Finland commands an 82% implied probability on Polymarket to finish in Eurovision 2026's top 5, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" dominating Finland's UMK national final last month with jury acclaim and viral pop-classical appeal. Traders pile into Israel (60%), Denmark (58%), Greece (58%), and France (57%) Yes shares, reflecting strong national selection wins—Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund and France's Monroe delivering polished entries—plus Israel's persistent televote strength amid geopolitical buzz. With all 37 acts confirmed post-March finals, early streaming metrics and fan polls reinforce Nordic frontrunners, though rehearsals starting next month and Vienna semi-final allocations on May 12/14 could spark shifts in this high-volume market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoEurovision 2026: Top 5
Eurovision 2026: Top 5
$39,380 Vol.

Finland
82%

Denmark
61%

Israel
60%

Greece
57%

France
57%

Australia
53%

Sweden
39%

Romania
34%

Ukraine
34%

Italy
30%

Malta
21%

Czechia
18%

Cyprus
15%

Moldova
14%

Armenia
14%

Croatia
13%

Norway
13%

Germany
12%

United Kingdom
12%

Albania
10%

Montenegro
10%

Georgia
9%

Switzerland
9%

Luxembourg
9%

Lithuania
9%

Poland
9%

Austria
9%

Latvia
8%

Belgium
8%

Estonia
8%

San Marino
8%

Portugal
7%

Azerbaijan
7%

Serbia
10%

Bulgaria
11%
$39,380 Vol.

Finland
82%

Denmark
61%

Israel
60%

Greece
57%

France
57%

Australia
53%

Sweden
39%

Romania
34%

Ukraine
34%

Italy
30%

Malta
21%

Czechia
18%

Cyprus
15%

Moldova
14%

Armenia
14%

Croatia
13%

Norway
13%

Germany
12%

United Kingdom
12%

Albania
10%

Montenegro
10%

Georgia
9%

Switzerland
9%

Luxembourg
9%

Lithuania
9%

Poland
9%

Austria
9%

Latvia
8%

Belgium
8%

Estonia
8%

San Marino
8%

Portugal
7%

Azerbaijan
7%

Serbia
10%

Bulgaria
11%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado abierto: Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Finland commands an 82% implied probability on Polymarket to finish in Eurovision 2026's top 5, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" dominating Finland's UMK national final last month with jury acclaim and viral pop-classical appeal. Traders pile into Israel (60%), Denmark (58%), Greece (58%), and France (57%) Yes shares, reflecting strong national selection wins—Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund and France's Monroe delivering polished entries—plus Israel's persistent televote strength amid geopolitical buzz. With all 37 acts confirmed post-March finals, early streaming metrics and fan polls reinforce Nordic frontrunners, though rehearsals starting next month and Vienna semi-final allocations on May 12/14 could spark shifts in this high-volume market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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