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¿La cara de Trump en la moneda de oro estadounidense para el 4 de julio?

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¿La cara de Trump en la moneda de oro estadounidense para el 4 de julio?

37% probabilidad
Polymarket

$12,012 Vol.

37% probabilidad
Polymarket

$12,012 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any gold coin featuring Donald Trump’s likeness is officially issued by the U.S. Mint by July 4th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count. A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The Commission of Fine Arts unanimously approved the design for a 24-karat gold commemorative coin featuring President Trump's image on March 19, advancing U.S. Mint production for America's 250th anniversary on July 4.** This rare depiction of a sitting president leverages statutory authority for semiquincentennial coins, bypassing traditional prohibitions on living persons via commemorative loopholes, though a federal lawsuit by a retired attorney challenges its legality. With no subsequent Treasury announcements on manufacturing timelines or distribution—typically requiring weeks to months amid Mint production backlogs—traders price a 60.5% "No" probability, emphasizing execution risks before the deadline despite prior congressional program authorization. Upcoming Mint updates or court rulings could shift consensus.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any gold coin featuring Donald Trump’s likeness is officially issued by the U.S. Mint by July 4th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.

A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$12,012
Fecha de finalización
4 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 5:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any gold coin featuring Donald Trump’s likeness is officially issued by the U.S. Mint by July 4th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count. A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any gold coin featuring Donald Trump’s likeness is officially issued by the U.S. Mint by July 4th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count. A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The Commission of Fine Arts unanimously approved the design for a 24-karat gold commemorative coin featuring President Trump's image on March 19, advancing U.S. Mint production for America's 250th anniversary on July 4.** This rare depiction of a sitting president leverages statutory authority for semiquincentennial coins, bypassing traditional prohibitions on living persons via commemorative loopholes, though a federal lawsuit by a retired attorney challenges its legality. With no subsequent Treasury announcements on manufacturing timelines or distribution—typically requiring weeks to months amid Mint production backlogs—traders price a 60.5% "No" probability, emphasizing execution risks before the deadline despite prior congressional program authorization. Upcoming Mint updates or court rulings could shift consensus.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any gold coin featuring Donald Trump’s likeness is officially issued by the U.S. Mint by July 4th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.

A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$12,049
Fecha de finalización
4 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 5:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any gold coin featuring Donald Trump’s likeness is officially issued by the U.S. Mint by July 4th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count. A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La cara de Trump en la moneda de oro estadounidense para el 4 de julio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿El rostro de Trump en una moneda de oro estadounidense para el 4 de julio?" con 37%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 37¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La cara de Trump en la moneda de oro estadounidense para el 4 de julio?" ha generado $12K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 20, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La cara de Trump en la moneda de oro estadounidense para el 4 de julio?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La cara de Trump en la moneda de oro estadounidense para el 4 de julio?" es "¿El rostro de Trump en una moneda de oro estadounidense para el 4 de julio?" con 37%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La cara de Trump en la moneda de oro estadounidense para el 4 de julio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.