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Vance predictions & odds

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JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

40%

June 30

$44.9K Vol.

$73.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

18%

$55.3K Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

72%

Steve Witkoff

$1M Vol.

$144K Liq.

69

Ends in about 2 months

Who will meet with Iran by May 31?

Who will meet with Iran by May 31?

45%

Jared Kushner

$46.0K Vol.

$108K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

75%

June 30

$32M Vol.

$1M today

$210K Liq.

5

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

58%

Pakistan

$4M Vol.

$309K today

$386K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

What will JD Vance say during remarks in Des Moines?

What will JD Vance say during remarks in Des Moines?

<1%

Transparency

$37.2K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

5

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

16%

May 31

$132K Vol.

$18.2K Liq.

10

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

39%

J.D. Vance

$603M Vol.

$2M today

$25M Liq.

380

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

20%

JD Vance

$570M Vol.

$898K today

$29M Liq.

886

Ends in over 2 years

Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

Marco Rubio

$32.0K Vol.

Ends in 25 days

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

92%

Tucker Carlson

$78.6K Vol.

$44.1K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

100%

Ballroom

$6.2K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

7

Ends in 4 days

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

5%

Any U.S. House member

$380K Vol.

$126K Liq.

4

Ends in about 2 months

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

24%

Rahm Emanuel

$633K Vol.

$790K Liq.

15

Ends in 8 months

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

35%

Tulsi Gabbard

$10.5K Vol.

$37.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

23%

Marco Rubio

$6.3K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner

NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner

94%

Hakeem Jeffries

$6.1K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

What will Trump post this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will Trump post this week? (May 4 - May 10)

64%

Ceasefire / Cease-fire / Cease fire

$3.8K Vol.

$879 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Brazilian President?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Brazilian President?

79%

China

$242 Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

1

Ends in about 15 hours

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 128 active markets for Vance that lets you track or trade on predictions like “JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.2B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

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As of today, the most active market is “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 39% chance to J.D. Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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