Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's tweet volume during March 24-31, 2026, clusters tightly around 320-359 posts at 10.5% implied probabilities each, reflecting extrapolation from his current hyperactive X posting habits averaging 40-50 tweets daily amid Tesla updates, SpaceX hype, and meme-driven cultural moments. Recent surges—peaking over 100 daily during 2024 election fervor and Grok AI launches—bolster optimism for sustained high output, but competitive dynamics hinge on differentiating factors like potential X algorithm tweaks reducing visibility incentives or Musk's unpredictable schedule around Starship tests. With no confirmed events for that week yet, traders weigh historical volatility against his role as pop culture provocateur, keeping 360-399 ranges viable at 9.5-8.5%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado320-339 12%
340-359 11%
360-379 10%
280-299 9%
$720,665 Vol.
$720,665 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
3%
220-239
5%
240-259
6%
260-279
6%
280-299
9%
300-319
9%
320-339
12%
340-359
11%
360-379
10%
380-399
9%
400-419
5%
420-439
4%
440-459
3%
460-479
3%
480-499
3%
500-519
3%
520-539
2%
540-559
2%
560-579
1%
580+
<1%
320-339 12%
340-359 11%
360-379 10%
280-299 9%
$720,665 Vol.
$720,665 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
3%
220-239
5%
240-259
6%
260-279
6%
280-299
9%
300-319
9%
320-339
12%
340-359
11%
360-379
10%
380-399
9%
400-419
5%
420-439
4%
440-459
3%
460-479
3%
480-499
3%
500-519
3%
520-539
2%
540-559
2%
560-579
1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's tweet volume during March 24-31, 2026, clusters tightly around 320-359 posts at 10.5% implied probabilities each, reflecting extrapolation from his current hyperactive X posting habits averaging 40-50 tweets daily amid Tesla updates, SpaceX hype, and meme-driven cultural moments. Recent surges—peaking over 100 daily during 2024 election fervor and Grok AI launches—bolster optimism for sustained high output, but competitive dynamics hinge on differentiating factors like potential X algorithm tweaks reducing visibility incentives or Musk's unpredictable schedule around Starship tests. With no confirmed events for that week yet, traders weigh historical volatility against his role as pop culture provocateur, keeping 360-399 ranges viable at 9.5-8.5%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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