Xavier Becerra holds the lead in recent California polling for the June 2 top-two primary, benefiting from consolidation of Democratic support after Eric Swalwell withdrew from the race. This shift has positioned the former attorney general and U.S. health secretary ahead of Tom Steyer and Republican contenders Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco, whose votes remain divided despite President Trump's endorsement of Hilton. The final debate last week drew attacks on Becerra's record and consultants yet left him atop the field in new Emerson College and other surveys. Traders appear to weigh these trends, the open primary format that advances the top two finishers regardless of party, and the narrow window before ballots close when assessing implied probabilities for first place.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoXavier Becerra 47%
Tom Steyer 25%
Steve Hilton 23%
Chad Bianco 2.9%
$29,054 Vol.
$29,054 Vol.
Xavier Becerra
47%
Tom Steyer
25%
Steve Hilton
23%
Chad Bianco
3%
Matt Mahan
2%
Katie Porter
2%
Nicki Minaj
2%
Raji Rab
1%
Daniel Mercuri
1%
Derek Grasty
<1%
Thunder Parley
<1%
Elaine Culotti
<1%
Tony Thurmond
<1%
Betty Yee
<1%
Carolina Buhler
<1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
<1%
Leo Zacky
<1%
Ramsey Robinson
<1%
Xavier Becerra 47%
Tom Steyer 25%
Steve Hilton 23%
Chad Bianco 2.9%
$29,054 Vol.
$29,054 Vol.
Xavier Becerra
47%
Tom Steyer
25%
Steve Hilton
23%
Chad Bianco
3%
Matt Mahan
2%
Katie Porter
2%
Nicki Minaj
2%
Raji Rab
1%
Daniel Mercuri
1%
Derek Grasty
<1%
Thunder Parley
<1%
Elaine Culotti
<1%
Tony Thurmond
<1%
Betty Yee
<1%
Carolina Buhler
<1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
<1%
Leo Zacky
<1%
Ramsey Robinson
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Xavier Becerra holds the lead in recent California polling for the June 2 top-two primary, benefiting from consolidation of Democratic support after Eric Swalwell withdrew from the race. This shift has positioned the former attorney general and U.S. health secretary ahead of Tom Steyer and Republican contenders Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco, whose votes remain divided despite President Trump's endorsement of Hilton. The final debate last week drew attacks on Becerra's record and consultants yet left him atop the field in new Emerson College and other surveys. Traders appear to weigh these trends, the open primary format that advances the top two finishers regardless of party, and the narrow window before ballots close when assessing implied probabilities for first place.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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