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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 27.8%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.4%

Kamala Harris 5.9%

Jon Ossoff 4.4%

Polymarket

$696,976,352 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$696,976,352
Fecha de finalización
Nov 7, 2028
Creado en
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 28%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" has generated $697 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon
Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 27.8%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.4%

Kamala Harris 5.9%

Jon Ossoff 4.4%

Polymarket

$696,976,352 Vol.

Market icon

Gavin Newsom

$7,538,275 Vol.

28%

Market icon

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$4,644,391 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Kamala Harris

$6,554,690 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Jon Ossoff

$4,391,709 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Josh Shapiro

$4,616,425 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Pete Buttigieg

$3,732,113 Vol.

4%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Andy Beshear

$4,579,783 Vol.

3%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Mark Kelly

$6,693,076 Vol.

2%

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Roy Cooper

$19,207,302 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$7,406,999 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$5,475,105 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$5,204,284 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$4,684,216 Vol.

2%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$6,870,589 Vol.

2%

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Rubén Gallego

$2,409,361 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Michelle Obama

$17,112,210 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$9,465,868 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$18,782,772 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$7,286,112 Vol.

1%

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Ro Khanna

$2,994,666 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$13,143,044 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$14,665,167 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Zohran Mamdani

$29,730,604 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$27,584,685 Vol.

1%

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James Talarico

$416,822 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$22,729,090 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Liz Cheney

$27,006,557 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$22,770,958 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$32,091,109 Vol.

1%

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Título del grupo: Jared Polis

$13,312,063 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$28,434,925 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$25,065,017 Vol.

1%

Market icon

MrBeast

$30,119,116 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Chris Murphy

$7,875,046 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Oprah Winfrey

$35,426,758 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Título del ítem de grupo: Raphael Warnock

$16,901,658 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$30,932,302 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tim Walz

$24,302,776 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$29,158,943 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$12,091,028 Vol.

1%

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Tedtulo del edtem del grupo: Kim Kardashian

$23,241,157 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$38,329,541 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$29,936,181 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Jasmine Crockett

$12,061,854 Vol.

1%

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 28%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" has generated $697 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.