Uncertainty surrounding the 2025 New York City mayoral election dominates trader consensus, with all post volume bins for the sitting mayor's X activity March 24-31, 2026, clustered tightly around 40%, signaling no clear favorite outcome. Eric Adams' federal corruption indictment in September 2024 has eroded his Democratic primary standing, per recent Siena polling showing him at 11% against hypothetical rivals like Andrew Cuomo (35%) or Brad Lander, while insurgent Zohran Mamdani gains traction among progressives. Candidates exhibit varied posting habits—Adams frequently engages, unlike potentially more selective contenders—amplifying volume unpredictability. Developments like candidate announcements, primary polling surges, or campaign social media ramps could widen separations ahead of the June 2025 Democratic primary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 24 al 31 de marzo de 2026?
¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 24 al 31 de marzo de 2026?
20-39 42%
<20 41%
40-59 41%
60-79 41%
<20
41%
20-39
42%
40-59
41%
60-79
41%
80-99
41%
100-119
41%
120-139
40%
140-159
38%
160-179
38%
180-199
39%
200+
39%
20-39 42%
<20 41%
40-59 41%
60-79 41%
<20
41%
20-39
42%
40-59
41%
60-79
41%
80-99
41%
100-119
41%
120-139
40%
140-159
38%
160-179
38%
180-199
39%
200+
39%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...Uncertainty surrounding the 2025 New York City mayoral election dominates trader consensus, with all post volume bins for the sitting mayor's X activity March 24-31, 2026, clustered tightly around 40%, signaling no clear favorite outcome. Eric Adams' federal corruption indictment in September 2024 has eroded his Democratic primary standing, per recent Siena polling showing him at 11% against hypothetical rivals like Andrew Cuomo (35%) or Brad Lander, while insurgent Zohran Mamdani gains traction among progressives. Candidates exhibit varied posting habits—Adams frequently engages, unlike potentially more selective contenders—amplifying volume unpredictability. Developments like candidate announcements, primary polling surges, or campaign social media ramps could widen separations ahead of the June 2025 Democratic primary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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