Ongoing Russian military advances in Donetsk, including the capture of Kurakhove, and Ukraine's retaliatory drone strikes on Russian energy infrastructure over the past week underscore persistent escalation, driving trader consensus to 66.5% "No" on a ceasefire by end-2026. President Putin's recent statements demand Ukrainian capitulation on annexed territories like Crimea and Donbas as preconditions for talks, while President Zelenskyy rejects any territorial concessions, insisting on full withdrawal. With no active diplomatic channels—despite vague U.S. transition signals under incoming President Trump—and North Korean troop deployments bolstering Russia, the entrenched stalemate reflects low prospects for de-escalation amid sustained battlefield momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSí
$12,210,131 Vol.
$12,210,131 Vol.
Sí
$12,210,131 Vol.
$12,210,131 Vol.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Mercado abierto: Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Ongoing Russian military advances in Donetsk, including the capture of Kurakhove, and Ukraine's retaliatory drone strikes on Russian energy infrastructure over the past week underscore persistent escalation, driving trader consensus to 66.5% "No" on a ceasefire by end-2026. President Putin's recent statements demand Ukrainian capitulation on annexed territories like Crimea and Donbas as preconditions for talks, while President Zelenskyy rejects any territorial concessions, insisting on full withdrawal. With no active diplomatic channels—despite vague U.S. transition signals under incoming President Trump—and North Korean troop deployments bolstering Russia, the entrenched stalemate reflects low prospects for de-escalation amid sustained battlefield momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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