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Política·Oriente Medio

¿Trump anuncia el fin de las operaciones militares contra Irán para...?

Market icon
Política·Oriente Medio

¿Trump anuncia el fin de las operaciones militares contra Irán para...?

$7,327,347 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$7,327,347 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de marzo

$4,633,887 Vol.

3%

7 de abril

$163,051 Vol.

16%

15 de abril

$545,538 Vol.

29%

30 de abril

$1,249,533 Vol.

47%

30 de junio

$544,190 Vol.

74%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.U.S. military operations against Iran, launched February 28, 2026, as Operation Epic Fury alongside Israel, have targeted Iranian missile, drone, nuclear, and command infrastructure, with over 10,000 strikes degrading key capabilities according to official reports. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth stated last week that ballistic missile and drone programs are overwhelmingly destroyed, while President Trump described operations as ahead of schedule and Iran as being decimated. Secretary of State Marco Rubio projected an end in weeks, not months, on March 27 amid reports Iran is reviewing a U.S. peace proposal through mediators. No formal announcement of cessation has occurred, with negotiations and potential diplomatic breakthroughs as key upcoming catalysts that could prompt resolution or extension of combat activities.

U.S. military operations against Iran, launched February 28, 2026, as Operation Epic Fury alongside Israel, have targeted Iranian missile, drone, nuclear, and command infrastructure, with over 10,000 strikes degrading key capabilities according to official reports. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth stated last week that ballistic missile and drone programs are overwhelmingly destroyed, while President Trump described operations as ahead of schedule and Iran as being decimated. Secretary of State Marco Rubio projected an end in weeks, not months, on March 27 amid reports Iran is reviewing a U.S. peace proposal through mediators. No formal announcement of cessation has occurred, with negotiations and potential diplomatic breakthroughs as key upcoming catalysts that could prompt resolution or extension of combat activities.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.U.S. military operations against Iran, launched February 28, 2026, as Operation Epic Fury alongside Israel, have targeted Iranian missile, drone, nuclear, and command infrastructure, with over 10,000 strikes degrading key capabilities according to official reports. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth stated last week that ballistic missile and drone programs are overwhelmingly destroyed, while President Trump described operations as ahead of schedule and Iran as being decimated. Secretary of State Marco Rubio projected an end in weeks, not months, on March 27 amid reports Iran is reviewing a U.S. peace proposal through mediators. No formal announcement of cessation has occurred, with negotiations and potential diplomatic breakthroughs as key upcoming catalysts that could prompt resolution or extension of combat activities.

U.S. military operations against Iran, launched February 28, 2026, as Operation Epic Fury alongside Israel, have targeted Iranian missile, drone, nuclear, and command infrastructure, with over 10,000 strikes degrading key capabilities according to official reports. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth stated last week that ballistic missile and drone programs are overwhelmingly destroyed, while President Trump described operations as ahead of schedule and Iran as being decimated. Secretary of State Marco Rubio projected an end in weeks, not months, on March 27 amid reports Iran is reviewing a U.S. peace proposal through mediators. No formal announcement of cessation has occurred, with negotiations and potential diplomatic breakthroughs as key upcoming catalysts that could prompt resolution or extension of combat activities.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Trump anuncia el fin de las operaciones militares contra Irán para...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de junio" con 74%, seguido de "30 de abril" con 47%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 74¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 74% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Trump anuncia el fin de las operaciones militares contra Irán para...?" ha generado $7.3 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 28, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Trump anuncia el fin de las operaciones militares contra Irán para...?", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Trump anuncia el fin de las operaciones militares contra Irán para...?" es "30 de junio" con 74%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 74% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "30 de abril" con 47%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Trump anuncia el fin de las operaciones militares contra Irán para...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.