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icon for ¿Netanyahu fuera por...?
Geopolítica·Oriente Medio

¿Netanyahu fuera por...?

icon for ¿Netanyahu fuera por...?
Geopolítica·Oriente Medio

¿Netanyahu fuera por...?

ene 1, 2027

ene 1, 2027

$124,388,376 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Gana un 3.25%
Polymarket

$124,388,376 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de diciembre

$2,534,807 Vol.

51%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Netanyahu’s position as prime minister hinges on the October 27, 2026 Knesset election and subsequent coalition negotiations, with current polling showing his Likud-led bloc at roughly 51–54 seats, short of the 61-seat majority threshold. Opposition parties aligned with Gadi Eisenkot and Naftali Bennett are competitive or narrowly ahead in recent surveys, reflecting voter fatigue over security lapses, wartime outcomes, and coalition fragmentation on the right. Netanyahu has signaled intent to retain far-right and ultra-Orthodox partners while courting a broader government, but persistent Likud seat erosion and rival party splits continue to pressure his path to another term. Trader consensus on a departure by year-end captures the election’s binary impact on government formation timelines, with any post-vote shift in parliamentary arithmetic able to accelerate or delay an exit.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$124,388,376
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Netanyahu’s position as prime minister hinges on the October 27, 2026 Knesset election and subsequent coalition negotiations, with current polling showing his Likud-led bloc at roughly 51–54 seats, short of the 61-seat majority threshold. Opposition parties aligned with Gadi Eisenkot and Naftali Bennett are competitive or narrowly ahead in recent surveys, reflecting voter fatigue over security lapses, wartime outcomes, and coalition fragmentation on the right. Netanyahu has signaled intent to retain far-right and ultra-Orthodox partners while courting a broader government, but persistent Likud seat erosion and rival party splits continue to pressure his path to another term. Trader consensus on a departure by year-end captures the election’s binary impact on government formation timelines, with any post-vote shift in parliamentary arithmetic able to accelerate or delay an exit.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$124,388,376
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Netanyahu fuera por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre" con 51%, seguido de "31 de marzo" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 51¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 51% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Netanyahu fuera por...?" ha generado $124.4 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 24, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Netanyahu fuera por...?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Netanyahu fuera por...?" es "31 de diciembre" con 51%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 51% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "31 de marzo" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Netanyahu fuera por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.