¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?
Benjamin Netanyahu 41%
Naftali Bennett 35%
Gadi Eizenkot 13.8%
Avigdor Lieberman 6.6%
$8,421,701 Vol.
$8,421,701 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Benjamin Netanyahu
$729,435 Vol.
41%
Naftali Bennett
$1,214,569 Vol.
35%
Gadi Eizenkot
$702,641 Vol.
14%
Avigdor Lieberman
$627,647 Vol.
7%
Yair Lapid
$463,864 Vol.
1%
Itamar Ben Gvir
$287,853 Vol.
1%
Yariv Levin
$430,076 Vol.
1%
Ayelet Shaked
$468,466 Vol.
<1%
Amir Ohana
$240,221 Vol.
<1%
Benny Gantz
$334,835 Vol.
<1%
Yossi Cohen
$590,984 Vol.
<1%
Israel Katz
$117,217 Vol.
<1%
Moshe Feiglin
$486,580 Vol.
<1%
Yair Golan
$440,645 Vol.
<1%
Gideon Sa’ar
$633,560 Vol.
<1%
Yoaz Hendel
$424,561 Vol.
<1%
Nir Barkat
$228,932 Vol.
<1%
Benjamin Netanyahu 41%
Naftali Bennett 35%
Gadi Eizenkot 13.8%
Avigdor Lieberman 6.6%
$8,421,701 Vol.
$8,421,701 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Benjamin Netanyahu
$729,435 Vol.
41%
Naftali Bennett
$1,214,569 Vol.
35%
Gadi Eizenkot
$702,641 Vol.
14%
Avigdor Lieberman
$627,647 Vol.
7%
Yair Lapid
$463,864 Vol.
1%
Itamar Ben Gvir
$287,853 Vol.
1%
Yariv Levin
$430,076 Vol.
1%
Ayelet Shaked
$468,466 Vol.
<1%
Amir Ohana
$240,221 Vol.
<1%
Benny Gantz
$334,835 Vol.
<1%
Yossi Cohen
$590,984 Vol.
<1%
Israel Katz
$117,217 Vol.
<1%
Moshe Feiglin
$486,580 Vol.
<1%
Yair Golan
$440,645 Vol.
<1%
Gideon Sa’ar
$633,560 Vol.
<1%
Yoaz Hendel
$424,561 Vol.
<1%
Nir Barkat
$228,932 Vol.
<1%
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polls reflect trader consensus pricing Benjamin Netanyahu at 40.5% and Naftali Bennett at 34.5% to become Israel's next prime minister after the Knesset election by October 27, 2026, with Gadi Eizenkot at 13.8% underscoring a tight multipolar race hinging on coalition math for a 61-seat majority. Bennett's April 26 merger with Yair Lapid into the "Together" party unified opposition forces, surging Bennett ahead in prime ministerial suitability surveys and projecting his list near Likud's 26 seats. However, May 13-14 polls show Netanyahu's bloc strengthening amid resolved haredi tensions, while unconfirmed talks of Eizenkot or Avigdor Lieberman joining Bennett sustain the deadlock; further alliances or security developments could decisively separate frontrunners.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent polls reflect trader consensus pricing Benjamin Netanyahu at 40.5% and Naftali Bennett at 34.5% to become Israel's next prime minister after the Knesset election by October 27, 2026, with Gadi Eizenkot at 13.8% underscoring a tight multipolar race hinging on coalition math for a 61-seat majority. Bennett's April 26 merger with Yair Lapid into the "Together" party unified opposition forces, surging Bennett ahead in prime ministerial suitability surveys and projecting his list near Likud's 26 seats. However, May 13-14 polls show Netanyahu's bloc strengthening amid resolved haredi tensions, while unconfirmed talks of Eizenkot or Avigdor Lieberman joining Bennett sustain the deadlock; further alliances or security developments could decisively separate frontrunners.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
May 5 2026
US envoys urge Netanyahu to advance Gaza ceasefire second phase
Benjamin Netanyahu jumps to 44%6%
US envoys pressed Netanyahu to move forward with the second phase of the Gaza ceasefire, involving demilitarization and troop withdrawal, highlighting international pressure on his government and affecting his political outlook.
May 5 2026
Israeli strikes kill civilians in Gaza amid ceasefire tensions
Continued Israeli strikes in Gaza, despite the ceasefire, resulted in civilian casualties, highlighting ongoing conflict challenges under Netanyahu's leadership and affecting his market support.
Apr 27 2026
Israel objects to US-led Gaza Board of Peace appointments
Benjamin Netanyahu jumps to 44%6%
Israel's government, led by Netanyahu, objected to the US announcement of leaders overseeing Gaza's next steps, reflecting diplomatic tensions that influenced market perceptions of Netanyahu's political challenges.
Apr 27 2026
Netanyahu faces ethics debate over retouched images of his wife
Benjamin Netanyahu dips to 41%2%
The revelation of heavily retouched official photos of Netanyahu’s wife sparked ethics concerns and public trust issues, slightly affecting Netanyahu’s market support ahead of the election.
Hezbollah declared it would not abide by any agreements from Lebanon-Israel talks, signaling ongoing regional instability and challenges to Netanyahu's security agenda, influencing market sentiment.
Apr 12 2026
Gadi Eizenkot’s military reforms receive Knesset endorsement
Gadi Eizenkot surges to 20%16%
The Knesset’s approval of Eizenkot’s proposed defense reforms increased his credibility as a security‑focused leader, lifting his market price from near‑zero levels.
Apr 10 2026
US envoys urge Netanyahu to advance Gaza ceasefire deal's second phase
Benjamin Netanyahu dips to 42%1%
US envoys meeting with Netanyahu to push for the next phase of the Gaza ceasefire underscored international pressure on his government, impacting political dynamics and market perceptions of his leadership.
Apr 8 2026
Lebanon and Israel begin direct talks amid regional conflict
Benjamin Netanyahu rises to 43%1%
Direct talks between Lebanon and Israel commenced, aiming to address ceasefire and peace issues. Netanyahu's government framed these talks as efforts to disarm Hezbollah, impacting perceptions of his leadership on security matters.
Mar 18 2026
Netanyahu faces criticism over retouched images of his wife
Benjamin Netanyahu plunges to 44%16%
The revelation of heavily retouched official images of Netanyahu's wife sparked an ethics debate, potentially undermining public trust and contributing to a decline in his market probability.
Mar 18 2026
Israel attacks Iranian gas field, causing regional tensions
Benjamin Netanyahu plunges to 46%15%
Israel's strike on Iran's South Pars gas field escalated regional tensions and raised questions about Netanyahu's coordination with the U.S., affecting market confidence in his political stability.
Mar 12 2026
Netanyahu faces sharp market drop amid trial and regional tensions
Benjamin Netanyahu plunges to 45%16%
Netanyahu's market probability dropped sharply due to ongoing corruption trial pressures and heightened regional tensions, including Iran-related security concerns, reflecting increased political risk.
Mar 8 2026
Naftali Bennett gains momentum after coalition talks with centrist parties
Naftali Bennett jumps to 39%8%
Bennett’s reported progress in forming a centrist coalition raised expectations of his return to power, pushing his price upward.
Mar 1 2026
Israel attacks Iranian gas field, causing regional tensions
Benjamin Netanyahu jumps to 64%6%
Israel's strike on Iran's South Pars gas field escalated regional tensions, with Netanyahu asserting Israel acted alone, affecting his market support amid international scrutiny.
Feb 20 2026
US envoys urge Netanyahu to advance Gaza ceasefire second phase
Benjamin Netanyahu jumps to 60%5%
US envoys pressed Netanyahu to move forward with the second phase of the Gaza ceasefire, including demilitarization and reconstruction, impacting his political standing and market odds.
Feb 15 2026
Netanyahu convenes cabinet to address rising settler violence in West Bank
Benjamin Netanyahu dips to 52%4%
Netanyahu's meeting with security officials to discuss escalating settler violence highlighted ongoing security challenges and political pressures, influencing market perceptions of his leadership effectiveness.
Feb 10 2026
Netanyahu approves $35 billion natural gas export deal to Egypt
Benjamin Netanyahu rises to 55%3%
Netanyahu announced approval of a historic $35 billion natural gas export deal to Egypt, enhancing Israel's regional energy influence and economic stability, which positively affected his market prospects.
Feb 10 2026
Netanyahu approves $35 billion gas export deal with Egypt
Benjamin Netanyahu jumps to 61%9%
The landmark energy agreement bolstered Israel’s economic outlook and showcased Netanyahu’s ability to secure major deals, temporarily lifting his market price.
Jan 20 2026
Netanyahu convenes cabinet on West Bank settler violence
Benjamin Netanyahu drops to 51%5%
A cabinet meeting focused on escalating settler attacks highlighted security concerns and Netanyahu’s reliance on right‑wing coalition partners, dampening his appeal among moderate voters and pulling his price down.
Jan 15 2026
Netanyahu convenes cabinet on rising settler violence in West Bank
Benjamin Netanyahu dips to 52%3%
Netanyahu's meeting with security officials to address escalating settler violence in the West Bank underscored ongoing security challenges, influencing market perceptions of his leadership effectiveness.
Jan 14 2026
Ultra-Orthodox teen killed during protest against military draft law
Benjamin Netanyahu drops to 47%5%
The death of a 14-year-old ultra-Orthodox boy during protests against draft laws heightened social tensions and posed a political challenge for Netanyahu, who relies on religious parties, slightly impacting his market support.
Jan 14 2026
Netanyahu convenes cabinet on rising settler violence in West Bank
Benjamin Netanyahu rises to 55%3%
Netanyahu held a security meeting to address escalating Israeli settler violence in the West Bank, highlighting domestic security challenges. This event underscored his leadership in managing internal conflicts, impacting his political standing.
Dec 29 2025
Netanyahu meets Trump to push for expanded Iran talks
Benjamin Netanyahu rises to 53%1%
Netanyahu met privately with Trump, insisting that negotiations with Iran continue and include limits on ballistic missiles and militant support. This reinforced Netanyahu's image as a key regional leader, supporting his market position.
Dec 15 2025
Israeli president delays decision on Netanyahu’s request to halt corruption trial
Benjamin Netanyahu drops to 46%7%
President Isaac Herzog postponed ruling on Netanyahu’s plea to suspend his corruption trial, signaling continued legal pressure. The uncertainty lowered market confidence in Netanyahu, leading to a price drop.
Dec 10 2025
Netanyahu urges calm after ultra-Orthodox teen killed during protest
Benjamin Netanyahu drops to 47%5%
Following the death of a teenage boy during protests against military draft laws, Netanyahu called for restraint to prevent further violence, highlighting his role in managing internal tensions which affected his market support.
Dec 3 2025
Netanyahu approves $35 billion natural gas export deal to Egypt
Benjamin Netanyahu jumps to 53%5%
Netanyahu's approval of the largest natural gas export deal in Israeli history strengthened Israel's regional energy position and economic stability, bolstering his political standing ahead of the election.
Dec 1 2025
Netanyahu meets Trump in Washington to discuss Iran talks
Benjamin Netanyahu jumps to 53%5%
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu held a private meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump in Washington, emphasizing joint pressure on Iran. The high‑profile diplomatic engagement boosted confidence in Netanyahu’s leadership, contributing to a price rise for his outcome.
Nov 22 2025
Netanyahu announces meeting with Trump to discuss Iran talks
Benjamin Netanyahu rises to 51%2%
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced a scheduled meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump to discuss American negotiations with Iran, emphasizing the need to include ballistic missile limitations and ending support for militant groups. This heightened Netanyahu's perceived leadership role, boosting his market probability.
Nov 20 2025
Netanyahu approves $35 billion natural gas export deal to Egypt
Benjamin Netanyahu rises to 53%4%
Netanyahu's approval of the largest natural gas export deal in Israeli history strengthened his position as a regional energy power and contributed to regional stability, positively impacting his market probability.
Nov 18 2025
Israeli settlers inaugurate new West Bank settlement amid security concerns
Benjamin Netanyahu rises to 51%2%
Following a deadly stabbing attack near the site, Israeli settlers quickly established a new settlement, signaling increased settler activity and political support from Netanyahu's government. This emboldened settler movements and underscored ongoing tensions in the West Bank, impacting perceptions of Netanyahu's leadership.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polls reflect trader consensus pricing Benjamin Netanyahu at 40.5% and Naftali Bennett at 34.5% to become Israel's next prime minister after the Knesset election by October 27, 2026, with Gadi Eizenkot at 13.8% underscoring a tight multipolar race hinging on coalition math for a 61-seat majority. Bennett's April 26 merger with Yair Lapid into the "Together" party unified opposition forces, surging Bennett ahead in prime ministerial suitability surveys and projecting his list near Likud's 26 seats. However, May 13-14 polls show Netanyahu's bloc strengthening amid resolved haredi tensions, while unconfirmed talks of Eizenkot or Avigdor Lieberman joining Bennett sustain the deadlock; further alliances or security developments could decisively separate frontrunners.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent polls reflect trader consensus pricing Benjamin Netanyahu at 40.5% and Naftali Bennett at 34.5% to become Israel's next prime minister after the Knesset election by October 27, 2026, with Gadi Eizenkot at 13.8% underscoring a tight multipolar race hinging on coalition math for a 61-seat majority. Bennett's April 26 merger with Yair Lapid into the "Together" party unified opposition forces, surging Bennett ahead in prime ministerial suitability surveys and projecting his list near Likud's 26 seats. However, May 13-14 polls show Netanyahu's bloc strengthening amid resolved haredi tensions, while unconfirmed talks of Eizenkot or Avigdor Lieberman joining Bennett sustain the deadlock; further alliances or security developments could decisively separate frontrunners.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
May 5 2026
US envoys urge Netanyahu to advance Gaza ceasefire second phase
Benjamin Netanyahu jumps to 44%6%
US envoys pressed Netanyahu to move forward with the second phase of the Gaza ceasefire, involving demilitarization and troop withdrawal, highlighting international pressure on his government and affecting his political outlook.
May 5 2026
Israeli strikes kill civilians in Gaza amid ceasefire tensions
Continued Israeli strikes in Gaza, despite the ceasefire, resulted in civilian casualties, highlighting ongoing conflict challenges under Netanyahu's leadership and affecting his market support.
Apr 27 2026
Israel objects to US-led Gaza Board of Peace appointments
Benjamin Netanyahu jumps to 44%6%
Israel's government, led by Netanyahu, objected to the US announcement of leaders overseeing Gaza's next steps, reflecting diplomatic tensions that influenced market perceptions of Netanyahu's political challenges.
Apr 27 2026
Netanyahu faces ethics debate over retouched images of his wife
Benjamin Netanyahu dips to 41%2%
The revelation of heavily retouched official photos of Netanyahu’s wife sparked ethics concerns and public trust issues, slightly affecting Netanyahu’s market support ahead of the election.
Hezbollah declared it would not abide by any agreements from Lebanon-Israel talks, signaling ongoing regional instability and challenges to Netanyahu's security agenda, influencing market sentiment.
Apr 12 2026
Gadi Eizenkot’s military reforms receive Knesset endorsement
Gadi Eizenkot surges to 20%16%
The Knesset’s approval of Eizenkot’s proposed defense reforms increased his credibility as a security‑focused leader, lifting his market price from near‑zero levels.
Apr 10 2026
US envoys urge Netanyahu to advance Gaza ceasefire deal's second phase
Benjamin Netanyahu dips to 42%1%
US envoys meeting with Netanyahu to push for the next phase of the Gaza ceasefire underscored international pressure on his government, impacting political dynamics and market perceptions of his leadership.
Apr 8 2026
Lebanon and Israel begin direct talks amid regional conflict
Benjamin Netanyahu rises to 43%1%
Direct talks between Lebanon and Israel commenced, aiming to address ceasefire and peace issues. Netanyahu's government framed these talks as efforts to disarm Hezbollah, impacting perceptions of his leadership on security matters.
Mar 18 2026
Netanyahu faces criticism over retouched images of his wife
Benjamin Netanyahu plunges to 44%16%
The revelation of heavily retouched official images of Netanyahu's wife sparked an ethics debate, potentially undermining public trust and contributing to a decline in his market probability.
Mar 18 2026
Israel attacks Iranian gas field, causing regional tensions
Benjamin Netanyahu plunges to 46%15%
Israel's strike on Iran's South Pars gas field escalated regional tensions and raised questions about Netanyahu's coordination with the U.S., affecting market confidence in his political stability.
Mar 12 2026
Netanyahu faces sharp market drop amid trial and regional tensions
Benjamin Netanyahu plunges to 45%16%
Netanyahu's market probability dropped sharply due to ongoing corruption trial pressures and heightened regional tensions, including Iran-related security concerns, reflecting increased political risk.
Mar 8 2026
Naftali Bennett gains momentum after coalition talks with centrist parties
Naftali Bennett jumps to 39%8%
Bennett’s reported progress in forming a centrist coalition raised expectations of his return to power, pushing his price upward.
Mar 1 2026
Israel attacks Iranian gas field, causing regional tensions
Benjamin Netanyahu jumps to 64%6%
Israel's strike on Iran's South Pars gas field escalated regional tensions, with Netanyahu asserting Israel acted alone, affecting his market support amid international scrutiny.
Feb 20 2026
US envoys urge Netanyahu to advance Gaza ceasefire second phase
Benjamin Netanyahu jumps to 60%5%
US envoys pressed Netanyahu to move forward with the second phase of the Gaza ceasefire, including demilitarization and reconstruction, impacting his political standing and market odds.
Feb 15 2026
Netanyahu convenes cabinet to address rising settler violence in West Bank
Benjamin Netanyahu dips to 52%4%
Netanyahu's meeting with security officials to discuss escalating settler violence highlighted ongoing security challenges and political pressures, influencing market perceptions of his leadership effectiveness.
Feb 10 2026
Netanyahu approves $35 billion natural gas export deal to Egypt
Benjamin Netanyahu rises to 55%3%
Netanyahu announced approval of a historic $35 billion natural gas export deal to Egypt, enhancing Israel's regional energy influence and economic stability, which positively affected his market prospects.
Feb 10 2026
Netanyahu approves $35 billion gas export deal with Egypt
Benjamin Netanyahu jumps to 61%9%
The landmark energy agreement bolstered Israel’s economic outlook and showcased Netanyahu’s ability to secure major deals, temporarily lifting his market price.
Jan 20 2026
Netanyahu convenes cabinet on West Bank settler violence
Benjamin Netanyahu drops to 51%5%
A cabinet meeting focused on escalating settler attacks highlighted security concerns and Netanyahu’s reliance on right‑wing coalition partners, dampening his appeal among moderate voters and pulling his price down.
Jan 15 2026
Netanyahu convenes cabinet on rising settler violence in West Bank
Benjamin Netanyahu dips to 52%3%
Netanyahu's meeting with security officials to address escalating settler violence in the West Bank underscored ongoing security challenges, influencing market perceptions of his leadership effectiveness.
Jan 14 2026
Ultra-Orthodox teen killed during protest against military draft law
Benjamin Netanyahu drops to 47%5%
The death of a 14-year-old ultra-Orthodox boy during protests against draft laws heightened social tensions and posed a political challenge for Netanyahu, who relies on religious parties, slightly impacting his market support.
Jan 14 2026
Netanyahu convenes cabinet on rising settler violence in West Bank
Benjamin Netanyahu rises to 55%3%
Netanyahu held a security meeting to address escalating Israeli settler violence in the West Bank, highlighting domestic security challenges. This event underscored his leadership in managing internal conflicts, impacting his political standing.
Dec 29 2025
Netanyahu meets Trump to push for expanded Iran talks
Benjamin Netanyahu rises to 53%1%
Netanyahu met privately with Trump, insisting that negotiations with Iran continue and include limits on ballistic missiles and militant support. This reinforced Netanyahu's image as a key regional leader, supporting his market position.
Dec 15 2025
Israeli president delays decision on Netanyahu’s request to halt corruption trial
Benjamin Netanyahu drops to 46%7%
President Isaac Herzog postponed ruling on Netanyahu’s plea to suspend his corruption trial, signaling continued legal pressure. The uncertainty lowered market confidence in Netanyahu, leading to a price drop.
Dec 10 2025
Netanyahu urges calm after ultra-Orthodox teen killed during protest
Benjamin Netanyahu drops to 47%5%
Following the death of a teenage boy during protests against military draft laws, Netanyahu called for restraint to prevent further violence, highlighting his role in managing internal tensions which affected his market support.
Dec 3 2025
Netanyahu approves $35 billion natural gas export deal to Egypt
Benjamin Netanyahu jumps to 53%5%
Netanyahu's approval of the largest natural gas export deal in Israeli history strengthened Israel's regional energy position and economic stability, bolstering his political standing ahead of the election.
Dec 1 2025
Netanyahu meets Trump in Washington to discuss Iran talks
Benjamin Netanyahu jumps to 53%5%
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu held a private meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump in Washington, emphasizing joint pressure on Iran. The high‑profile diplomatic engagement boosted confidence in Netanyahu’s leadership, contributing to a price rise for his outcome.
Nov 22 2025
Netanyahu announces meeting with Trump to discuss Iran talks
Benjamin Netanyahu rises to 51%2%
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced a scheduled meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump to discuss American negotiations with Iran, emphasizing the need to include ballistic missile limitations and ending support for militant groups. This heightened Netanyahu's perceived leadership role, boosting his market probability.
Nov 20 2025
Netanyahu approves $35 billion natural gas export deal to Egypt
Benjamin Netanyahu rises to 53%4%
Netanyahu's approval of the largest natural gas export deal in Israeli history strengthened his position as a regional energy power and contributed to regional stability, positively impacting his market probability.
Nov 18 2025
Israeli settlers inaugurate new West Bank settlement amid security concerns
Benjamin Netanyahu rises to 51%2%
Following a deadly stabbing attack near the site, Israeli settlers quickly established a new settlement, signaling increased settler activity and political support from Netanyahu's government. This emboldened settler movements and underscored ongoing tensions in the West Bank, impacting perceptions of Netanyahu's leadership.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes
"¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 17 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Benjamin Netanyahu" con 41%, seguido de "Naftali Bennett" con 35%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 41¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.
A día de hoy, "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" ha generado $8.4 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 15, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?", explora los 17 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.
El favorito actual para "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" es "Benjamin Netanyahu" con 41%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Naftali Bennett" con 35%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.
Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como rastreador en vivo para "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?". Las probabilidades de los resultados se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que entran nuevas operaciones. Puedes guardar esta página en marcadores y consultar la sección de comentarios para ver lo que dicen otros operadores. También puedes usar los filtros de rango temporal en el gráfico para ver cómo han cambiado las probabilidades a lo largo del tiempo.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que ponen dinero real detrás de sus creencias, lo que tiende a generar predicciones precisas. Con $8.4 million operados en “¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?”, estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de miles de participantes — a menudo superando a encuestas, pronósticos de expertos y estudios tradicionales. Los mercados de predicción como Polymarket tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente cuando los eventos se acercan a su fecha de resolución. Por ejemplo, Polymarket tiene una puntuación de precisión a un mes de 94%. Para las últimas estadísticas sobre la precisión de predicción de Polymarket, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y deposita fondos usando criptomonedas, tarjeta de crédito o débito, o transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta tenga fondos, vuelve a esta página, selecciona el resultado en el que quieras operar, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada resultado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 41¢ para "Benjamin Netanyahu" en el mercado "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" significa que los operadores colectivamente creen que hay aproximadamente una probabilidad de 41% de que "Benjamin Netanyahu" sea el resultado correcto. Si compras acciones de "Sí" a 41¢ y el resultado es correcto, recibes $1,00 por acción, una ganancia de 59¢ por acción. Si es incorrecto, esas acciones valen $0.
El mercado "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" está programado para resolverse en o alrededor del Dec 31, 2026. Esto significa que el trading permanecerá abierto y las probabilidades seguirán cambiando hasta esa fecha. El momento exacto de resolución depende de cuándo esté disponible el resultado oficial, como se describe en la sección "Reglas".
El mercado "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" tiene una comunidad activa de 249 comentarios donde los operadores comparten sus análisis, debaten resultados y discuten los últimos desarrollos. Desplázate hacia abajo a la sección de comentarios para leer lo que piensan otros participantes. También puedes filtrar por "Principales poseedores" o consultar la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de operaciones.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y beneficiarte de tu conocimiento sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados de temas que van desde política y elecciones hasta criptomonedas, finanzas, deportes, tecnología y cultura, incluyendo mercados como "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?". Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real respaldadas por convicción financiera, ofreciendo a menudo señales más rápidas y precisas que las encuestas, los expertos o los estudios tradicionales.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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