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Elecciones·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de California

Market icon
Elecciones·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de California

Tom Steyer 58.6%

Xavier Becerra 16.6%

Matt Mahan 9%

Katie Porter 4.5%

Polymarket

$11,032,052 Vol.

Tom Steyer 58.6%

Xavier Becerra 16.6%

Matt Mahan 9%

Katie Porter 4.5%

Polymarket

$11,032,052 Vol.

Tom Steyer

$2,926,957 Vol.

59%

Xavier Becerra

$510,686 Vol.

17%

Matt Mahan

$300,779 Vol.

9%

Katie Porter

$755,246 Vol.

5%

Steve Hilton

$922,460 Vol.

4%

Chad Bianco

$842,830 Vol.

3%

Kamala Harris

$294,542 Vol.

1%

Elaine Culotti

$161,835 Vol.

<1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$178,446 Vol.

<1%

Betty Yee

$240,973 Vol.

<1%

Rick Caruso

$355,194 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Cloobeck

$217,644 Vol.

<1%

Kyle Langford

$587,865 Vol.

<1%

Eleni Kounalakis

$392,854 Vol.

<1%

Tony Thurmond

$216,490 Vol.

<1%

Leo Zacky

$246,736 Vol.

<1%

Eric Swalwell

$279,015 Vol.

<1%

Alex Padilla

$299,305 Vol.

<1%

Butch Ware

$255,094 Vol.

<1%

Toni Atkins

$237,102 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Mercuri

$260,677 Vol.

<1%

Michael Younger

$303,573 Vol.

<1%

Nicole Shanahan

$245,877 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors billionaire Democrat Tom Steyer at 58.6% implied probability to win California's 2026 gubernatorial election, driven by his massive self-funding—the most expensive campaign in the race—and a sharp surge following Rep. Eric Swalwell's abrupt withdrawal last week amid sexual assault allegations from a former staffer. Recent Emerson College polling shows Steyer leading Democrats at 14-20% in the June top-two primary, with former Attorney General Xavier Becerra surging to 10% on his post-Swalwell boost, while San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan and ex-Rep. Katie Porter trail among Democrats; Republicans Steve Hilton and Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco lead overall polls but lag market odds amid California's Democratic dominance. The crowded primary risks vote-splitting, positioning well-funded Steyer for advancement and general election victory on November 3.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volumen
$11,032,052
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 9, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors billionaire Democrat Tom Steyer at 58.6% implied probability to win California's 2026 gubernatorial election, driven by his massive self-funding—the most expensive campaign in the race—and a sharp surge following Rep. Eric Swalwell's abrupt withdrawal last week amid sexual assault allegations from a former staffer. Recent Emerson College polling shows Steyer leading Democrats at 14-20% in the June top-two primary, with former Attorney General Xavier Becerra surging to 10% on his post-Swalwell boost, while San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan and ex-Rep. Katie Porter trail among Democrats; Republicans Steve Hilton and Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco lead overall polls but lag market odds amid California's Democratic dominance. The crowded primary risks vote-splitting, positioning well-funded Steyer for advancement and general election victory on November 3.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volumen
$11,032,052
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 9, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de California" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 23 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Tom Steyer" con 59%, seguido de "Xavier Becerra" con 17%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 59¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 59% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de California" ha generado $11 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 9, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de California", explora los 23 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de California" es "Tom Steyer" con 59%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 59% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Xavier Becerra" con 17%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de California" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.