Vance predictions & odds

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Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

13%

$49.3K Vol.

$25.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

Who will meet with Iran by April 30?

Who will meet with Iran by April 30?

77%

Steve Witkoff

$80.2K Vol.

$80.2K today

$67.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 14 days

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

87%

Steve Witkoff

$12.0K Vol.

$63.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

88%

April 30

$1M Vol.

$447K today

$172K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

89%

Pakistan

$758K Vol.

$216K today

$273K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

39%

J.D. Vance

$557M Vol.

$4M today

$30M Liq.

351

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$528M Vol.

$4M today

$30M Liq.

850

Ends in over 2 years

What will Trump post this week? (April 6 - April 12)

What will Trump post this week? (April 6 - April 12)

<1%

Make Iran Great Again / MIGA

$3M Vol.

$380K today

$17.2K Liq.

1

What will Trump say during Fox Business interview on April 15?

What will Trump say during Fox Business interview on April 15?

18%

Boat

$207K Vol.

$149K today

$20.8K Liq.

116

Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?

Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?

98%

Joe Biden

$49.6K Vol.

$124K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

9%

Any U.S. House member

$321K Vol.

$218K Liq.

4

Ends in 3 months

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

45%

Steve Bannon

$546K Vol.

$1M Liq.

15

Ends in 9 months

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

38%

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

$25.4K Vol.

$148K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

26%

Taylor Rogers

$8.8K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

39%

Elise Stefanik

$92 Vol.

$864K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner

NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner

96%

Hakeem Jeffries

$5.2K Vol.

$47.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

92%

$2.0K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs Joblife GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage

Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs Joblife GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage

ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby

$8.3K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

18%

<5

$7.2K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

12%

$4.1K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

4

Ends in 9 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Vance.

Polymarket currently hosts 126 active markets for Vance that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.1B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs Joblife GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 39% chance to J.D. Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Vance predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.