Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's swearing-in as Hungary's prime minister on May 9, 2026, following his Tisza party's supermajority victory (141 seats) in the April 12 parliamentary election, has driven trader consensus to 100% certainty on Polymarket. This landslide ousted Viktor Orbán after 16 years, propelled by voter backlash against economic woes, corruption allegations, and EU tensions, enabling swift National Assembly convening and government formation within constitutional timelines. With Tisza's dominance securing legislative control, challenges like a no-confidence vote or resignation appear remote absent extraordinary developments such as health crises, scandals, or legal challenges to the election results. Upcoming cabinet confirmations and policy rollout could further solidify his position.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Péter Magyar's swearing-in as Hungary's prime minister on May 9, 2026, following his Tisza party's supermajority victory (141 seats) in the April 12 parliamentary election, has driven trader consensus to 100% certainty on Polymarket. This landslide ousted Viktor Orbán after 16 years, propelled by voter backlash against economic woes, corruption allegations, and EU tensions, enabling swift National Assembly convening and government formation within constitutional timelines. With Tisza's dominance securing legislative control, challenges like a no-confidence vote or resignation appear remote absent extraordinary developments such as health crises, scandals, or legal challenges to the election results. Upcoming cabinet confirmations and policy rollout could further solidify his position.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
May 1 2026
Toroczkai accuses Prime‑Minister‑designate Magyar Péter of nepotism after the latter appoints his brother‑in‑law as justice minister, underscoring Toroczkai’s opposition rather
Toroczkai accuses Prime‑Minister‑designate Magyar Péter of nepotism after the latter appoints his brother‑in‑law as justice minister, underscoring Toroczkai’s opposition rather than a leadership bid
Apr 15 2026
After the election, Toroczkai reacted negatively to the results and announced he would appeal the vote count to the European Court of Human Rights, confirming he was not in
László Toroczkai dips to 0%3%
After the election, Toroczkai reacted negatively to the results and announced he would appeal the vote count to the European Court of Human Rights, confirming he was not in contention for the premiership
Apr 12 2026
Hungarian parliamentary elections held; Tisza Party wins but Péter Magyar confirmed as Prime Minister, not Kapitány
Following the elections, Péter Magyar was officially appointed Prime Minister, confirming that Kapitány would not assume the premiership, solidifying the zero
Apr 12 2026
Hungarian parliamentary election results show Péter Magyar’s Tisza Party winning a landslide;
Viktor Orbán plunges to 0%37%
Orbán concedes defeat and congratulates his rival on live TV
Apr 12 2026
Péter Magyar wins a landslide victory in the Hungarian parliamentary election, ending Viktor Orbán's 16 years in power;
Viktor Orbán dips to 0%4%
Orbán concedes defeat by phone
Apr 12 2026
Toroczkai congratulates Facebook for “delivering the first Hungarian prime minister” and stresses that the Tisza Party will “return to power,” but offers no concrete claim to the
Toroczkai congratulates Facebook for “delivering the first Hungarian prime minister” and stresses that the Tisza Party will “return to power,” but offers no concrete claim to the premiership himself
Mar 20 2026
Péter Magyar announces Kapitány will serve as Minister of Economy and Energetics in the prospective Tisza government
István Kapitány dips to 0%1%
Despite the ministerial appointment announcement, market confidence in Kapitány becoming Prime Minister diminished, as he was designated for a ministerial role rather than the premiership, leading to a collapse in his market
Mar 6 2026
Serbian police seize 4 kg of explosives near the TurkStream pipeline;
Viktor Orbán dips to 34%3%
Orbán and Foreign Minister Szijjártó blame Ukraine, but the timing is seen as a last‑minute smear, causing a modest
Feb 11 2026
Media scrutiny highlights Kapitány’s controversial past with Shell’s operations in Nigeria and environmental criticisms
István Kapitány dips to 3%2%
Reports surfaced detailing Kapitány’s involvement in Shell’s projects in Nigeria’s Niger Delta during the 1990s, including links to environmental damage and the repression of activists, which cast doubts on his political viability and ethics.
Jan 15 2026
István Kapitány appointed economic advisor to Péter Magyar and the Tisza Party ahead of the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary elections
István Kapitány rises to 5%4%
Kapitány, former Shell Global Executive Vice President, joined the Tisza Party as chief economic and energy expert, signaling his entry into politics and raising his profile as a potential candidate in the upcoming elections.
Oct 16 2025
Orbán announces preparations for a 2025 Russia‑U.S.
summit after a phone call with Donald Trump, drawing backlash over his Russia‑friendly stance
Sep 1 2025
Toroczkai held his final campaign rally in Budapest;
László Toroczkai dips to 0%1%
media coverage noted his party’s polling at 4‑5 % and the likelihood of missing the parliamentary threshold
Aug 20 2025
Péter Magyar holds a major demonstration in Pannonhalma, announcing a new ten-point program outlining his party’s priorities for the upcoming political season, signaling growing
Péter Magyar rises to 57%3%
Péter Magyar holds a major demonstration in Pannonhalma, announcing a new ten-point program outlining his party’s priorities for the upcoming political season, signaling growing opposition momentum
Aug 13 2025
| Russian SVR accuses EU of targeting Hungary;
Péter Magyar rises to 56%1%
Magyar publicly rebuffs Russian interference, boosting his anti‑foreign‑influence image |
Jul 24 2025
Hungarian President Tamás Sulyok officially set the parliamentary election for 12 April 2026, signalling the end of the pre‑election window for a surprise surge by Toroczkai’s Our
László Toroczkai plunges to 1%49%
Hungarian President Tamás Sulyok officially set the parliamentary election for 12 April 2026, signalling the end of the pre‑election window for a surprise surge by Toroczkai’s Our Homeland Movement
May 9 2025
Prime Minister Orbán delivers the "Tihany Speech," expressing support for Romanian presidential candidate George Simion, sparking criticism and political tension in the Hungarian
Péter Magyar rises to 54%4%
Prime Minister Orbán delivers the "Tihany Speech," expressing support for Romanian presidential candidate George Simion, sparking criticism and political tension in the Hungarian minority community
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's swearing-in as Hungary's prime minister on May 9, 2026, following his Tisza party's supermajority victory (141 seats) in the April 12 parliamentary election, has driven trader consensus to 100% certainty on Polymarket. This landslide ousted Viktor Orbán after 16 years, propelled by voter backlash against economic woes, corruption allegations, and EU tensions, enabling swift National Assembly convening and government formation within constitutional timelines. With Tisza's dominance securing legislative control, challenges like a no-confidence vote or resignation appear remote absent extraordinary developments such as health crises, scandals, or legal challenges to the election results. Upcoming cabinet confirmations and policy rollout could further solidify his position.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Péter Magyar's swearing-in as Hungary's prime minister on May 9, 2026, following his Tisza party's supermajority victory (141 seats) in the April 12 parliamentary election, has driven trader consensus to 100% certainty on Polymarket. This landslide ousted Viktor Orbán after 16 years, propelled by voter backlash against economic woes, corruption allegations, and EU tensions, enabling swift National Assembly convening and government formation within constitutional timelines. With Tisza's dominance securing legislative control, challenges like a no-confidence vote or resignation appear remote absent extraordinary developments such as health crises, scandals, or legal challenges to the election results. Upcoming cabinet confirmations and policy rollout could further solidify his position.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
May 1 2026
Toroczkai accuses Prime‑Minister‑designate Magyar Péter of nepotism after the latter appoints his brother‑in‑law as justice minister, underscoring Toroczkai’s opposition rather
Toroczkai accuses Prime‑Minister‑designate Magyar Péter of nepotism after the latter appoints his brother‑in‑law as justice minister, underscoring Toroczkai’s opposition rather than a leadership bid
Apr 15 2026
After the election, Toroczkai reacted negatively to the results and announced he would appeal the vote count to the European Court of Human Rights, confirming he was not in
László Toroczkai dips to 0%3%
After the election, Toroczkai reacted negatively to the results and announced he would appeal the vote count to the European Court of Human Rights, confirming he was not in contention for the premiership
Apr 12 2026
Hungarian parliamentary elections held; Tisza Party wins but Péter Magyar confirmed as Prime Minister, not Kapitány
Following the elections, Péter Magyar was officially appointed Prime Minister, confirming that Kapitány would not assume the premiership, solidifying the zero
Apr 12 2026
Hungarian parliamentary election results show Péter Magyar’s Tisza Party winning a landslide;
Viktor Orbán plunges to 0%37%
Orbán concedes defeat and congratulates his rival on live TV
Apr 12 2026
Péter Magyar wins a landslide victory in the Hungarian parliamentary election, ending Viktor Orbán's 16 years in power;
Viktor Orbán dips to 0%4%
Orbán concedes defeat by phone
Apr 12 2026
Toroczkai congratulates Facebook for “delivering the first Hungarian prime minister” and stresses that the Tisza Party will “return to power,” but offers no concrete claim to the
Toroczkai congratulates Facebook for “delivering the first Hungarian prime minister” and stresses that the Tisza Party will “return to power,” but offers no concrete claim to the premiership himself
Mar 20 2026
Péter Magyar announces Kapitány will serve as Minister of Economy and Energetics in the prospective Tisza government
István Kapitány dips to 0%1%
Despite the ministerial appointment announcement, market confidence in Kapitány becoming Prime Minister diminished, as he was designated for a ministerial role rather than the premiership, leading to a collapse in his market
Mar 6 2026
Serbian police seize 4 kg of explosives near the TurkStream pipeline;
Viktor Orbán dips to 34%3%
Orbán and Foreign Minister Szijjártó blame Ukraine, but the timing is seen as a last‑minute smear, causing a modest
Feb 11 2026
Media scrutiny highlights Kapitány’s controversial past with Shell’s operations in Nigeria and environmental criticisms
István Kapitány dips to 3%2%
Reports surfaced detailing Kapitány’s involvement in Shell’s projects in Nigeria’s Niger Delta during the 1990s, including links to environmental damage and the repression of activists, which cast doubts on his political viability and ethics.
Jan 15 2026
István Kapitány appointed economic advisor to Péter Magyar and the Tisza Party ahead of the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary elections
István Kapitány rises to 5%4%
Kapitány, former Shell Global Executive Vice President, joined the Tisza Party as chief economic and energy expert, signaling his entry into politics and raising his profile as a potential candidate in the upcoming elections.
Oct 16 2025
Orbán announces preparations for a 2025 Russia‑U.S.
summit after a phone call with Donald Trump, drawing backlash over his Russia‑friendly stance
Sep 1 2025
Toroczkai held his final campaign rally in Budapest;
László Toroczkai dips to 0%1%
media coverage noted his party’s polling at 4‑5 % and the likelihood of missing the parliamentary threshold
Aug 20 2025
Péter Magyar holds a major demonstration in Pannonhalma, announcing a new ten-point program outlining his party’s priorities for the upcoming political season, signaling growing
Péter Magyar rises to 57%3%
Péter Magyar holds a major demonstration in Pannonhalma, announcing a new ten-point program outlining his party’s priorities for the upcoming political season, signaling growing opposition momentum
Aug 13 2025
| Russian SVR accuses EU of targeting Hungary;
Péter Magyar rises to 56%1%
Magyar publicly rebuffs Russian interference, boosting his anti‑foreign‑influence image |
Jul 24 2025
Hungarian President Tamás Sulyok officially set the parliamentary election for 12 April 2026, signalling the end of the pre‑election window for a surprise surge by Toroczkai’s Our
László Toroczkai plunges to 1%49%
Hungarian President Tamás Sulyok officially set the parliamentary election for 12 April 2026, signalling the end of the pre‑election window for a surprise surge by Toroczkai’s Our Homeland Movement
May 9 2025
Prime Minister Orbán delivers the "Tihany Speech," expressing support for Romanian presidential candidate George Simion, sparking criticism and political tension in the Hungarian
Péter Magyar rises to 54%4%
Prime Minister Orbán delivers the "Tihany Speech," expressing support for Romanian presidential candidate George Simion, sparking criticism and political tension in the Hungarian minority community
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes
"Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Péter Magyar" con 100%, seguido de "Viktor Orbán" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.
A día de hoy, "Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría" ha generado $101.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 24, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.
El favorito actual para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría" es "Péter Magyar" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Viktor Orbán" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.
Las reglas de resolución para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como rastreador en vivo para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría". Las probabilidades de los resultados se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que entran nuevas operaciones. Puedes guardar esta página en marcadores y consultar la sección de comentarios para ver lo que dicen otros operadores. También puedes usar los filtros de rango temporal en el gráfico para ver cómo han cambiado las probabilidades a lo largo del tiempo.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que ponen dinero real detrás de sus creencias, lo que tiende a generar predicciones precisas. Con $101.1 million operados en “Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría”, estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de miles de participantes — a menudo superando a encuestas, pronósticos de expertos y estudios tradicionales. Los mercados de predicción como Polymarket tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente cuando los eventos se acercan a su fecha de resolución. Por ejemplo, Polymarket tiene una puntuación de precisión a un mes de 94%. Para las últimas estadísticas sobre la precisión de predicción de Polymarket, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y deposita fondos usando criptomonedas, tarjeta de crédito o débito, o transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta tenga fondos, vuelve a esta página, selecciona el resultado en el que quieras operar, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada resultado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 100¢ para "Péter Magyar" en el mercado "Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría" significa que los operadores colectivamente creen que hay aproximadamente una probabilidad de 100% de que "Péter Magyar" sea el resultado correcto. Si compras acciones de "Sí" a 100¢ y el resultado es correcto, recibes $1,00 por acción, una ganancia de 0¢ por acción. Si es incorrecto, esas acciones valen $0.
El mercado "Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría" ha sido resuelto. El resultado final ha sido determinado y el mercado ya no está abierto para operar. Aún puedes revisar las probabilidades históricas, probabilidades de resultados y comentarios en esta página.
El mercado "Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría" tiene una comunidad activa de 2,129 comentarios donde los operadores comparten sus análisis, debaten resultados y discuten los últimos desarrollos. Desplázate hacia abajo a la sección de comentarios para leer lo que piensan otros participantes. También puedes filtrar por "Principales poseedores" o consultar la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de operaciones.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y beneficiarte de tu conocimiento sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados de temas que van desde política y elecciones hasta criptomonedas, finanzas, deportes, tecnología y cultura, incluyendo mercados como "Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría". Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real respaldadas por convicción financiera, ofreciendo a menudo señales más rápidas y precisas que las encuestas, los expertos o los estudios tradicionales.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes