Post-2024 election defeat of Kamala Harris has thrust the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination into a wide-open contest, with traders assigning Gavin Newsom a leading 23.9% implied probability due to his formidable fundraising network exceeding $100 million, national media profile from high-visibility debates, and term-limited California governorship ending in 2026—freeing him for an early campaign launch. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3%, buoyed by progressive base enthusiasm and viral critiques of party leadership amid ongoing post-election soul-searching, while Jon Ossoff's 6.2% reflects his battleground Georgia reelection viability. Harris has faded to 4.5% following her loss. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm outcomes in swing states, key endorsements from labor unions or donors, and standout policy contrasts during Trump's second term, with early primary positioning via national tours amplifying frontrunners.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoCandidato presidencial demócrata 2028
Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028
Gavin Newsom 24.2%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%
Jon Ossoff 6.2%
Kamala Harris 4.5%
$916,490,950 Vol.
$916,490,950 Vol.

Gavin Newsom
24%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%

Jon Ossoff
6%

Kamala Harris
4%

Título del ítem del grupo: Josh Shapiro
4%

Pete Buttigieg
4%

J.B. Pritzker
3%

Título del ítem del grupo: Mark Kelly
2%

Título del ítem del grupo: Andy Beshear
2%

Jon Stewart
2%

James Talarico
2%

Rubén Gallego
2%

Wes Moore
2%

Gretchen Whitmer
2%

Ro Khanna
2%

Título del ítem del grupo: Michelle Obama
1%

Chris Murphy
1%

Rahm Emanuel
1%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%

Stephen A. Smith
1%

Gina Raimondo
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Liz Cheney
1%

Mark Cuban
1%

Roy Cooper
1%

Cory Booker
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Oprah Winfrey
1%

John Fetterman
1%

LeBron James
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Zohran Mamdani
1%

MrBeast
1%

Chelsea Clinton
1%

George Clooney
1%

Andrew Yang
1%

Tedtulo del edtem del grupo: Kim Kardashian
1%

Título del grupo: Jared Polis
1%

Hillary Clinton
1%

Barack Obama
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Beto O’Rourke
1%

Phil Murphy
1%

Hunter Biden
1%

Título del ítem de grupo: Raphael Warnock
1%

Bernie Sanders
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Jasmine Crockett
1%
Gavin Newsom 24.2%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%
Jon Ossoff 6.2%
Kamala Harris 4.5%
$916,490,950 Vol.
$916,490,950 Vol.

Gavin Newsom
24%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%

Jon Ossoff
6%

Kamala Harris
4%

Título del ítem del grupo: Josh Shapiro
4%

Pete Buttigieg
4%

J.B. Pritzker
3%

Título del ítem del grupo: Mark Kelly
2%

Título del ítem del grupo: Andy Beshear
2%

Jon Stewart
2%

James Talarico
2%

Rubén Gallego
2%

Wes Moore
2%

Gretchen Whitmer
2%

Ro Khanna
2%

Título del ítem del grupo: Michelle Obama
1%

Chris Murphy
1%

Rahm Emanuel
1%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%

Stephen A. Smith
1%

Gina Raimondo
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Liz Cheney
1%

Mark Cuban
1%

Roy Cooper
1%

Cory Booker
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Oprah Winfrey
1%

John Fetterman
1%

LeBron James
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Zohran Mamdani
1%

MrBeast
1%

Chelsea Clinton
1%

George Clooney
1%

Andrew Yang
1%

Tedtulo del edtem del grupo: Kim Kardashian
1%

Título del grupo: Jared Polis
1%

Hillary Clinton
1%

Barack Obama
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Beto O’Rourke
1%

Phil Murphy
1%

Hunter Biden
1%

Título del ítem de grupo: Raphael Warnock
1%

Bernie Sanders
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Jasmine Crockett
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Post-2024 election defeat of Kamala Harris has thrust the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination into a wide-open contest, with traders assigning Gavin Newsom a leading 23.9% implied probability due to his formidable fundraising network exceeding $100 million, national media profile from high-visibility debates, and term-limited California governorship ending in 2026—freeing him for an early campaign launch. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3%, buoyed by progressive base enthusiasm and viral critiques of party leadership amid ongoing post-election soul-searching, while Jon Ossoff's 6.2% reflects his battleground Georgia reelection viability. Harris has faded to 4.5% following her loss. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm outcomes in swing states, key endorsements from labor unions or donors, and standout policy contrasts during Trump's second term, with early primary positioning via national tours amplifying frontrunners.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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