Ongoing Russian military advances in Donetsk, including captures of villages like Kurakhove amid stalled Ukrainian Kursk incursions, reinforce the battlefield stalemate anchoring traders' 99.6% consensus against a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026. Moscow's demands for territorial concessions, Crimea's recognition, and Ukraine's demilitarization clash irreconcilably with Kyiv's insistence on full withdrawal and reparations, as reiterated in recent Putin interviews and Zelenskyy addresses. Escalations like North Korean troop deployments to Russia and sustained Western arms shipments prolong the conflict without diplomatic breakthroughs. No negotiations are scheduled, despite President-elect Trump's pledges for quick resolution; realistic shifts would require improbable Russian collapse, Ukrainian capitulation, or aggressive US-led mediation overriding entrenched red lines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Un alto el fuego entre Rusia y Ucrania para el 31 de marzo de 2026?
¿Un alto el fuego entre Rusia y Ucrania para el 31 de marzo de 2026?
Sí
$28,359,757 Vol.
$28,359,757 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Sí
$28,359,757 Vol.
$28,359,757 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Ongoing Russian military advances in Donetsk, including captures of villages like Kurakhove amid stalled Ukrainian Kursk incursions, reinforce the battlefield stalemate anchoring traders' 99.6% consensus against a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026. Moscow's demands for territorial concessions, Crimea's recognition, and Ukraine's demilitarization clash irreconcilably with Kyiv's insistence on full withdrawal and reparations, as reiterated in recent Putin interviews and Zelenskyy addresses. Escalations like North Korean troop deployments to Russia and sustained Western arms shipments prolong the conflict without diplomatic breakthroughs. No negotiations are scheduled, despite President-elect Trump's pledges for quick resolution; realistic shifts would require improbable Russian collapse, Ukrainian capitulation, or aggressive US-led mediation overriding entrenched red lines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Mercado abierto: Jul 10, 2025, 12:43 PM ET
Volumen
$28,359,757Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 10, 2025, 12:43 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Ongoing Russian military advances in Donetsk, including captures of villages like Kurakhove amid stalled Ukrainian Kursk incursions, reinforce the battlefield stalemate anchoring traders' 99.6% consensus against a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026. Moscow's demands for territorial concessions, Crimea's recognition, and Ukraine's demilitarization clash irreconcilably with Kyiv's insistence on full withdrawal and reparations, as reiterated in recent Putin interviews and Zelenskyy addresses. Escalations like North Korean troop deployments to Russia and sustained Western arms shipments prolong the conflict without diplomatic breakthroughs. No negotiations are scheduled, despite President-elect Trump's pledges for quick resolution; realistic shifts would require improbable Russian collapse, Ukrainian capitulation, or aggressive US-led mediation overriding entrenched red lines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Volumen
$28,359,757Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 10, 2025, 12:43 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Ongoing Russian military advances in Donetsk, including captures of villages like Kurakhove amid stalled Ukrainian Kursk incursions, reinforce the battlefield stalemate anchoring traders' 99.6% consensus against a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026. Moscow's demands for territorial concessions, Crimea's recognition, and Ukraine's demilitarization clash irreconcilably with Kyiv's insistence on full withdrawal and reparations, as reiterated in recent Putin interviews and Zelenskyy addresses. Escalations like North Korean troop deployments to Russia and sustained Western arms shipments prolong the conflict without diplomatic breakthroughs. No negotiations are scheduled, despite President-elect Trump's pledges for quick resolution; realistic shifts would require improbable Russian collapse, Ukrainian capitulation, or aggressive US-led mediation overriding entrenched red lines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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