Vote predictions & odds

Elections·Global Elections

Russia Election: United Russia (ER) Vote Share?

$82.3K Vol.

$96.4K Liq.

100%

55-60%

$82.3K Vol.

$96.4K Liq.

Geopolitics·Israel

Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?

$4.6K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

42%

$4.6K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Elections·Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?

$71.2K Vol.

$156K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

86%

39%+

$71.2K Vol.

$156K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Elections·Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?

$90.3K Vol.

$76.7K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

35%

2-4%

$90.3K Vol.

$76.7K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Elections·House Elections

VA-11 House Election Margin of Victory

$26 Vol.

$553 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

38%

Democrat 50%+

$26 Vol.

$553 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Politics·Congress

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

$163K Vol.

$70.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

16%

Alex Padilla

$163K Vol.

$70.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Elections·Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?

$9.7K Vol.

$36.1K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

48%

44%+

$9.7K Vol.

$36.1K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Elections·Midterms

Virginia Senate Election: Turnout

$1.9K Vol.

$27.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

31%

3.25M-3.5M

$1.9K Vol.

$27.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Politics·Congress

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

$113K Vol.

$46.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Above 66

$113K Vol.

$46.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Elections·Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Augusto Cury Vote Share?

$12.1K Vol.

$21.5K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

38%

4-6%

$12.1K Vol.

$21.5K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Geopolitics·Israel

Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?

$1.6K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

48%

$1.6K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

World·Canada

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

$303K Vol.

$76.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$303K Vol.

$76.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Spain

No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by...?

$21.7K Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

14%

$21.7K Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Elections·House Elections

VA-02 House Election Margin of Victory

$2.6K Vol.

$60.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

14%

Democrat 0-3%

$2.6K Vol.

$60.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Politics·Congress

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

$140K Vol.

$253K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

27%

Democrats 8-10%

$140K Vol.

$253K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Politics·Starmer

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Green Vote Share?

$3.8K Vol.

$18.3K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

33%

35-40%

$3.8K Vol.

$18.3K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Elections·House Elections

VA-10 House Election Margin of Victory

$2.4K Vol.

$57.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

33%

Democrat 15-20%

$2.4K Vol.

$57.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Politics·Starmer

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share?

$5.4K Vol.

$27.1K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

29%

35-40%

$5.4K Vol.

$27.1K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Politics·Starmer

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory

$3.3K Vol.

$43.0K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

39%

Labour 15%+

$3.3K Vol.

$43.0K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Elections·House Elections

VT-AL House Election Margin of Victory

$12.9K Vol.

$73.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

37%

Democrat 35-40%

$12.9K Vol.

$73.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

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Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Vote.

Polymarket currently hosts 660 active markets for Vote that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Russia Election: United Russia (ER) Vote Share?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by...?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 93% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Vote predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Vote shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?” without ever needing to place a trade.

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Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Russia Election: United Russia (ER) Vote Share?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

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Vote predictions & odds

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

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Vote predictions & odds