President Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025, following his 2024 electoral victory, has entrenched Republican control of Congress with slim majorities in both chambers, minimizing impeachment threats under the constitutional two-thirds Senate threshold. Recent cabinet confirmations, including Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and Attorney General Pam Bondi despite initial holds, underscore GOP unity and procedural momentum. No verified health concerns, 25th Amendment invocations, or special counsel indictments have surfaced in the past month to disrupt his term ending January 2029. Traders' 82% "No" consensus reflects the rarity of mid-term presidential removal—last seen with Nixon's 1974 resignation—and focus shifts to 2026 midterm dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Trump saldrá como presidente antes de 2027?
¿Trump saldrá como presidente antes de 2027?
Sí
$5,112,247 Vol.
$5,112,247 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Sí
$5,112,247 Vol.
$5,112,247 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025, following his 2024 electoral victory, has entrenched Republican control of Congress with slim majorities in both chambers, minimizing impeachment threats under the constitutional two-thirds Senate threshold. Recent cabinet confirmations, including Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and Attorney General Pam Bondi despite initial holds, underscore GOP unity and procedural momentum. No verified health concerns, 25th Amendment invocations, or special counsel indictments have surfaced in the past month to disrupt his term ending January 2029. Traders' 82% "No" consensus reflects the rarity of mid-term presidential removal—last seen with Nixon's 1974 resignation—and focus shifts to 2026 midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volumen
$5,112,247Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025, following his 2024 electoral victory, has entrenched Republican control of Congress with slim majorities in both chambers, minimizing impeachment threats under the constitutional two-thirds Senate threshold. Recent cabinet confirmations, including Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and Attorney General Pam Bondi despite initial holds, underscore GOP unity and procedural momentum. No verified health concerns, 25th Amendment invocations, or special counsel indictments have surfaced in the past month to disrupt his term ending January 2029. Traders' 82% "No" consensus reflects the rarity of mid-term presidential removal—last seen with Nixon's 1974 resignation—and focus shifts to 2026 midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$5,112,247Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025, following his 2024 electoral victory, has entrenched Republican control of Congress with slim majorities in both chambers, minimizing impeachment threats under the constitutional two-thirds Senate threshold. Recent cabinet confirmations, including Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and Attorney General Pam Bondi despite initial holds, underscore GOP unity and procedural momentum. No verified health concerns, 25th Amendment invocations, or special counsel indictments have surfaced in the past month to disrupt his term ending January 2029. Traders' 82% "No" consensus reflects the rarity of mid-term presidential removal—last seen with Nixon's 1974 resignation—and focus shifts to 2026 midterm dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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