Trader consensus on the GA-09 Republican primary reflects a dead heat among Rep. Andrew Clyde, Sam Couvillon, and Gregg Poole, with implied probabilities hovering near 47% each amid recent polls showing them clustered within 3-5 points. Incumbent Clyde holds an edge in name recognition and fundraising but faces challengers leveraging voter fatigue over Washington gridlock and local economic concerns. Couvillon's business credentials and Poole's grassroots organizing keep the field even, as no major endorsements—like from former President Trump—have tipped the scales. Separation could emerge from final pre-primary surveys, early voting turnout data, or last-minute attack ads before the May 21 vote, underscoring the race's volatility in this solidly conservative district.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGA-09 Republican Primary Winner
GA-09 Republican Primary Winner
Gregg Poole 46%
Andrew Clyde 31%
Sam Couvillon 29%
Gregg Poole
46%
Andrew Clyde
31%
Sam Couvillon
29%
Gregg Poole 46%
Andrew Clyde 31%
Sam Couvillon 29%
Gregg Poole
46%
Andrew Clyde
31%
Sam Couvillon
29%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the GA-09 Republican primary reflects a dead heat among Rep. Andrew Clyde, Sam Couvillon, and Gregg Poole, with implied probabilities hovering near 47% each amid recent polls showing them clustered within 3-5 points. Incumbent Clyde holds an edge in name recognition and fundraising but faces challengers leveraging voter fatigue over Washington gridlock and local economic concerns. Couvillon's business credentials and Poole's grassroots organizing keep the field even, as no major endorsements—like from former President Trump—have tipped the scales. Separation could emerge from final pre-primary surveys, early voting turnout data, or last-minute attack ads before the May 21 vote, underscoring the race's volatility in this solidly conservative district.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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