Vladimir Putin's firm grip on power, solidified by his overwhelming 88% victory in the March 2024 presidential election and constitutional amendments resetting term limits to allow service until 2036, underpins trader consensus pricing an 88.5% probability against his exit as Russian president by December 31, 2026. No verifiable elite defections, successful protests, or confirmed health issues have emerged in recent months to challenge regime stability, despite unverified intelligence reports of heightened personal security amid assassination fears and reduced public appearances ahead of September 2026 State Duma elections. Ongoing Ukraine military actions and economic sanctions strain resources but have not triggered internal upheaval, leaving structural barriers like Kremlin loyalty and opposition suppression intact. Late-breaking scandals, sudden health events, or coup signals could shift odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Putin como presidente de Rusia para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?
¿Putin como presidente de Rusia para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?
Sí
$4,270,274 Vol.
$4,270,274 Vol.
Sí
$4,270,274 Vol.
$4,270,274 Vol.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vladimir Putin's firm grip on power, solidified by his overwhelming 88% victory in the March 2024 presidential election and constitutional amendments resetting term limits to allow service until 2036, underpins trader consensus pricing an 88.5% probability against his exit as Russian president by December 31, 2026. No verifiable elite defections, successful protests, or confirmed health issues have emerged in recent months to challenge regime stability, despite unverified intelligence reports of heightened personal security amid assassination fears and reduced public appearances ahead of September 2026 State Duma elections. Ongoing Ukraine military actions and economic sanctions strain resources but have not triggered internal upheaval, leaving structural barriers like Kremlin loyalty and opposition suppression intact. Late-breaking scandals, sudden health events, or coup signals could shift odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes