Recent energy price surges tied to Middle East supply disruptions have lifted Canada’s headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in April 2026 from 2.4% in March, the highest in two years, while core measures such as the Bank of Canada’s trimmed-mean and median remained near or below 2.1%. With the 2025 annual average at 2.1% and the central bank projecting inflation to stay near its 2% target before easing further in 2027, traders assign nearly identical implied probabilities—roughly 36-37%—to the 1.5-1.9%, 2.5-2.9%, 3.0-3.4%, 3.5-3.9%, and 4.0%+ ranges for the full-year 2026 average. This tight clustering reflects uncertainty over whether transitory energy effects will persist amid U.S. tariff adjustments and soft labor-market conditions, with the next CPI release and Bank of Canada communications serving as key near-term swing factors.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоГодовая инфляция в Канаде в 2026 году
Годовая инфляция в Канаде в 2026 году
3,5-3,9% 37.2%
2,0–2,4% 20.0%
1,0–1,4% 1.2%
<1,0% <1%
$16,418 Объем
$16,418 Объем
18 янв. 2027 г.
<1,0%
1%
1,0–1,4%
6%
1,5–1,9%
44%
2,0–2,4%
20%
2,5–2,9%
30%
3,0–3,4%
43%
3,5-3,9%
37%
4,0%+
42%
3,5-3,9% 37.2%
2,0–2,4% 20.0%
1,0–1,4% 1.2%
<1,0% <1%
$16,418 Объем
$16,418 Объем
18 янв. 2027 г.
<1,0%
$328 Объем
1%
1,0–1,4%
$355 Объем
6%
1,5–1,9%
$656 Объем
44%
2,0–2,4%
$468 Объем
20%
2,5–2,9%
$502 Объем
30%
3,0–3,4%
$13,465 Объем
43%
3,5-3,9%
$287 Объем
37%
4,0%+
$357 Объем
42%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent energy price surges tied to Middle East supply disruptions have lifted Canada’s headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in April 2026 from 2.4% in March, the highest in two years, while core measures such as the Bank of Canada’s trimmed-mean and median remained near or below 2.1%. With the 2025 annual average at 2.1% and the central bank projecting inflation to stay near its 2% target before easing further in 2027, traders assign nearly identical implied probabilities—roughly 36-37%—to the 1.5-1.9%, 2.5-2.9%, 3.0-3.4%, 3.5-3.9%, and 4.0%+ ranges for the full-year 2026 average. This tight clustering reflects uncertainty over whether transitory energy effects will persist amid U.S. tariff adjustments and soft labor-market conditions, with the next CPI release and Bank of Canada communications serving as key near-term swing factors.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Объем
$16,418Дата окончания
18 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent energy price surges tied to Middle East supply disruptions have lifted Canada’s headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in April 2026 from 2.4% in March, the highest in two years, while core measures such as the Bank of Canada’s trimmed-mean and median remained near or below 2.1%. With the 2025 annual average at 2.1% and the central bank projecting inflation to stay near its 2% target before easing further in 2027, traders assign nearly identical implied probabilities—roughly 36-37%—to the 1.5-1.9%, 2.5-2.9%, 3.0-3.4%, 3.5-3.9%, and 4.0%+ ranges for the full-year 2026 average. This tight clustering reflects uncertainty over whether transitory energy effects will persist amid U.S. tariff adjustments and soft labor-market conditions, with the next CPI release and Bank of Canada communications serving as key near-term swing factors.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Объем
$16,418Дата окончания
18 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent energy price surges tied to Middle East supply disruptions have lifted Canada’s headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in April 2026 from 2.4% in March, the highest in two years, while core measures such as the Bank of Canada’s trimmed-mean and median remained near or below 2.1%. With the 2025 annual average at 2.1% and the central bank projecting inflation to stay near its 2% target before easing further in 2027, traders assign nearly identical implied probabilities—roughly 36-37%—to the 1.5-1.9%, 2.5-2.9%, 3.0-3.4%, 3.5-3.9%, and 4.0%+ ranges for the full-year 2026 average. This tight clustering reflects uncertainty over whether transitory energy effects will persist amid U.S. tariff adjustments and soft labor-market conditions, with the next CPI release and Bank of Canada communications serving as key near-term swing factors.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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