In the Democratic Party of Korea's primary for the June 3, 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election, trader consensus heavily favors six-term lawmaker Choo Mi-ae at 74.8% implied probability to secure the nomination and win, driven by her March 23 resignation as Legislation and Judiciary Committee chair, high name recognition from her Justice Minister tenure, and a 10% gender bonus in party voting. Incumbent Governor Kim Dong-yeon trails at 14.5% amid past tensions with party leadership under President Lee Jae-myung, despite recent pledges of support and governance record; the March 22 primary narrowed contenders to Choo, Kim, and Han Jun-ho (2.9%). The first joint debate on March 31 highlighted policy clashes. Opposition People Power Party struggles with candidate recruitment, including failed overtures to Yoo Seung-min (7.0%), limiting conservative viability in the Democratic-leaning province.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado2026 Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de la provincia de Gyeonggi
2026 Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de la provincia de Gyeonggi
Choo Mi-ae 74.8%
Kim Dong-yeon 15%
Yoo Seong-min 4.5%
Han Jun-ho 2.9%
$2,718,501 Vol.
$2,718,501 Vol.
Choo Mi-ae
75%
Kim Dong-yeon
15%
Yoo Seong-min
5%
Han Jun-ho
3%
Won Hee-ryong
<1%
Yeom Tae-yeong
<1%
Lee Jun-seok
<1%
Na Kyung-won
<1%
Lee Un-ju
<1%
Kim Moon-soo
<1%
Ahn Cheol-soo
<1%
Han Dong-hoon
<1%
Kim Byeong-ju
<1%
Kim Eun-hye
<1%
Choo Mi-ae 74.8%
Kim Dong-yeon 15%
Yoo Seong-min 4.5%
Han Jun-ho 2.9%
$2,718,501 Vol.
$2,718,501 Vol.
Choo Mi-ae
75%
Kim Dong-yeon
15%
Yoo Seong-min
5%
Han Jun-ho
3%
Won Hee-ryong
<1%
Yeom Tae-yeong
<1%
Lee Jun-seok
<1%
Na Kyung-won
<1%
Lee Un-ju
<1%
Kim Moon-soo
<1%
Ahn Cheol-soo
<1%
Han Dong-hoon
<1%
Kim Byeong-ju
<1%
Kim Eun-hye
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Mercado abierto: Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the Democratic Party of Korea's primary for the June 3, 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election, trader consensus heavily favors six-term lawmaker Choo Mi-ae at 74.8% implied probability to secure the nomination and win, driven by her March 23 resignation as Legislation and Judiciary Committee chair, high name recognition from her Justice Minister tenure, and a 10% gender bonus in party voting. Incumbent Governor Kim Dong-yeon trails at 14.5% amid past tensions with party leadership under President Lee Jae-myung, despite recent pledges of support and governance record; the March 22 primary narrowed contenders to Choo, Kim, and Han Jun-ho (2.9%). The first joint debate on March 31 highlighted policy clashes. Opposition People Power Party struggles with candidate recruitment, including failed overtures to Yoo Seung-min (7.0%), limiting conservative viability in the Democratic-leaning province.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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