Trader sentiment for third place in Peru's 2026 presidential election first round reflects a fragmented field, with Enrique Valderrama's 23.5% implied probability leading narrowly amid recent Ipsos and Datum polls showing him at 8-10% overall support, just ahead of Rafael Belaúnde Llosa (21.5%) and Ricardo Belmont (20.5%). The race stays tight due to vote-splitting among 18+ candidates, regional strongholds, and low national name recognition beyond frontrunners like Keiko Fujimori or Rafael López Aliaga. Volatility stems from shifting anti-incumbent sentiment post-Boluarte scandals and economic woes. Separation could arise from January candidate registrations, early debates, or endorsements from parties like Acción Popular, as traders weigh skin-in-the-game odds on undecided voters.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoPeru Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Peru Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Enrique Valderrama 24%
Ricardo Belmont 21%
Jorge Nieto 20%
César Acuña 20%

Enrique Valderrama
24%

Ricardo Belmont
21%

Jorge Nieto
20%

César Acuña
20%

George Forsyth
9%

Rafael López Aliaga
19%

José Luna
20%

Fiorella Molinelli
18%

Yonhy Lescano
20%

Wolfgang Grozo
19%

Fernando Olivera
20%

Alfonso López Chau
18%

Mesías Guevara
20%

Carlos Espá
19%

Marisol Pérez Tello
19%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
19%

Vladimir Cerrón
19%

José Williams
19%

Keiko Fujimori
19%

Carlos Álvarez
19%

Roberto Chiabra
19%

Mario Vizcarra
19%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
21%
Enrique Valderrama 24%
Ricardo Belmont 21%
Jorge Nieto 20%
César Acuña 20%

Enrique Valderrama
24%

Ricardo Belmont
21%

Jorge Nieto
20%

César Acuña
20%

George Forsyth
9%

Rafael López Aliaga
19%

José Luna
20%

Fiorella Molinelli
18%

Yonhy Lescano
20%

Wolfgang Grozo
19%

Fernando Olivera
20%

Alfonso López Chau
18%

Mesías Guevara
20%

Carlos Espá
19%

Marisol Pérez Tello
19%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
19%

Vladimir Cerrón
19%

José Williams
19%

Keiko Fujimori
19%

Carlos Álvarez
19%

Roberto Chiabra
19%

Mario Vizcarra
19%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
21%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for third place in Peru's 2026 presidential election first round reflects a fragmented field, with Enrique Valderrama's 23.5% implied probability leading narrowly amid recent Ipsos and Datum polls showing him at 8-10% overall support, just ahead of Rafael Belaúnde Llosa (21.5%) and Ricardo Belmont (20.5%). The race stays tight due to vote-splitting among 18+ candidates, regional strongholds, and low national name recognition beyond frontrunners like Keiko Fujimori or Rafael López Aliaga. Volatility stems from shifting anti-incumbent sentiment post-Boluarte scandals and economic woes. Separation could arise from January candidate registrations, early debates, or endorsements from parties like Acción Popular, as traders weigh skin-in-the-game odds on undecided voters.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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