Trader consensus on Polymarket elevates Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, driven by President-elect Trump's November 14 nomination of him as HHS secretary, his prior Trump endorsement, and resonance with the GOP base on health policy skepticism after his independent presidential bid. J.D. Vance holds 37% as vice president-elect, bolstered by his frontrunner status as a natural MAGA successor given Trump's constitutional term limits. Marco Rubio's 23% reflects his high-profile secretary of state nomination on November 21, enhancing his foreign policy credentials. These positions crystallized post-Trump's November 5 election victory, with upcoming Senate confirmation hearings and potential endorsements poised to shift early dynamics in this long-term primary race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoCandidato presidencial republicano 2028
Candidato presidencial republicano 2028
J.D. Vance 36.5%
Marco Rubio 22.8%
Byron Donalds 6.8%
Tucker Carlson 4.1%
$475,126,558 Vol.
$475,126,558 Vol.

J.D. Vance
37%

Marco Rubio
23%

Byron Donalds
7%

Tucker Carlson
4%

Ron DeSantis
3%

Donald Trump
2%

Thomas Massie
2%

Glenn Youngkin
1%

Donald Trump Jr.
1%

Rand Paul
1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

Elon Musk
1%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
1%

Nikki Haley
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

Ted Cruz
1%

Matt Gaetz
1%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%

Brian Kemp
1%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Eric Trump
1%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1%

Josh Hawley
1%

Katie Britt
1%

Pete Hegseth
1%

Elise Stefanik
1%

John Thune
1%

Kristi Noem
1%

Joe Kent
1%

Tom Brady
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Steve Bannon
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Erika Kirk
1%

Mike Pence
1%
J.D. Vance 36.5%
Marco Rubio 22.8%
Byron Donalds 6.8%
Tucker Carlson 4.1%
$475,126,558 Vol.
$475,126,558 Vol.

J.D. Vance
37%

Marco Rubio
23%

Byron Donalds
7%

Tucker Carlson
4%

Ron DeSantis
3%

Donald Trump
2%

Thomas Massie
2%

Glenn Youngkin
1%

Donald Trump Jr.
1%

Rand Paul
1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

Elon Musk
1%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
1%

Nikki Haley
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

Ted Cruz
1%

Matt Gaetz
1%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%

Brian Kemp
1%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Eric Trump
1%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1%

Josh Hawley
1%

Katie Britt
1%

Pete Hegseth
1%

Elise Stefanik
1%

John Thune
1%

Kristi Noem
1%

Joe Kent
1%

Tom Brady
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Steve Bannon
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Erika Kirk
1%

Mike Pence
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus on Polymarket elevates Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, driven by President-elect Trump's November 14 nomination of him as HHS secretary, his prior Trump endorsement, and resonance with the GOP base on health policy skepticism after his independent presidential bid. J.D. Vance holds 37% as vice president-elect, bolstered by his frontrunner status as a natural MAGA successor given Trump's constitutional term limits. Marco Rubio's 23% reflects his high-profile secretary of state nomination on November 21, enhancing his foreign policy credentials. These positions crystallized post-Trump's November 5 election victory, with upcoming Senate confirmation hearings and potential endorsements poised to shift early dynamics in this long-term primary race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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