Vladimir Putin's entrenched control, bolstered by constitutional changes enabling his presidency until at least 2030 and potentially 2036, drives the 87.5% implied probability he remains in office through 2026. Recent unverified rumors—a deleted video of him coughing during a March 10 speech and Moscow internet outages sparking coup speculation on March 11—have dissipated without evidence, labeled wishful thinking by analysts amid arrests of ex-Defense Minister Shoigu allies signaling elite purges rather than instability. An isolated pro-Putin blogger's March 20 call for resignation lacks traction. Ongoing Ukraine conflict and absence of succession signals or no-confidence mechanisms reinforce trader consensus on continuity, though health declines or sudden elite revolt could shift odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Putin como presidente de Rusia para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?
¿Putin como presidente de Rusia para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?
Sí
$3,220,298 Vol.
$3,220,298 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Gana un 4%
Sí
$3,220,298 Vol.
$3,220,298 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Gana un 4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vladimir Putin's entrenched control, bolstered by constitutional changes enabling his presidency until at least 2030 and potentially 2036, drives the 87.5% implied probability he remains in office through 2026. Recent unverified rumors—a deleted video of him coughing during a March 10 speech and Moscow internet outages sparking coup speculation on March 11—have dissipated without evidence, labeled wishful thinking by analysts amid arrests of ex-Defense Minister Shoigu allies signaling elite purges rather than instability. An isolated pro-Putin blogger's March 20 call for resignation lacks traction. Ongoing Ukraine conflict and absence of succession signals or no-confidence mechanisms reinforce trader consensus on continuity, though health declines or sudden elite revolt could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volumen
$3,220,298Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vladimir Putin's entrenched control, bolstered by constitutional changes enabling his presidency until at least 2030 and potentially 2036, drives the 87.5% implied probability he remains in office through 2026. Recent unverified rumors—a deleted video of him coughing during a March 10 speech and Moscow internet outages sparking coup speculation on March 11—have dissipated without evidence, labeled wishful thinking by analysts amid arrests of ex-Defense Minister Shoigu allies signaling elite purges rather than instability. An isolated pro-Putin blogger's March 20 call for resignation lacks traction. Ongoing Ukraine conflict and absence of succession signals or no-confidence mechanisms reinforce trader consensus on continuity, though health declines or sudden elite revolt could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$3,220,298Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vladimir Putin's entrenched control, bolstered by constitutional changes enabling his presidency until at least 2030 and potentially 2036, drives the 87.5% implied probability he remains in office through 2026. Recent unverified rumors—a deleted video of him coughing during a March 10 speech and Moscow internet outages sparking coup speculation on March 11—have dissipated without evidence, labeled wishful thinking by analysts amid arrests of ex-Defense Minister Shoigu allies signaling elite purges rather than instability. An isolated pro-Putin blogger's March 20 call for resignation lacks traction. Ongoing Ukraine conflict and absence of succession signals or no-confidence mechanisms reinforce trader consensus on continuity, though health declines or sudden elite revolt could shift odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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