Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Elon Musk posting 65-89 tweets (33.5% implied probability) or 90-114 (28.5%) from March 26-28, 2026, closely mirroring his historical daily cadence of 20-40 posts on X amid product announcements, political commentary, or viral exchanges. These leading ranges reflect sustained high-volume activity seen in recent months, including spikes during Tesla earnings and SpaceX updates, but the tight contest underscores variability from quieter reflection periods versus controversy-fueled barrages. Key differentiators include potential 2026 catalysts like AI rollouts or election cycles, with lower buckets pricing in burnout risks or platform changes; traders eye his real-time engagement patterns as the closest predictor for this three-day window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado65-89 34%
90-114 29%
40-64 20%
115-139 13%
$288,141 Vol.
$288,141 Vol.
<40
2%
40-64
20%
65-89
34%
90-114
29%
115-139
13%
140-164
4%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 34%
90-114 29%
40-64 20%
115-139 13%
$288,141 Vol.
$288,141 Vol.
<40
2%
40-64
20%
65-89
34%
90-114
29%
115-139
13%
140-164
4%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Elon Musk posting 65-89 tweets (33.5% implied probability) or 90-114 (28.5%) from March 26-28, 2026, closely mirroring his historical daily cadence of 20-40 posts on X amid product announcements, political commentary, or viral exchanges. These leading ranges reflect sustained high-volume activity seen in recent months, including spikes during Tesla earnings and SpaceX updates, but the tight contest underscores variability from quieter reflection periods versus controversy-fueled barrages. Key differentiators include potential 2026 catalysts like AI rollouts or election cycles, with lower buckets pricing in burnout risks or platform changes; traders eye his real-time engagement patterns as the closest predictor for this three-day window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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