elections

Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

52%

Péter Magyar

$6m Vol.

$92.8k today

$385k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

California Governor Election Winner

Elections

Politics

California Governor Election Winner

43%

Eric Swalwell

$294k Vol.

$83.3k today

$405k Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

Prime Minister of Japan after snap election?

Elections

Politics

Prime Minister of Japan after snap election?

96%

Sanae Takaichi

$953k Vol.

$63.2k today

$196k Liq.

10

Ends in 8 days

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Elections

Politics

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

42%

$631k Vol.

$64.3k Liq.

9

Ends in 9 months

Colombia Presidential Election

Elections

Politics

Colombia Presidential Election

38%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$3m Vol.

$263k Liq.

169

Ends in 5 months

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Elections

Politics

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

44%

R Senate, D House

$2m Vol.

$276k Liq.

77

Ends in 9 months

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?

Elections

Politics

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?

77%

$88.0k Vol.

$16.4k Liq.

11

Ends in about 17 hours

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

Elections

Politics

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

58%

Chong Won-oh

$701k Vol.

$161k Liq.

7

Ends in 4 months

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Elections

Russia

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

71%

United Russia (ER)

$1m Vol.

$223k Liq.

71

Ends in 8 months