Trader consensus prices an 88.5% implied probability that President Trump serves beyond 2026, reflecting scant traction for Democratic pushes to invoke the 25th Amendment or pursue impeachment despite April initiatives like Rep. Jamie Raskin's bill proposing a bipartisan commission led by VP JD Vance to assess presidential fitness. Those calls, spurred by Trump's Iran threats, an AI-generated image depicting himself as Jesus, and health rumors including a skipped annual physical, were rebuffed by the White House as partisan speculation, with no support from Vance or Cabinet members required for amendment activation. Republican congressional majorities, echoing Trump's prior impeachments, preclude conviction, while recent medical expert claims of mental unfitness lack institutional momentum ahead of November 2026 midterms.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Trump saldrá como presidente antes de 2027?
¿Trump saldrá como presidente antes de 2027?
Sí
$8,257,044 Vol.
$8,257,044 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$8,257,044 Vol.
$8,257,044 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices an 88.5% implied probability that President Trump serves beyond 2026, reflecting scant traction for Democratic pushes to invoke the 25th Amendment or pursue impeachment despite April initiatives like Rep. Jamie Raskin's bill proposing a bipartisan commission led by VP JD Vance to assess presidential fitness. Those calls, spurred by Trump's Iran threats, an AI-generated image depicting himself as Jesus, and health rumors including a skipped annual physical, were rebuffed by the White House as partisan speculation, with no support from Vance or Cabinet members required for amendment activation. Republican congressional majorities, echoing Trump's prior impeachments, preclude conviction, while recent medical expert claims of mental unfitness lack institutional momentum ahead of November 2026 midterms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volumen
$8,257,044Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices an 88.5% implied probability that President Trump serves beyond 2026, reflecting scant traction for Democratic pushes to invoke the 25th Amendment or pursue impeachment despite April initiatives like Rep. Jamie Raskin's bill proposing a bipartisan commission led by VP JD Vance to assess presidential fitness. Those calls, spurred by Trump's Iran threats, an AI-generated image depicting himself as Jesus, and health rumors including a skipped annual physical, were rebuffed by the White House as partisan speculation, with no support from Vance or Cabinet members required for amendment activation. Republican congressional majorities, echoing Trump's prior impeachments, preclude conviction, while recent medical expert claims of mental unfitness lack institutional momentum ahead of November 2026 midterms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$8,257,044Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices an 88.5% implied probability that President Trump serves beyond 2026, reflecting scant traction for Democratic pushes to invoke the 25th Amendment or pursue impeachment despite April initiatives like Rep. Jamie Raskin's bill proposing a bipartisan commission led by VP JD Vance to assess presidential fitness. Those calls, spurred by Trump's Iran threats, an AI-generated image depicting himself as Jesus, and health rumors including a skipped annual physical, were rebuffed by the White House as partisan speculation, with no support from Vance or Cabinet members required for amendment activation. Republican congressional majorities, echoing Trump's prior impeachments, preclude conviction, while recent medical expert claims of mental unfitness lack institutional momentum ahead of November 2026 midterms.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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