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Política·Corea Del Sur

Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Busan 2026

Market icon
Política·Corea Del Sur

Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Busan 2026

Chun Jae-soo 70%

Park Heong-joon 25%

Choi In-ho 1.6%

Cho Kyoung-tae 1.1%

Polymarket

$149,771 Vol.

Chun Jae-soo 70%

Park Heong-joon 25%

Choi In-ho 1.6%

Cho Kyoung-tae 1.1%

Polymarket

$149,771 Vol.

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Chun Jae-soo

$28,183 Vol.

70%

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Park Heong-joon

$9,400 Vol.

25%

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Choi In-ho

$0 Vol.

2%

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Cho Kyoung-tae

$0 Vol.

1%

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Lee Jae-sung

$0 Vol.

1%

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Suh Byung-soo

$49,557 Vol.

1%

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Cho Kuk

$62,631 Vol.

1%

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Kim Young-choon

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Park Seong-hoon

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Hong Soon-heon

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Kim Do-eup

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Park Jae-ho

$0 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Chun Jae-soo at 70% implied probability to win the 2026 Busan mayoral election, reflecting recent polls positioning him as the top choice among People Power Party (PPP) supporters in the conservative stronghold of Busan. Incumbent Mayor Park Heong-joon, also PPP, trails at 25% amid surveys showing voter preference shifting toward Chun's local assembly record and name recognition, with no recent scandals boosting challengers like DP's Cho Kuk. No major developments in the past week, but upcoming PPP primaries expected in early 2026 could solidify nominations, while national trends and Busan's historical PPP dominance underpin the lopsided odds. Low probabilities for others highlight the binary PPP contest.

The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Volumen
$149,771
Fecha de finalización
Jun 3, 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Chun Jae-soo at 70% implied probability to win the 2026 Busan mayoral election, reflecting recent polls positioning him as the top choice among People Power Party (PPP) supporters in the conservative stronghold of Busan. Incumbent Mayor Park Heong-joon, also PPP, trails at 25% amid surveys showing voter preference shifting toward Chun's local assembly record and name recognition, with no recent scandals boosting challengers like DP's Cho Kuk. No major developments in the past week, but upcoming PPP primaries expected in early 2026 could solidify nominations, while national trends and Busan's historical PPP dominance underpin the lopsided odds. Low probabilities for others highlight the binary PPP contest.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Chun Jae-soo at 70% implied probability to win the 2026 Busan mayoral election, reflecting recent polls positioning him as the top choice among People Power Party (PPP) supporters in the conservative stronghold of Busan. Incumbent Mayor Park Heong-joon, also PPP, trails at 25% amid surveys showing voter preference shifting toward Chun's local assembly record and name recognition, with no recent scandals boosting challengers like DP's Cho Kuk. No major developments in the past week, but upcoming PPP primaries expected in early 2026 could solidify nominations, while national trends and Busan's historical PPP dominance underpin the lopsided odds. Low probabilities for others highlight the binary PPP contest.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Busan 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 12 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Chun Jae-soo" con 70%, seguido de "Park Heong-joon" con 25%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 70¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 70% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Busan 2026" ha generado $149.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 13, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Busan 2026", explora los 12 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Busan 2026" es "Chun Jae-soo" con 70%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 70% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Park Heong-joon" con 25%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Busan 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.