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Política·Acuerdo De Paz De Ucrania

¿Referéndum de paz de Ucrania aprobado antes de 2027?

Market icon
Política·Acuerdo De Paz De Ucrania

¿Referéndum de paz de Ucrania aprobado antes de 2027?

Sí

20% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Sí

20% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war. A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 80.5% implied probability against Ukraine passing a peace referendum before 2027, anchored by ongoing military escalation and absent diplomatic breakthroughs. Russian forces recently advanced in Donetsk, capturing villages like Kurakhove amid intensified airstrikes, while Ukraine's Kursk incursion stalls without territorial gains or ceasefire signals. President Zelenskyy's victory plan demands full Russian withdrawal, Crimean return, and NATO integration—irreconcilable with Moscow's calls for neutrality and annexed land recognition via its own sham referendums. President-elect Trump's pledges for quick resolution introduce uncertainty, but no negotiations, summits, or official referendum timelines have emerged, with EU/NATO aid sustaining Kyiv's resistance through 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.

A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$8,909
Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war. A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 80.5% implied probability against Ukraine passing a peace referendum before 2027, anchored by ongoing military escalation and absent diplomatic breakthroughs. Russian forces recently advanced in Donetsk, capturing villages like Kurakhove amid intensified airstrikes, while Ukraine's Kursk incursion stalls without territorial gains or ceasefire signals. President Zelenskyy's victory plan demands full Russian withdrawal, Crimean return, and NATO integration—irreconcilable with Moscow's calls for neutrality and annexed land recognition via its own sham referendums. President-elect Trump's pledges for quick resolution introduce uncertainty, but no negotiations, summits, or official referendum timelines have emerged, with EU/NATO aid sustaining Kyiv's resistance through 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.

A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$8,909
Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Referéndum de paz de Ucrania aprobado antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Se aprobará un referéndum de paz en Ucrania antes de 2027?" con 20%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 20¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 20% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Referéndum de paz de Ucrania aprobado antes de 2027?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Dec 29, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Referéndum de paz de Ucrania aprobado antes de 2027?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Referéndum de paz de Ucrania aprobado antes de 2027?" es "¿Se aprobará un referéndum de paz en Ucrania antes de 2027?" con 20%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 20% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Referéndum de paz de Ucrania aprobado antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.