Recent indirect messaging between US and Iranian officials via Oman and other intermediaries has sustained trader interest in potential new talks before the August 31 deadline, amid stalled progress on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and mutual compensation demands. The June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum and subsequent technical sessions in Switzerland and Doha involved US envoys such as Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner alongside Iranian counterparts, establishing patterns for future participation. As of mid-August, President Trump has emphasized sanctions pressure while Pakistan signals proximity to an arrangement, though no firm round or attendee list has been confirmed. Market pricing on specific individuals reflects this uncertainty over timing, venue, and delegation composition within the narrow window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$83,295 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
Nick Stewart
53%
Kazem Gharibabadi
20%
Steve Witkoff
20%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
17%
Jared Kushner
17%
Abbas Araghchi
16%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
13%
Ishaq Dar
12%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
10%
J.D. Vance
7%
Rafael Grossi
17%
Marco Rubio
4%
Pete Hegseth
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
4%
Donald Trump
3%
Esmail Qaani
2%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
48%
$83,295 Vol.
Nick Stewart
$10 Vol.
53%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,120 Vol.
20%
Steve Witkoff
$10,802 Vol.
20%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$2,599 Vol.
17%
Jared Kushner
$12,766 Vol.
17%
Abbas Araghchi
$8,430 Vol.
16%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$11,136 Vol.
13%
Ishaq Dar
$2,595 Vol.
12%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,725 Vol.
10%
J.D. Vance
$8,009 Vol.
7%
Rafael Grossi
$878 Vol.
17%
Marco Rubio
$7,533 Vol.
4%
Pete Hegseth
$2,551 Vol.
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,702 Vol.
4%
Donald Trump
$6,087 Vol.
3%
Esmail Qaani
$380 Vol.
2%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$296 Vol.
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,466 Vol.
1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$208 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent indirect messaging between US and Iranian officials via Oman and other intermediaries has sustained trader interest in potential new talks before the August 31 deadline, amid stalled progress on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and mutual compensation demands. The June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum and subsequent technical sessions in Switzerland and Doha involved US envoys such as Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner alongside Iranian counterparts, establishing patterns for future participation. As of mid-August, President Trump has emphasized sanctions pressure while Pakistan signals proximity to an arrangement, though no firm round or attendee list has been confirmed. Market pricing on specific individuals reflects this uncertainty over timing, venue, and delegation composition within the narrow window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Volume
$83,295End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent indirect messaging between US and Iranian officials via Oman and other intermediaries has sustained trader interest in potential new talks before the August 31 deadline, amid stalled progress on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and mutual compensation demands. The June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum and subsequent technical sessions in Switzerland and Doha involved US envoys such as Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner alongside Iranian counterparts, establishing patterns for future participation. As of mid-August, President Trump has emphasized sanctions pressure while Pakistan signals proximity to an arrangement, though no firm round or attendee list has been confirmed. Market pricing on specific individuals reflects this uncertainty over timing, venue, and delegation composition within the narrow window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$83,295End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent indirect messaging between US and Iranian officials via Oman and other intermediaries has sustained trader interest in potential new talks before the August 31 deadline, amid stalled progress on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and mutual compensation demands. The June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum and subsequent technical sessions in Switzerland and Doha involved US envoys such as Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner alongside Iranian counterparts, establishing patterns for future participation. As of mid-August, President Trump has emphasized sanctions pressure while Pakistan signals proximity to an arrangement, though no firm round or attendee list has been confirmed. Market pricing on specific individuals reflects this uncertainty over timing, venue, and delegation composition within the narrow window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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