TSA checkpoint screening data through April 23 shows 9.67 million travelers for April 20-23, with Monday's post-weekend low of 2.06 million, Tuesday at 2.30 million, and Wednesday's uptick to 2.74 million, aligning trader consensus around a 17-18 million weekly total per historical patterns of Thursday moderation, Friday peaks near 2.9 million, and Saturday surges. The razor-thin split between 17.5-18 million (49.5%) and 17-17.5 million (49%) stems from uncertainty over unreleased April 24-26 volumes amid reports of year-over-year passenger declines and post-spring break normalization. Separation could arise from TSA's daily updates by Friday, weather impacts on weekend travel, or economic signals affecting air traffic throughput.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNumber of TSA passengers April 20 - April 26?
Number of TSA passengers April 20 - April 26?
17-17.5m 100.0%
<16.5m <1%
16.5-17m <1%
17.5-18m <1%
$2,424 Vol.
$2,424 Vol.
<16.5m
No
16.5-17m
No
17-17.5m
Yes
17.5-18m
No
18-18.5m
No
>18.5m
No
17-17.5m 100.0%
<16.5m <1%
16.5-17m <1%
17.5-18m <1%
$2,424 Vol.
$2,424 Vol.
<16.5m
No
16.5-17m
No
17-17.5m
Yes
17.5-18m
No
18-18.5m
No
>18.5m
No
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 20, 2026 to April 26, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Mercado abierto: Apr 17, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 20, 2026 to April 26, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
TSA checkpoint screening data through April 23 shows 9.67 million travelers for April 20-23, with Monday's post-weekend low of 2.06 million, Tuesday at 2.30 million, and Wednesday's uptick to 2.74 million, aligning trader consensus around a 17-18 million weekly total per historical patterns of Thursday moderation, Friday peaks near 2.9 million, and Saturday surges. The razor-thin split between 17.5-18 million (49.5%) and 17-17.5 million (49%) stems from uncertainty over unreleased April 24-26 volumes amid reports of year-over-year passenger declines and post-spring break normalization. Separation could arise from TSA's daily updates by Friday, weather impacts on weekend travel, or economic signals affecting air traffic throughput.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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