Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party lawmaker Choo Mi-ae at 74.8% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election, driven by her frontrunner status in the party's ongoing primary race against incumbent Governor Kim Dong-yeon (14.5%) and Rep. Han Jun-ho. The preliminary primary on March 22 narrowed the field to these three, with Choo benefiting from six-term legislative experience, high name recognition, and a reported 10% incumbency bonus sparking debate. Yesterday's first joint primary debate saw Kim and Han challenge Choo on policy execution and reform credentials, yet odds held firm amid polls showing her competitive edge in general suitability. Opposition People Power Party's candidate shortage, with figures like Yoo Seong-min eyed at low odds, underscores Gyeonggi's Democratic leanings and bolsters the DP nominee's path to victory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado2026 Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de la provincia de Gyeonggi
2026 Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de la provincia de Gyeonggi
Choo Mi-ae 74.8%
Kim Dong-yeon 15%
Yoo Seong-min 5.5%
Han Jun-ho 2.9%
$2,710,424 Vol.
$2,710,424 Vol.
Choo Mi-ae
75%
Kim Dong-yeon
15%
Yoo Seong-min
5%
Han Jun-ho
3%
Won Hee-ryong
<1%
Yeom Tae-yeong
<1%
Lee Jun-seok
<1%
Na Kyung-won
<1%
Lee Un-ju
<1%
Kim Moon-soo
<1%
Ahn Cheol-soo
<1%
Han Dong-hoon
<1%
Kim Byeong-ju
<1%
Kim Eun-hye
<1%
Choo Mi-ae 74.8%
Kim Dong-yeon 15%
Yoo Seong-min 5.5%
Han Jun-ho 2.9%
$2,710,424 Vol.
$2,710,424 Vol.
Choo Mi-ae
75%
Kim Dong-yeon
15%
Yoo Seong-min
5%
Han Jun-ho
3%
Won Hee-ryong
<1%
Yeom Tae-yeong
<1%
Lee Jun-seok
<1%
Na Kyung-won
<1%
Lee Un-ju
<1%
Kim Moon-soo
<1%
Ahn Cheol-soo
<1%
Han Dong-hoon
<1%
Kim Byeong-ju
<1%
Kim Eun-hye
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Mercado abierto: Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party lawmaker Choo Mi-ae at 74.8% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election, driven by her frontrunner status in the party's ongoing primary race against incumbent Governor Kim Dong-yeon (14.5%) and Rep. Han Jun-ho. The preliminary primary on March 22 narrowed the field to these three, with Choo benefiting from six-term legislative experience, high name recognition, and a reported 10% incumbency bonus sparking debate. Yesterday's first joint primary debate saw Kim and Han challenge Choo on policy execution and reform credentials, yet odds held firm amid polls showing her competitive edge in general suitability. Opposition People Power Party's candidate shortage, with figures like Yoo Seong-min eyed at low odds, underscores Gyeonggi's Democratic leanings and bolsters the DP nominee's path to victory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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