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Política·Hegseth

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Market icon
Política·Hegseth

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Jun 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

Jun 30

28% chance
Polymarket
NEW
28% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth remains firmly entrenched in his role, sworn in January 2025 and actively directing military operations, including recent praise for Operation Epic Fury against Iran and claims that Tehran lacks a navy or naval leader, as stated March 26. Fresh backlash over his blocking promotions of two Black and two female officers, reported in the last 24 hours, has sparked criticism but shown no impact on his position amid President Trump's support. Earlier 2025 scandals, including Signal app leaks and Caribbean strike controversies, failed to force resignation, reinforcing trader consensus at 72.5% for "No" departure by June 30, with no scheduled confirmation hearings or major institutional pressures looming.

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth remains firmly entrenched in his role, sworn in January 2025 and actively directing military operations, including recent praise for Operation Epic Fury against Iran and claims that Tehran lacks a navy or naval leader, as stated March 26. Fresh backlash over his blocking promotions of two Black and two female officers, reported in the last 24 hours, has sparked criticism but shown no impact on his position amid President Trump's support. Earlier 2025 scandals, including Signal app leaks and Caribbean strike controversies, failed to force resignation, reinforcing trader consensus at 72.5% for "No" departure by June 30, with no scheduled confirmation hearings or major institutional pressures looming.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth remains firmly entrenched in his role, sworn in January 2025 and actively directing military operations, including recent praise for Operation Epic Fury against Iran and claims that Tehran lacks a navy or naval leader, as stated March 26. Fresh backlash over his blocking promotions of two Black and two female officers, reported in the last 24 hours, has sparked criticism but shown no impact on his position amid President Trump's support. Earlier 2025 scandals, including Signal app leaks and Caribbean strike controversies, failed to force resignation, reinforcing trader consensus at 72.5% for "No" departure by June 30, with no scheduled confirmation hearings or major institutional pressures looming.

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth remains firmly entrenched in his role, sworn in January 2025 and actively directing military operations, including recent praise for Operation Epic Fury against Iran and claims that Tehran lacks a navy or naval leader, as stated March 26. Fresh backlash over his blocking promotions of two Black and two female officers, reported in the last 24 hours, has sparked criticism but shown no impact on his position amid President Trump's support. Earlier 2025 scandals, including Signal app leaks and Caribbean strike controversies, failed to force resignation, reinforcing trader consensus at 72.5% for "No" departure by June 30, with no scheduled confirmation hearings or major institutional pressures looming.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 28% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 28¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 28% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 24, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?" es 28% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 28% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.