Trader consensus favors Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, propelled by President-elect Donald Trump's recent nomination of him as HHS Secretary, elevating his profile within GOP circles despite his prior independent run and endorsement of Trump in 2024. J.D. Vance follows at 37%, bolstered by his role as Vice President-elect, positioning him as a natural successor amid Trump's constitutional term limit after two terms. Marco Rubio at 22% gains from his Secretary of State nomination, signaling Trump's inner circle preferences. These odds reflect post-election cabinet announcements and transition developments, with Senate confirmation hearings ahead as key catalysts that could shift early primary jockeying.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoCandidato presidencial republicano 2028
Candidato presidencial republicano 2028
J.D. Vance 36.6%
Marco Rubio 22.1%
Tucker Carlson 4.3%
Ron DeSantis 2.6%
$473,934,068 Vol.
$473,934,068 Vol.

J.D. Vance
37%

Marco Rubio
22%

Tucker Carlson
4%

Ron DeSantis
3%

Donald Trump
2%

Thomas Massie
2%

Glenn Youngkin
1%

Donald Trump Jr.
1%

Rand Paul
1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

Elon Musk
1%

Matt Gaetz
1%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
1%

Nikki Haley
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

Ted Cruz
1%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%

Brian Kemp
1%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Eric Trump
1%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1%

Josh Hawley
1%

Katie Britt
1%

Pete Hegseth
1%

Elise Stefanik
1%

John Thune
1%

Kristi Noem
1%

Joe Kent
1%

Tom Brady
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Steve Bannon
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Byron Donalds
1%

Erika Kirk
1%

Mike Pence
1%
J.D. Vance 36.6%
Marco Rubio 22.1%
Tucker Carlson 4.3%
Ron DeSantis 2.6%
$473,934,068 Vol.
$473,934,068 Vol.

J.D. Vance
37%

Marco Rubio
22%

Tucker Carlson
4%

Ron DeSantis
3%

Donald Trump
2%

Thomas Massie
2%

Glenn Youngkin
1%

Donald Trump Jr.
1%

Rand Paul
1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

Elon Musk
1%

Matt Gaetz
1%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
1%

Nikki Haley
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

Ted Cruz
1%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%

Brian Kemp
1%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Eric Trump
1%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1%

Josh Hawley
1%

Katie Britt
1%

Pete Hegseth
1%

Elise Stefanik
1%

John Thune
1%

Kristi Noem
1%

Joe Kent
1%

Tom Brady
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Steve Bannon
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Byron Donalds
1%

Erika Kirk
1%

Mike Pence
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
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0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus favors Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, propelled by President-elect Donald Trump's recent nomination of him as HHS Secretary, elevating his profile within GOP circles despite his prior independent run and endorsement of Trump in 2024. J.D. Vance follows at 37%, bolstered by his role as Vice President-elect, positioning him as a natural successor amid Trump's constitutional term limit after two terms. Marco Rubio at 22% gains from his Secretary of State nomination, signaling Trump's inner circle preferences. These odds reflect post-election cabinet announcements and transition developments, with Senate confirmation hearings ahead as key catalysts that could shift early primary jockeying.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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