Nikki Gronli holds a commanding lead in the South Dakota Democratic primary for the at-large U.S. House seat, scheduled for June 2, 2026, due to the withdrawal of her main rival Billy Mawhiney earlier this year and the limited support for remaining filer Scott Schlagel. As a former USDA Rural Development state director and state Democratic Party vice chair, Gronli secured ballot access and consolidated party backing in a low-profile contest where no other viable challengers emerged. Trader consensus reflects this consolidation, with her implied probability near 98 percent. The outcome could shift only in the unlikely event of a late withdrawal reversal, unexpected ballot issues, or a significant undisclosed development before primary day, though current filings and reporting indicate no such factors are present.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las primarias demócratas de SD-AL
Ganador de las primarias demócratas de SD-AL
Nikki Gronli 98.1%
Billy Mawhiney 1.7%
Scott Schlagel <1%
$12,167 Vol.
$12,167 Vol.
2 jun 2026
Nikki Gronli
98%
Billy Mawhiney
2%
Scott Schlagel
1%
Nikki Gronli 98.1%
Billy Mawhiney 1.7%
Scott Schlagel <1%
$12,167 Vol.
$12,167 Vol.
2 jun 2026
Nikki Gronli
$2,368 Vol.
98%
Billy Mawhiney
$4,602 Vol.
2%
Scott Schlagel
$5,197 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Nikki Gronli holds a commanding lead in the South Dakota Democratic primary for the at-large U.S. House seat, scheduled for June 2, 2026, due to the withdrawal of her main rival Billy Mawhiney earlier this year and the limited support for remaining filer Scott Schlagel. As a former USDA Rural Development state director and state Democratic Party vice chair, Gronli secured ballot access and consolidated party backing in a low-profile contest where no other viable challengers emerged. Trader consensus reflects this consolidation, with her implied probability near 98 percent. The outcome could shift only in the unlikely event of a late withdrawal reversal, unexpected ballot issues, or a significant undisclosed development before primary day, though current filings and reporting indicate no such factors are present.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Volumen
$12,167Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Nikki Gronli holds a commanding lead in the South Dakota Democratic primary for the at-large U.S. House seat, scheduled for June 2, 2026, due to the withdrawal of her main rival Billy Mawhiney earlier this year and the limited support for remaining filer Scott Schlagel. As a former USDA Rural Development state director and state Democratic Party vice chair, Gronli secured ballot access and consolidated party backing in a low-profile contest where no other viable challengers emerged. Trader consensus reflects this consolidation, with her implied probability near 98 percent. The outcome could shift only in the unlikely event of a late withdrawal reversal, unexpected ballot issues, or a significant undisclosed development before primary day, though current filings and reporting indicate no such factors are present.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$12,167Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Nikki Gronli holds a commanding lead in the South Dakota Democratic primary for the at-large U.S. House seat, scheduled for June 2, 2026, due to the withdrawal of her main rival Billy Mawhiney earlier this year and the limited support for remaining filer Scott Schlagel. As a former USDA Rural Development state director and state Democratic Party vice chair, Gronli secured ballot access and consolidated party backing in a low-profile contest where no other viable challengers emerged. Trader consensus reflects this consolidation, with her implied probability near 98 percent. The outcome could shift only in the unlikely event of a late withdrawal reversal, unexpected ballot issues, or a significant undisclosed development before primary day, though current filings and reporting indicate no such factors are present.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes