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Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

Market icon

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

J.D. Vance 41.3%

Marco Rubio 14.7%

Donald Trump 2.4%

Donald Trump Jr. 2.3%

Polymarket

$336,693,547 Vol.

J.D. Vance 41.3%

Marco Rubio 14.7%

Donald Trump 2.4%

Donald Trump Jr. 2.3%

Polymarket

$336,693,547 Vol.

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J.D. Vance

$4,657,684 Vol.

41%

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Marco Rubio

$4,637,709 Vol.

15%

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Donald Trump

$4,503,507 Vol.

2%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$3,250,257 Vol.

2%

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Ron DeSantis

$3,725,636 Vol.

2%

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Ted Cruz

$6,907,010 Vol.

2%

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Elon Musk

$18,160,472 Vol.

2%

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Rand Paul

$11,938,271 Vol.

2%

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Brian Kemp

$7,113,990 Vol.

2%

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Thomas Massie

$997,495 Vol.

2%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$7,497,778 Vol.

1%

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Glenn Youngkin

$3,760,251 Vol.

1%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$10,503,561 Vol.

1%

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Tucker Carlson

$2,527,272 Vol.

1%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$2,224,391 Vol.

1%

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Josh Hawley

$11,373,302 Vol.

1%

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Ivanka Trump

$3,514,905 Vol.

1%

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Matt Gaetz

$13,196,418 Vol.

1%

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Nikki Haley

$4,841,215 Vol.

1%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$18,226,656 Vol.

1%

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Greg Abbott

$13,038,483 Vol.

1%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$8,825,610 Vol.

1%

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Tom Brady

$20,297,860 Vol.

1%

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Erika Kirk

$5,450,612 Vol.

1%

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Mike Pence

$25,088,766 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$17,714,865 Vol.

1%

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Byron Donalds

$14,735,534 Vol.

1%

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Elise Stefanik

$15,899,845 Vol.

1%

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Katie Britt

$20,068,220 Vol.

1%

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John Thune

$21,435,250 Vol.

1%

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Kristi Noem

$19,865,699 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Steve Bannon

$9,557,811 Vol.

1%

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Eric Trump

$1,157,289 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$336,693,547
Fecha de finalización
Nov 7, 2028
Creado en
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 33 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 41%, followed by "Marco Rubio" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" has generated $336.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028," browse the 33 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" is "J.D. Vance" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marco Rubio" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.