Trader sentiment on Polymarket prices Canada's December 2026 year-over-year CPI at 3.0-3.9% with nearly even implied probabilities (37.4% for 3.0-3.4%, 36.0% for 3.5-3.9%), driven by February's headline inflation cooling to 1.8% from 2.3% in January amid favorable base effects from the prior GST/HST holiday unwind, yet offset by looming energy price shocks from global oil disruptions flagged by the Bank of Canada. Core measures like CPI-trim eased to 2.4%, aligning with the BoC's 2% target, but traders split on shock persistence versus policy response, with the central bank holding its 2.25% policy rate steady. Key swing factor: March CPI data due April 20, alongside oil trajectory and geopolitical risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoInflación anual de Canadá 2026
Inflación anual de Canadá 2026
3,0-3,4% 39.7%
3,5-3,9% 35.9%
2.0–2.4% 13%
2.5–2.9% 13%
$15,742 Vol.
$15,742 Vol.
18 ene 2027
<1,0%
7%
1.0–1.4%
<1%
1.5–1.9%
8%
2.0–2.4%
13%
2.5–2.9%
19%
3,0-3,4%
39%
3,5-3,9%
36%
4.0%+
12%
3,0-3,4% 39.7%
3,5-3,9% 35.9%
2.0–2.4% 13%
2.5–2.9% 13%
$15,742 Vol.
$15,742 Vol.
18 ene 2027
<1,0%
$282 Vol.
7%
1.0–1.4%
$303 Vol.
<1%
1.5–1.9%
$568 Vol.
8%
2.0–2.4%
$321 Vol.
13%
2.5–2.9%
$459 Vol.
19%
3,0-3,4%
$13,221 Vol.
39%
3,5-3,9%
$263 Vol.
36%
4.0%+
$325 Vol.
12%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Trader sentiment on Polymarket prices Canada's December 2026 year-over-year CPI at 3.0-3.9% with nearly even implied probabilities (37.4% for 3.0-3.4%, 36.0% for 3.5-3.9%), driven by February's headline inflation cooling to 1.8% from 2.3% in January amid favorable base effects from the prior GST/HST holiday unwind, yet offset by looming energy price shocks from global oil disruptions flagged by the Bank of Canada. Core measures like CPI-trim eased to 2.4%, aligning with the BoC's 2% target, but traders split on shock persistence versus policy response, with the central bank holding its 2.25% policy rate steady. Key swing factor: March CPI data due April 20, alongside oil trajectory and geopolitical risks.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Mercado abierto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Volumen
$15,742Fecha de finalización
18 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Trader sentiment on Polymarket prices Canada's December 2026 year-over-year CPI at 3.0-3.9% with nearly even implied probabilities (37.4% for 3.0-3.4%, 36.0% for 3.5-3.9%), driven by February's headline inflation cooling to 1.8% from 2.3% in January amid favorable base effects from the prior GST/HST holiday unwind, yet offset by looming energy price shocks from global oil disruptions flagged by the Bank of Canada. Core measures like CPI-trim eased to 2.4%, aligning with the BoC's 2% target, but traders split on shock persistence versus policy response, with the central bank holding its 2.25% policy rate steady. Key swing factor: March CPI data due April 20, alongside oil trajectory and geopolitical risks.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Volumen
$15,742Fecha de finalización
18 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Polymarket prices Canada's December 2026 year-over-year CPI at 3.0-3.9% with nearly even implied probabilities (37.4% for 3.0-3.4%, 36.0% for 3.5-3.9%), driven by February's headline inflation cooling to 1.8% from 2.3% in January amid favorable base effects from the prior GST/HST holiday unwind, yet offset by looming energy price shocks from global oil disruptions flagged by the Bank of Canada. Core measures like CPI-trim eased to 2.4%, aligning with the BoC's 2% target, but traders split on shock persistence versus policy response, with the central bank holding its 2.25% policy rate steady. Key swing factor: March CPI data due April 20, alongside oil trajectory and geopolitical risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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