PolíTica predicciones y probabilidades
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PolíTica
IráN¿La próxima vez que Estados Unidos ataque a Irán en...?
84%
Sin ataque antes del 28 de febrero
$24m Vol.
$6m today
$1m Liq.
Ends in 15 days
PolíTica
EleccionesGanador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Bangladesh
89%
Partido Nacionalista de Bangladesh (BNP)
PolíTica
Elecciones¿Primer Ministro de Japón después de unas elecciones anticipadas?
100%
Sanae Takaichi
Frequently Asked Questions
Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like PolíTica.
Polymarket currently hosts 1396 active markets for PolíTica that lets you track or trade on predictions like "¿Decisión de la Fed en marzo?". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.1B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.
Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "¿Otro cierre del gobierno de EE. UU. para el 14 de febrero?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.
As of today, the most active market is "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028," where the crowd is currently assigning a 27% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.
It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PolíTica predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.