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Vote predictions & odds

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No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

10%

$13.2K Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

11%

$68.3K Vol.

$29.2K Liq.

7

Ends in 8 months

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

16%

Democrats 8-10%

$34.2K Vol.

$90.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

4%

$23.6K Vol.

$12.8K Liq.

8

Ends in 8 months

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

41%

National 10%+

$0 Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

57%

Labour

$44 Vol.

$548 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

32%

$6.1K Vol.

$512 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

76%

Civilian Service Act

$101K Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

Ends in 30 days

California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

39%

$8.1K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

3%

$28.2K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

93%

Scott Wiener

$357K Vol.

$53.0K Liq.

4

Ends in 18 days

Malta General Election: Turnout

Malta General Election: Turnout

49%

<85%

$24.5K Vol.

$27.4K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

26%

1.2–1.5M

$88.7K Vol.

$30.6K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

28%

125-130m

$7.2K Vol.

$28.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

New Zealand Election: Turnout

New Zealand Election: Turnout

50%

<76%

$82 Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

38%

53-56%

$564 Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?

Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?

51%

54-57%

$2.6K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 16 days

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

4%

June 30, 2026

$752K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

14

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

73%

$39.3K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

91%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$1M Vol.

$85.7K Liq.

8

Ends in 4 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Vote.

Polymarket currently hosts 165 active markets for Vote that lets you track or trade on predictions like “No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 91% chance to Swedish Social Democratic Party (S). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Vote predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.