Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

76%

$293K Vol.

$72.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?

Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?

19%

$2.9K Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Bank of Canada decision in April?

Bank of Canada decision in April?

97%

No change

$80.0K Vol.

$37.2K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

4%

$40.0K Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

4

Ends in 3 months

Canada recession before 2027?

Canada recession before 2027?

41%

$53.9K Vol.

$27.1K Liq.

4

Ends in 9 months

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

63%

$2.8K Vol.

$824 Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

15%

$5.6K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 11 months

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

11%

$29.8K Vol.

$18.6K Liq.

4

Ends in 3 months

Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?

Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?

51%

Up

$17 Vol.

$8 Liq.

Bank of Canada decision in June?

Bank of Canada decision in June?

70%

No change

$2.1K Vol.

$13.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Another Canada election called by June 30?

Another Canada election called by June 30?

5%

$72.8K Vol.

$13.7K Liq.

40

Ends in 3 months

University—Rosedale By-Election Winner

University—Rosedale By-Election Winner

99%

Danielle Martin

$27.3K Vol.

$59.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner

Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner

99%

Doly Begum

$2.7K Vol.

$44.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Terrebone By-Election Winner

Terrebone By-Election Winner

60%

Tatiana Auguste

$60.9K Vol.

$124K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 days

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

41%

3.5-3.9%

$15.8K Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

98%

$158K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

41

Ends in 3 months

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

16%

$44.6K Vol.

$23.2K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 months

Will Alberta join the US?

Will Alberta join the US?

5%

$2.0K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

38%

$1.5K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 year

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

37%

Up

$1.4K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 year

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Canada.

Polymarket currently hosts 156 active markets for Canada that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $897K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Bank of Canada decision in April?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 76% chance to Yes. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Canada predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.