Trader sentiment on Polymarket for Mexico's 2026 annual inflation clusters tightly around the 4%-5% range, with 4.00%-4.49% (30.5%) edging 4.50%-4.99% (30.0%) and 3.50%-3.99% (26.5%) close behind, driven by February's headline CPI rise to 4.02% year-over-year and first-half March's acceleration to 4.63%, amid sticky core inflation near 4.5%. Private sector forecasts, per Banxico's latest survey, revised end-2026 expectations upward to 4.21%, offsetting the central bank's dovish 25 basis point rate cut to 6.75% on March 26 despite pressures, signaling bets on economic slowdown aiding disinflation. Key swing factors include persistence of non-core shocks like food and energy prices versus core moderation and further monetary easing; full March CPI and Banxico's April meeting loom as catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado4.00% a 4.49% 30%
4.50% a 4.99% 27%
5.00% a 5.49% 26.3%
3.50% a 3.99% 25%
$33,909 Vol.
$33,909 Vol.
8 ene 2027
<2.50%
5%
2.50% a 2.99%
3%
3.00% a 3.49%
16%
3.50% a 3.99%
25%
4.00% a 4.49%
30%
4.50% a 4.99%
27%
5.00% a 5.49%
14%
5.50%+
8%
4.00% a 4.49% 30%
4.50% a 4.99% 27%
5.00% a 5.49% 26.3%
3.50% a 3.99% 25%
$33,909 Vol.
$33,909 Vol.
8 ene 2027
<2.50%
$0 Vol.
5%
2.50% a 2.99%
$0 Vol.
3%
3.00% a 3.49%
$25,641 Vol.
16%
3.50% a 3.99%
$250 Vol.
25%
4.00% a 4.49%
$346 Vol.
30%
4.50% a 4.99%
$3,000 Vol.
27%
5.00% a 5.49%
$356 Vol.
14%
5.50%+
$4,316 Vol.
8%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioTrader sentiment on Polymarket for Mexico's 2026 annual inflation clusters tightly around the 4%-5% range, with 4.00%-4.49% (30.5%) edging 4.50%-4.99% (30.0%) and 3.50%-3.99% (26.5%) close behind, driven by February's headline CPI rise to 4.02% year-over-year and first-half March's acceleration to 4.63%, amid sticky core inflation near 4.5%. Private sector forecasts, per Banxico's latest survey, revised end-2026 expectations upward to 4.21%, offsetting the central bank's dovish 25 basis point rate cut to 6.75% on March 26 despite pressures, signaling bets on economic slowdown aiding disinflation. Key swing factors include persistence of non-core shocks like food and energy prices versus core moderation and further monetary easing; full March CPI and Banxico's April meeting loom as catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Mercado abierto: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Volumen
$33,909Fecha de finalización
8 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioTrader sentiment on Polymarket for Mexico's 2026 annual inflation clusters tightly around the 4%-5% range, with 4.00%-4.49% (30.5%) edging 4.50%-4.99% (30.0%) and 3.50%-3.99% (26.5%) close behind, driven by February's headline CPI rise to 4.02% year-over-year and first-half March's acceleration to 4.63%, amid sticky core inflation near 4.5%. Private sector forecasts, per Banxico's latest survey, revised end-2026 expectations upward to 4.21%, offsetting the central bank's dovish 25 basis point rate cut to 6.75% on March 26 despite pressures, signaling bets on economic slowdown aiding disinflation. Key swing factors include persistence of non-core shocks like food and energy prices versus core moderation and further monetary easing; full March CPI and Banxico's April meeting loom as catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Volumen
$33,909Fecha de finalización
8 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Polymarket for Mexico's 2026 annual inflation clusters tightly around the 4%-5% range, with 4.00%-4.49% (30.5%) edging 4.50%-4.99% (30.0%) and 3.50%-3.99% (26.5%) close behind, driven by February's headline CPI rise to 4.02% year-over-year and first-half March's acceleration to 4.63%, amid sticky core inflation near 4.5%. Private sector forecasts, per Banxico's latest survey, revised end-2026 expectations upward to 4.21%, offsetting the central bank's dovish 25 basis point rate cut to 6.75% on March 26 despite pressures, signaling bets on economic slowdown aiding disinflation. Key swing factors include persistence of non-core shocks like food and energy prices versus core moderation and further monetary easing; full March CPI and Banxico's April meeting loom as catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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