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Política·Oriente Medio

¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?

Market icon
Política·Oriente Medio

¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?

Benjamin Netanyahu 45%

Naftali Bennett 22%

Gadi Eizenkot 18.3%

Yair Lapid 2.4%

Polymarket

$4,175,684 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu 45%

Naftali Bennett 22%

Gadi Eizenkot 18.3%

Yair Lapid 2.4%

Polymarket

$4,175,684 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu

$467,014 Vol.

45%

Naftali Bennett

$788,530 Vol.

22%

Gadi Eizenkot

$502,014 Vol.

18%

Yair Lapid

$300,232 Vol.

2%

Benny Gantz

$180,566 Vol.

2%

Yariv Levin

$111,930 Vol.

2%

Yair Golan

$254,581 Vol.

1%

Avigdor Lieberman

$344,959 Vol.

1%

Gideon Sa’ar

$373,736 Vol.

1%

Itamar Ben Gvir

$110,932 Vol.

1%

Yossi Cohen

$355,957 Vol.

1%

Amir Ohana

$1,152 Vol.

<1%

Moshe Feiglin

$257,647 Vol.

<1%

Yoaz Hendel

$50,873 Vol.

<1%

Ayelet Shaked

$72,731 Vol.

<1%

Israel Katz

$1,870 Vol.

<1%

Nir Barkat

$961 Vol.

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Benjamin Netanyahu at 44.5% implied probability to remain prime minister after the next Knesset election by October 27, 2026, driven by Likud's consistent polling lead around 28 seats and his coalition's recent passage of the 2026 state budget, averting a snap election amid stalled Gaza and Iran conflicts that yielded no opinion boost. Naftali Bennett holds 22% on his "Bennett 2026" comeback momentum and prior centrist appeal, but late-March polls like Lazar/Maariv show him slipping to 29% preferred PM behind Gadi Eizenkot's 32%. Eizenkot's 17.2% reflects Yashar's surge past Bennett as top Netanyahu challenger in Channel 12 surveys, bolstered by his ex-IDF chief credentials and rejection of opposition unity talks, amid rightward youth shifts and deadlocked blocs near 60-60 seats.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$4,175,684
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Benjamin Netanyahu at 44.5% implied probability to remain prime minister after the next Knesset election by October 27, 2026, driven by Likud's consistent polling lead around 28 seats and his coalition's recent passage of the 2026 state budget, averting a snap election amid stalled Gaza and Iran conflicts that yielded no opinion boost. Naftali Bennett holds 22% on his "Bennett 2026" comeback momentum and prior centrist appeal, but late-March polls like Lazar/Maariv show him slipping to 29% preferred PM behind Gadi Eizenkot's 32%. Eizenkot's 17.2% reflects Yashar's surge past Bennett as top Netanyahu challenger in Channel 12 surveys, bolstered by his ex-IDF chief credentials and rejection of opposition unity talks, amid rightward youth shifts and deadlocked blocs near 60-60 seats.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$4,175,684
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 17 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Benjamin Netanyahu" con 45%, seguido de "Naftali Bennett" con 22%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" ha generado $4.2 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 15, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?", explora los 17 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" es "Benjamin Netanyahu" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Naftali Bennett" con 22%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.