AfD's commanding lead in trader consensus for the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl stems from consistent polling dominance, with recent INSA and Forsa surveys showing it at 32-36%—well ahead of CDU's 25-28%—driven by voter discontent over migration, energy costs, and federal coalition failures amid eastern Germany's economic stagnation. AfD's first-place finishes in the September 2024 Thuringia and Saxony state elections reinforced this trend, solidifying its base in the region under proportional representation where the largest vote share determines the winner. CDU trails as the main challenger but faces uphill coalition math without AfD; smaller parties like SPD, Greens, FDP, Left, and BSW lag far behind. No major shifts in the past week, with the election slated for March 2026 barring a snap vote. Late scandals or turnout swings could narrow gaps, but current wisdom-of-crowds pricing reflects AfD's entrenched advantage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Sachsen-Anhalt
Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Sachsen-Anhalt
AfD 90%
CDU 8.8%
SPD <1%
La Izquierda <1%
$502,809 Vol.
$502,809 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
AfD
90%
CDU
9%
SPD
1%
La Izquierda
<1%
FDP
<1%
BSW
<1%
Los Verdes
<1%
AfD 90%
CDU 8.8%
SPD <1%
La Izquierda <1%
$502,809 Vol.
$502,809 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
AfD
$4,801 Vol.
90%
CDU
$461,754 Vol.
9%
SPD
$23,692 Vol.
1%
La Izquierda
$1,861 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$5,862 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$2,340 Vol.
<1%
Los Verdes
$2,499 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).AfD's commanding lead in trader consensus for the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl stems from consistent polling dominance, with recent INSA and Forsa surveys showing it at 32-36%—well ahead of CDU's 25-28%—driven by voter discontent over migration, energy costs, and federal coalition failures amid eastern Germany's economic stagnation. AfD's first-place finishes in the September 2024 Thuringia and Saxony state elections reinforced this trend, solidifying its base in the region under proportional representation where the largest vote share determines the winner. CDU trails as the main challenger but faces uphill coalition math without AfD; smaller parties like SPD, Greens, FDP, Left, and BSW lag far behind. No major shifts in the past week, with the election slated for March 2026 barring a snap vote. Late scandals or turnout swings could narrow gaps, but current wisdom-of-crowds pricing reflects AfD's entrenched advantage.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Mercado abierto: Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volumen
$502,809Fecha de finalización
Sep 6, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).AfD's commanding lead in trader consensus for the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl stems from consistent polling dominance, with recent INSA and Forsa surveys showing it at 32-36%—well ahead of CDU's 25-28%—driven by voter discontent over migration, energy costs, and federal coalition failures amid eastern Germany's economic stagnation. AfD's first-place finishes in the September 2024 Thuringia and Saxony state elections reinforced this trend, solidifying its base in the region under proportional representation where the largest vote share determines the winner. CDU trails as the main challenger but faces uphill coalition math without AfD; smaller parties like SPD, Greens, FDP, Left, and BSW lag far behind. No major shifts in the past week, with the election slated for March 2026 barring a snap vote. Late scandals or turnout swings could narrow gaps, but current wisdom-of-crowds pricing reflects AfD's entrenched advantage.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volumen
$502,809Fecha de finalización
Sep 6, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD's commanding lead in trader consensus for the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl stems from consistent polling dominance, with recent INSA and Forsa surveys showing it at 32-36%—well ahead of CDU's 25-28%—driven by voter discontent over migration, energy costs, and federal coalition failures amid eastern Germany's economic stagnation. AfD's first-place finishes in the September 2024 Thuringia and Saxony state elections reinforced this trend, solidifying its base in the region under proportional representation where the largest vote share determines the winner. CDU trails as the main challenger but faces uphill coalition math without AfD; smaller parties like SPD, Greens, FDP, Left, and BSW lag far behind. No major shifts in the past week, with the election slated for March 2026 barring a snap vote. Late scandals or turnout swings could narrow gaps, but current wisdom-of-crowds pricing reflects AfD's entrenched advantage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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