Skip to main content
icon for Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

icon for Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Finlandia 49.6%

Australia 17.8%

Grecia 7.7%

Rumanía 6.0%

Polymarket

$169,325,558 Vol.

Finlandia 49.6%

Australia 17.8%

Grecia 7.7%

Rumanía 6.0%

Polymarket

$169,325,558 Vol.

icon for Finlandia

Finlandia

$4,983,357 Vol.

50%

icon for Australia

Australia

$3,220,580 Vol.

18%

icon for Grecia

Grecia

$4,146,753 Vol.

8%

icon for Rumanía

Rumanía

$3,160,243 Vol.

6%

icon for Israel

Israel

$3,258,708 Vol.

6%

icon for Dinamarca

Dinamarca

$2,758,342 Vol.

4%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$3,862,776 Vol.

4%

icon for Italia

Italia

$4,097,869 Vol.

2%

icon for Francia

Francia

$3,546,038 Vol.

1%

icon for Albania

Albania

$7,078,816 Vol.

1%

icon for Chequia

Chequia

$2,471,448 Vol.

1%

icon for Croacia

Croacia

$5,028,210 Vol.

1%

icon for Moldavia

Moldavia

$4,384,620 Vol.

1%

icon for Suecia

Suecia

$2,342,953 Vol.

1%

icon for Ucrania

Ucrania

$3,109,067 Vol.

1%

icon for Malta

Malta

$3,459,895 Vol.

<1%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$6,057,345 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chipre

Chipre

$3,525,146 Vol.

<1%

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$5,166,694 Vol.

<1%

icon for Polonia

Polonia

$7,298,177 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austria

Austria

$7,519,233 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$5,095,920 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alemania

Alemania

$4,060,913 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lituania

Lituania

$5,699,029 Vol.

<1%

icon for Reino Unido

Reino Unido

$3,897,874 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead Polymarket trader consensus at 49.6% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory with their high-energy "Liekinheitin," fueled by standout first semi-final rehearsals featuring live violin fury, industrial staging, and fire motifs that captivated bookmakers and OGAE poll voters—topping the latter at 459 points. Australia's Delta Goodrem surged to 17.9% after a glittering "Eclipse" live performance in yesterday's second semi-final, leveraging her star power, key changes, and Swarovski spectacle for strong jury and televote potential. Greece (7.5%) and Romania (6.7%) hold as dark horses amid geopolitical boycotts impacting Israel (5.9%), with final voting Saturday at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle poised to hinge on bloc televotes versus jury preferences.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$169,325,558
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead Polymarket trader consensus at 49.6% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory with their high-energy "Liekinheitin," fueled by standout first semi-final rehearsals featuring live violin fury, industrial staging, and fire motifs that captivated bookmakers and OGAE poll voters—topping the latter at 459 points. Australia's Delta Goodrem surged to 17.9% after a glittering "Eclipse" live performance in yesterday's second semi-final, leveraging her star power, key changes, and Swarovski spectacle for strong jury and televote potential. Greece (7.5%) and Romania (6.7%) hold as dark horses amid geopolitical boycotts impacting Israel (5.9%), with final voting Saturday at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle poised to hinge on bloc televotes versus jury preferences.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$169,325,558
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 50%, seguido de "Australia" con 18%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 50¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" ha generado $169.3 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es "Finlandia" con 50%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Australia" con 18%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.