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Elecciones·Elecciones Globales

Próximas elecciones presidenciales francesas

Market icon
Elecciones·Elecciones Globales

Próximas elecciones presidenciales francesas

Édouard Philippe 24%

Jordan Bardella 23%

Título del ítem del grupo: Jean-Luc Mélenchon 7%

Marine Le Pen 6%

Polymarket

$44,668,142 Vol.

Édouard Philippe 24%

Jordan Bardella 23%

Título del ítem del grupo: Jean-Luc Mélenchon 7%

Marine Le Pen 6%

Polymarket

$44,668,142 Vol.

¿Ganará Édouard Philippe las elecciones presidenciales de Francia de 2027? icon

Édouard Philippe

$533,392 Vol.

24%

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? icon

Jordan Bardella

$760,480 Vol.

23%

¿Ganará Jean-Luc Mélenchon la elección presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$351,077 Vol.

7%

¿Ganará Marine Le Pen las elecciones presidenciales francesas de 2027? icon

Marine Le Pen

$400,145 Vol.

6%

¿Ganará Dominique de Villepin las elecciones presidenciales francesas de 2027? icon

Dominique de Villepin

$995,037 Vol.

5%

¿Ganará David Lisnard las elecciones presidenciales francesas de 2027? icon

David Lisnard

$913,160 Vol.

4%

¿Gabriel Attal ganará las elecciones presidenciales francesas de 2027? icon

Gabriel Attal

$1,027,741 Vol.

3%

¿Ganará François Hollande la elección presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

François Hollande

$753,337 Vol.

3%

¿Ganará Bruno Retailleau las elecciones presidenciales francesas de 2027? icon

Título del elemento de grupo: Bruno Retailleau

$1,129,275 Vol.

3%

¿Ganará Jean Castex la elección presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Jean Castex

$612,520 Vol.

2%

¿Ganará Raphaël Glucksmann las elecciones presidenciales francesas de 2027? icon

Título del ítem de grupo: Raphaël Glucksmann

$616,856 Vol.

2%

¿Ganará Sarah Knafo la elección presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Sarah Knafo

$1,098,777 Vol.

2%

¿Ganarà Sébastien Lecornu las elecciones presidenciales francesas de 2027? icon

Sébastien Lecornu

$768,144 Vol.

1%

¿Ganará Gérald Darmanin la elección presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Gérald Darmanin

$531,519 Vol.

1%

¿Ganará Bernard Cazeneuve las elecciones presidenciales francesas de 2027? icon

Bernard Cazeneuve

$1,073,258 Vol.

1%

¿Ganará Fabien Roussel las elecciones presidenciales de Francia de 2027? icon

Fabien Roussel

$1,709,048 Vol.

1%

¿Ganará Éric Zemmour las elecciones presidenciales francesas de 2027? icon

Éric Zemmour

$544,266 Vol.

1%

¿Ganará François Ruffin la elección presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

François Ruffin

$543,148 Vol.

1%

¿Ganará Valérie Pécresse la elección presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Valérie Pécresse

$1,895,126 Vol.

1%

¿Ganará Laurent Wauquiez las elecciones presidenciales francesas de 2027? icon

Laurent Wauquiez

$995,210 Vol.

1%

¿Ganará François Asselineau las elecciones presidenciales francesas de 2027? icon

François Asselineau

$2,259,496 Vol.

1%

¿Ganará Nicolas Dupont-Aignan las elecciones presidenciales francesas de 2027? icon

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$2,090,712 Vol.

1%

¿Ganará Élisabeth Borne las elecciones presidenciales francesas de 2027? icon

Élisabeth Borne

$2,163,448 Vol.

1%

¿Ganará Carole Delga la elección presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Carole Delga

$1,753,317 Vol.

1%

¿Ganará Manuel Bompard las elecciones presidenciales francesas de 2027? icon

Manuel Bompard

$1,522,202 Vol.

1%

¿Ganará Juan Branco las elecciones presidenciales francesas de 2027? icon

Juan Branco

$429,273 Vol.

1%

¿Ganará Xavier Bertrand las elecciones presidenciales francesas de 2027? icon

Xavier Bertrand

$1,317,885 Vol.

1%

¿Ganará Marine Tondelier las elecciones presidenciales francesas de 2027? icon

Marine Tondelier

$918,466 Vol.

1%

¿Ganará Olivier Faure las elecciones presidenciales francesas de 2027? icon

Olivier Faure

$1,441,931 Vol.

1%

¿Ganará Ségolène Royal las elecciones presidenciales francesas de 2027? icon

Ségolène Royal

$1,683,839 Vol.

1%

¿Ganará Clémentine Autain las elecciones presidenciales de Francia en 2027? icon

Clémentine Autain

$2,198,993 Vol.

1%

¿Ganará Michel Barnier la elección presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Michel Barnier

$1,734,639 Vol.

1%

¿Ganará François Bayrou la elección presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

François Bayrou

$2,285,984 Vol.

1%

¿Ganará Yaël Braun-Pivet las elecciones presidenciales francesas de 2027? icon

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$1,683,967 Vol.

1%

¿Ganará Mathilde Panot las elecciones presidenciales francesas de 2027? icon

Mathilde Panot

$1,926,243 Vol.

1%

¿Ganará Clémence Guetté las elecciones presidenciales francesas de 2027? icon

Clémence Guetté

$2,009,143 Vol.

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices former Prime Minister Édouard Philippe (23.5%) marginally ahead of Rassemblement National leader Jordan Bardella (22.5%) for the 2027 French presidential election, reflecting a fragmented field after March 2026 municipal elections where RN underperformed expectations, securing limited gains while Philippe won reelection as Le Havre mayor. Recent polls, such as Odoxa (March 26) and Ifop, show Bardella leading first-round voting intentions at 34-37% versus Philippe's 16-21%, yet Philippe prevails in most simulated runoffs, bolstering his electability among centrists and moderates wary of far-right dominance. This tight contest persists amid ongoing political instability from the 2024 hung parliament; separation could arise from formal candidacies, party endorsements, economic indicators, or scandals ahead of the April 2027 first round.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$44,668,142
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2027
Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices former Prime Minister Édouard Philippe (23.5%) marginally ahead of Rassemblement National leader Jordan Bardella (22.5%) for the 2027 French presidential election, reflecting a fragmented field after March 2026 municipal elections where RN underperformed expectations, securing limited gains while Philippe won reelection as Le Havre mayor. Recent polls, such as Odoxa (March 26) and Ifop, show Bardella leading first-round voting intentions at 34-37% versus Philippe's 16-21%, yet Philippe prevails in most simulated runoffs, bolstering his electability among centrists and moderates wary of far-right dominance. This tight contest persists amid ongoing political instability from the 2024 hung parliament; separation could arise from formal candidacies, party endorsements, economic indicators, or scandals ahead of the April 2027 first round.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$44,668,142
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2027
Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Próximas elecciones presidenciales francesas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 36 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Édouard Philippe" con 24%, seguido de "Jordan Bardella" con 23%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 24¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Próximas elecciones presidenciales francesas" ha generado $44.7 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 13, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Próximas elecciones presidenciales francesas", explora los 36 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Próximas elecciones presidenciales francesas" es "Édouard Philippe" con 24%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Jordan Bardella" con 23%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Próximas elecciones presidenciales francesas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.