Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's presidential first-round vote with around 17% per ONPE tallies at over 93% of actas procesadas, setting up a June 7 runoff with the second-place finisher. Roberto Sánchez Palomino holds a narrow edge over Rafael López Aliaga for that spot—roughly 12% to 11.9%, or 10,000–13,000 votes—fueled by incoming rural ballots from his leftist strongholds like Cajamarca, while urban Lima votes favoring López Aliaga are largely counted. Trader consensus prices López Aliaga at 81% implied probability for third, reflecting projections that remaining 7% of ballots, including over 5,200 challenged ones amid chain-of-custody irregularities, won't close the gap despite his fraud allegations and protests.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPrimera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 3er lugar
Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 3er lugar
Rafael López Aliaga 81.0%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 18.3%
Jorge Nieto <1%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$957,297 Vol.
$957,297 Vol.
12 abr 2026
Rafael López Aliaga
81%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
18%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 81.0%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 18.3%
Jorge Nieto <1%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$957,297 Vol.
$957,297 Vol.
12 abr 2026
Rafael López Aliaga
$171,448 Vol.
81%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
$147,549 Vol.
18%
Jorge Nieto
$137,164 Vol.
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
$63,406 Vol.
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
$27,356 Vol.
<1%
José Luna
$23,607 Vol.
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
$21,019 Vol.
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
$23,548 Vol.
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
$20,608 Vol.
<1%
Fernando Olivera
$21,874 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
$26,635 Vol.
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
$25,739 Vol.
<1%
George Forsyth
$23,799 Vol.
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
$21,012 Vol.
<1%
Mesías Guevara
$20,585 Vol.
<1%
César Acuña
$22,276 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
$21,896 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Espá
$24,182 Vol.
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
$21,339 Vol.
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
$20,246 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
$23,586 Vol.
<1%
José Williams
$21,980 Vol.
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
$26,442 Vol.
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's presidential first-round vote with around 17% per ONPE tallies at over 93% of actas procesadas, setting up a June 7 runoff with the second-place finisher. Roberto Sánchez Palomino holds a narrow edge over Rafael López Aliaga for that spot—roughly 12% to 11.9%, or 10,000–13,000 votes—fueled by incoming rural ballots from his leftist strongholds like Cajamarca, while urban Lima votes favoring López Aliaga are largely counted. Trader consensus prices López Aliaga at 81% implied probability for third, reflecting projections that remaining 7% of ballots, including over 5,200 challenged ones amid chain-of-custody irregularities, won't close the gap despite his fraud allegations and protests.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Volumen
$957,297Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's presidential first-round vote with around 17% per ONPE tallies at over 93% of actas procesadas, setting up a June 7 runoff with the second-place finisher. Roberto Sánchez Palomino holds a narrow edge over Rafael López Aliaga for that spot—roughly 12% to 11.9%, or 10,000–13,000 votes—fueled by incoming rural ballots from his leftist strongholds like Cajamarca, while urban Lima votes favoring López Aliaga are largely counted. Trader consensus prices López Aliaga at 81% implied probability for third, reflecting projections that remaining 7% of ballots, including over 5,200 challenged ones amid chain-of-custody irregularities, won't close the gap despite his fraud allegations and protests.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$957,297Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's presidential first-round vote with around 17% per ONPE tallies at over 93% of actas procesadas, setting up a June 7 runoff with the second-place finisher. Roberto Sánchez Palomino holds a narrow edge over Rafael López Aliaga for that spot—roughly 12% to 11.9%, or 10,000–13,000 votes—fueled by incoming rural ballots from his leftist strongholds like Cajamarca, while urban Lima votes favoring López Aliaga are largely counted. Trader consensus prices López Aliaga at 81% implied probability for third, reflecting projections that remaining 7% of ballots, including over 5,200 challenged ones amid chain-of-custody irregularities, won't close the gap despite his fraud allegations and protests.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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