JD Vance leads trader consensus at 19.8% implied probability for the 2028 presidential winner, edging California Governor Gavin Newsom at 18.3%, with Senator Marco Rubio third at 12.2%, reflecting early positioning in a fluid, four-year-out race. Vance's edge stems from his role as vice president-elect following the 2024 Republican sweep, positioning him as heir apparent absent Trump's eligibility, while Newsom's national profile via Democratic fundraising and Trump critiques bolsters his bid. The tight contest persists amid undefined primary fields, 2026 midterm uncertainties, and economic performance under a new administration, with Trump endorsements or scandals potentially separating frontrunners before formal campaigning intensifies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028
Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028
JD Vance 19.8%
Gavin Newsom 18.3%
Marco Rubio 12.2%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 4.8%
$435,258,694 Vol.
$435,258,694 Vol.

JD Vance
20%

Gavin Newsom
18%

Marco Rubio
12%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5%

Jon Ossoff
4%

Tucker Carlson
3%

Título del ítem del grupo: Kamala Harris
3%

Josh Shapiro
3%

Donald Trump
3%

Pete Buttigieg
2%

JB Pritzker
2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
2%

Ron DeSantis
2%

Título del grupo: Andy Beshear
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

Michelle Obama
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Elon Musk
1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
1%

Jamie Dimon
1%

Gretchen Whitmer
1%

Wes Moore
1%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Nikki Haley
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

Thomas Massie
1%

James Talarico
1%

Donald Trump Jr.
1%

Ro Khanna
1%

Glenn Youngkin
1%

Stephen Smith
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

Pete Hegseth
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Eric Trump
1%

LeBron James
1%
JD Vance 19.8%
Gavin Newsom 18.3%
Marco Rubio 12.2%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 4.8%
$435,258,694 Vol.
$435,258,694 Vol.

JD Vance
20%

Gavin Newsom
18%

Marco Rubio
12%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5%

Jon Ossoff
4%

Tucker Carlson
3%

Título del ítem del grupo: Kamala Harris
3%

Josh Shapiro
3%

Donald Trump
3%

Pete Buttigieg
2%

JB Pritzker
2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
2%

Ron DeSantis
2%

Título del grupo: Andy Beshear
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

Michelle Obama
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Elon Musk
1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
1%

Jamie Dimon
1%

Gretchen Whitmer
1%

Wes Moore
1%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Nikki Haley
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

Thomas Massie
1%

James Talarico
1%

Donald Trump Jr.
1%

Ro Khanna
1%

Glenn Youngkin
1%

Stephen Smith
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

Pete Hegseth
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Eric Trump
1%

LeBron James
1%
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Mercado abierto: Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
JD Vance leads trader consensus at 19.8% implied probability for the 2028 presidential winner, edging California Governor Gavin Newsom at 18.3%, with Senator Marco Rubio third at 12.2%, reflecting early positioning in a fluid, four-year-out race. Vance's edge stems from his role as vice president-elect following the 2024 Republican sweep, positioning him as heir apparent absent Trump's eligibility, while Newsom's national profile via Democratic fundraising and Trump critiques bolsters his bid. The tight contest persists amid undefined primary fields, 2026 midterm uncertainties, and economic performance under a new administration, with Trump endorsements or scandals potentially separating frontrunners before formal campaigning intensifies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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