The Federal Reserve held its target federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the May 6-7, 2026 FOMC meeting, amid heightened internal dissent and persistent inflation pressures from March CPI rising to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—driven by energy costs and geopolitical tensions. Resilient labor markets, with March nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs and unemployment at 4.3%, reinforce a cautious policy stance, as core PCE inflation expectations hover around 3.4%. Market-implied paths via CME FedWatch Tool show trader consensus favoring stability through summer, with rate hike risks minimal absent sharper inflation acceleration. Key catalysts ahead include April CPI data on May 12 and the June 16-17 FOMC, where fresh economic releases could shift monetary policy expectations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$144,559 Vol.
9 dic 2026
Reunión de junio
1%
Reunión de julio
6%
Reunión de septiembre
16%
Reunión de octubre
23%
$144,559 Vol.
Reunión de junio
$12,062 Vol.
1%
Reunión de julio
$755 Vol.
6%
Reunión de septiembre
$49 Vol.
16%
Reunión de octubre
$384 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve held its target federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the May 6-7, 2026 FOMC meeting, amid heightened internal dissent and persistent inflation pressures from March CPI rising to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—driven by energy costs and geopolitical tensions. Resilient labor markets, with March nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs and unemployment at 4.3%, reinforce a cautious policy stance, as core PCE inflation expectations hover around 3.4%. Market-implied paths via CME FedWatch Tool show trader consensus favoring stability through summer, with rate hike risks minimal absent sharper inflation acceleration. Key catalysts ahead include April CPI data on May 12 and the June 16-17 FOMC, where fresh economic releases could shift monetary policy expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Volumen
$144,559Fecha de finalización
29 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve held its target federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the May 6-7, 2026 FOMC meeting, amid heightened internal dissent and persistent inflation pressures from March CPI rising to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—driven by energy costs and geopolitical tensions. Resilient labor markets, with March nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs and unemployment at 4.3%, reinforce a cautious policy stance, as core PCE inflation expectations hover around 3.4%. Market-implied paths via CME FedWatch Tool show trader consensus favoring stability through summer, with rate hike risks minimal absent sharper inflation acceleration. Key catalysts ahead include April CPI data on May 12 and the June 16-17 FOMC, where fresh economic releases could shift monetary policy expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$144,559Fecha de finalización
29 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve held its target federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the May 6-7, 2026 FOMC meeting, amid heightened internal dissent and persistent inflation pressures from March CPI rising to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—driven by energy costs and geopolitical tensions. Resilient labor markets, with March nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs and unemployment at 4.3%, reinforce a cautious policy stance, as core PCE inflation expectations hover around 3.4%. Market-implied paths via CME FedWatch Tool show trader consensus favoring stability through summer, with rate hike risks minimal absent sharper inflation acceleration. Key catalysts ahead include April CPI data on May 12 and the June 16-17 FOMC, where fresh economic releases could shift monetary policy expectations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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