Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Jordan Bardella at 24.5% and Édouard Philippe at 20.5% as frontrunners for the 2027 French presidential election, reflecting early polls where Bardella leads amid National Rally momentum and Philippe gains as a centrist-right alternative. The race stays tight due to Marine Le Pen's recent embezzlement conviction and pending appeal, which could bar her candidacy and cap her 9.5% odds, alongside a fragmented parliament from 2024 snap elections leaving no dominant bloc. Left-wing figures like Jean-Luc Mélenchon match Le Pen at 9.5% but face internal divisions. Separation could arise from Le Pen's appeal outcome by mid-2025, party primaries, sustained polling amid economic pressures, or President Macron's successor endorsement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoPróximas elecciones presidenciales francesas
Próximas elecciones presidenciales francesas
Jordan Bardella 25%
Édouard Philippe 21%
Marine Le Pen 10%
Título del ítem del grupo: Jean-Luc Mélenchon 10%
$18,073,305 Vol.
$18,073,305 Vol.

Jordan Bardella
25%

Édouard Philippe
21%

Marine Le Pen
10%

Título del ítem del grupo: Jean-Luc Mélenchon
10%

Dominique de Villepin
5%

Título del ítem de grupo: Raphaël Glucksmann
4%

Título del elemento de grupo: Bruno Retailleau
4%

François Hollande
4%

Gabriel Attal
3%

Sarah Knafo
3%

Título del ítem del grupo: Jean Castex
2%

David Lisnard
2%

Sébastien Lecornu
2%

Gérald Darmanin
1%

Éric Zemmour
1%

Juan Branco
1%

Marine Tondelier
1%

Bernard Cazeneuve
1%

François Ruffin
1%

Laurent Wauquiez
<1%

Manuel Bompard
<1%

François Asselineau
<1%

Xavier Bertrand
<1%

Olivier Faure
<1%

François Bayrou
<1%

Fabien Roussel
<1%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
<1%

Valérie Pécresse
<1%

Élisabeth Borne
<1%

Carole Delga
<1%

Ségolène Royal
<1%

Clémentine Autain
<1%

Michel Barnier
<1%

Yaël Braun-Pivet
<1%

Mathilde Panot
<1%

Clémence Guetté
<1%
Jordan Bardella 25%
Édouard Philippe 21%
Marine Le Pen 10%
Título del ítem del grupo: Jean-Luc Mélenchon 10%
$18,073,305 Vol.
$18,073,305 Vol.

Jordan Bardella
25%

Édouard Philippe
21%

Marine Le Pen
10%

Título del ítem del grupo: Jean-Luc Mélenchon
10%

Dominique de Villepin
5%

Título del ítem de grupo: Raphaël Glucksmann
4%

Título del elemento de grupo: Bruno Retailleau
4%

François Hollande
4%

Gabriel Attal
3%

Sarah Knafo
3%

Título del ítem del grupo: Jean Castex
2%

David Lisnard
2%

Sébastien Lecornu
2%

Gérald Darmanin
1%

Éric Zemmour
1%

Juan Branco
1%

Marine Tondelier
1%

Bernard Cazeneuve
1%

François Ruffin
1%

Laurent Wauquiez
<1%

Manuel Bompard
<1%

François Asselineau
<1%

Xavier Bertrand
<1%

Olivier Faure
<1%

François Bayrou
<1%

Fabien Roussel
<1%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
<1%

Valérie Pécresse
<1%

Élisabeth Borne
<1%

Carole Delga
<1%

Ségolène Royal
<1%

Clémentine Autain
<1%

Michel Barnier
<1%

Yaël Braun-Pivet
<1%

Mathilde Panot
<1%

Clémence Guetté
<1%
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Mercado abierto: Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Jordan Bardella at 24.5% and Édouard Philippe at 20.5% as frontrunners for the 2027 French presidential election, reflecting early polls where Bardella leads amid National Rally momentum and Philippe gains as a centrist-right alternative. The race stays tight due to Marine Le Pen's recent embezzlement conviction and pending appeal, which could bar her candidacy and cap her 9.5% odds, alongside a fragmented parliament from 2024 snap elections leaving no dominant bloc. Left-wing figures like Jean-Luc Mélenchon match Le Pen at 9.5% but face internal divisions. Separation could arise from Le Pen's appeal outcome by mid-2025, party primaries, sustained polling amid economic pressures, or President Macron's successor endorsement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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