2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

21%

Democrats 8-10%

$28.2K Vol.

$51.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

96%

Kevin Cramer

$72.1K Vol.

$28.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

8%

53

$62.7K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

91%

$6.0K Vol.

$421 Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

6%

$20.2K Vol.

$53.6K Liq.

8

Ends in 9 months

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

41%

Tisza 9%+

$1M Vol.

$61.9K today

$194K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza)

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza)

39%

Tisza <9%

$11.1K Vol.

$72.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

16%

$46.8K Vol.

$21.3K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 months

Hungary Parliamentary Election:  Popular Vote Winner

Hungary Parliamentary Election: Popular Vote Winner

79%

Tisza

$358K Vol.

$90.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 days

Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote

Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote

38%

46-50%

$45.0K Vol.

$68.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 days

Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP % of popular vote

Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP % of popular vote

32%

40-44%

$39.1K Vol.

$48.6K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

55%

Civilian Service Act

$4.1K Vol.

$21.2K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Trump out as President by April 30?

Trump out as President by April 30?

2%

$3M Vol.

$1M today

$437K Liq.

1

Ends in 24 days

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

27%

Édouard Philippe

$33M Vol.

$1M today

$3M Liq.

382

Ends in about 1 year

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

17%

$6M Vol.

$114K today

$478K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

6%

$2M Vol.

$73.8K today

$647K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

92%

$258K Vol.

$69.7K Liq.

5

Ends in 15 days

Hungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Hungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

98%

Mi Hazánk

$61.0K Vol.

$111K Liq.

10

Ends in 6 days

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

92%

GERB-SDS

$26.1K Vol.

$70.1K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

39%

Karen Bass

$812K Vol.

$162K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Vote.

Polymarket currently hosts 257 active markets for Vote that lets you track or trade on predictions like “2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $47.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump out as President by April 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next French Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Next French Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 27% chance to Édouard Philippe. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Vote predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.