Austria tops trader sentiment for Eurovision 2026 last place at 18.5% implied probability, fueled by expectations of a post-victory slump after Nemo's 2024 triumph, mirroring historical defending champion struggles like Sweden's 2013 drop-off. The UK trails closely at 14%, weighed down by perennial televote woes and Brexit-era backlash, while Germany's 10% reflects ongoing internal selection controversies. With top contenders bunched under 20%, dynamics hinge on emerging national final outcomes—scouting strong songs and staging will be key differentiators amid bloc voting predictability for Eastern entrants. Upcoming late-2025 preselections could shift odds, as unannounced lineups amplify uncertainty in this speculative pre-contest market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoEurovision Last Place 2026
Eurovision Last Place 2026
Austria 19%
United Kingdom 14%
Germany 10%
Norway 9%

Austria
19%

United Kingdom
14%

Germany
10%

Norway
9%

Estonia
10%

Latvia
8%

Azerbaijan
8%

Albania
7%

Bulgaria
7%

Cyprus
7%

Denmark
7%

Switzerland
7%

Moldova
6%

Armenia
6%

Greece
6%

Czechia
6%

Sweden
6%

Italy
6%

Belgium
5%

Croatia
5%

France
5%

Malta
5%

Poland
5%

Israel
4%

Georgia
4%

Serbia
4%

Montenegro
4%

Australia
4%

Luxembourg
4%

Portugal
8%

Ukraine
4%

Lithuania
3%

San Marino
3%

Finland
2%

Romania
7%
Austria 19%
United Kingdom 14%
Germany 10%
Norway 9%

Austria
19%

United Kingdom
14%

Germany
10%

Norway
9%

Estonia
10%

Latvia
8%

Azerbaijan
8%

Albania
7%

Bulgaria
7%

Cyprus
7%

Denmark
7%

Switzerland
7%

Moldova
6%

Armenia
6%

Greece
6%

Czechia
6%

Sweden
6%

Italy
6%

Belgium
5%

Croatia
5%

France
5%

Malta
5%

Poland
5%

Israel
4%

Georgia
4%

Serbia
4%

Montenegro
4%

Australia
4%

Luxembourg
4%

Portugal
8%

Ukraine
4%

Lithuania
3%

San Marino
3%

Finland
2%

Romania
7%
If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 7:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Austria tops trader sentiment for Eurovision 2026 last place at 18.5% implied probability, fueled by expectations of a post-victory slump after Nemo's 2024 triumph, mirroring historical defending champion struggles like Sweden's 2013 drop-off. The UK trails closely at 14%, weighed down by perennial televote woes and Brexit-era backlash, while Germany's 10% reflects ongoing internal selection controversies. With top contenders bunched under 20%, dynamics hinge on emerging national final outcomes—scouting strong songs and staging will be key differentiators amid bloc voting predictability for Eastern entrants. Upcoming late-2025 preselections could shift odds, as unannounced lineups amplify uncertainty in this speculative pre-contest market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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