Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (82.5%) amid ongoing diplomatic contacts but no announced in-person summit plans. Recent phone discussions between the leaders on March 9 addressed Ukraine peace prospects and Middle East tensions, including Iran, while President Trump dispatched envoy Steve Witkoff to Moscow this week and hosted Russian lawmakers on March 26—their first US visit since the Ukraine invasion. These steps signal de-escalation efforts via proxies rather than direct summits, stalled since the 2025 Alaska meeting and a canceled Budapest proposal. Logistical challenges, Ukraine negotiations, and geopolitical risks keep location-specific odds low, with Russia (2.9%) and United States (1.5%) slightly elevated by envoy travel and visits. Upcoming Ukraine talks could shift dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNo habrá reunión para el 30 de junio 82.5%
País del Golfo 3.8%
Rusia 2.8%
Otro país de la UE 2.8%
$4,134,515 Vol.
$4,134,515 Vol.
No habrá reunión para el 30 de junio
82%
País del Golfo
4%
Rusia
3%
Otro país de la UE
3%
China
2%
Otro
2%
Estados Unidos
2%
Turquía
1%
Bielorrusia
1%
Título del grupo: Ucrania
1%
Japón
<1%
Suiza
<1%
Finlandia
<1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Australia
<1%
No habrá reunión para el 30 de junio 82.5%
País del Golfo 3.8%
Rusia 2.8%
Otro país de la UE 2.8%
$4,134,515 Vol.
$4,134,515 Vol.
No habrá reunión para el 30 de junio
82%
País del Golfo
4%
Rusia
3%
Otro país de la UE
3%
China
2%
Otro
2%
Estados Unidos
2%
Turquía
1%
Bielorrusia
1%
Título del grupo: Ucrania
1%
Japón
<1%
Suiza
<1%
Finlandia
<1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (82.5%) amid ongoing diplomatic contacts but no announced in-person summit plans. Recent phone discussions between the leaders on March 9 addressed Ukraine peace prospects and Middle East tensions, including Iran, while President Trump dispatched envoy Steve Witkoff to Moscow this week and hosted Russian lawmakers on March 26—their first US visit since the Ukraine invasion. These steps signal de-escalation efforts via proxies rather than direct summits, stalled since the 2025 Alaska meeting and a canceled Budapest proposal. Logistical challenges, Ukraine negotiations, and geopolitical risks keep location-specific odds low, with Russia (2.9%) and United States (1.5%) slightly elevated by envoy travel and visits. Upcoming Ukraine talks could shift dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes