Trader consensus favors 3,500-4,000 US flight delays on March 26 at 56.5%, edging out 4,000-4,500 at 49%, amid uncertainty from volatile spring weather patterns across major hubs. March 25 logged over 4,200 delays due to snow squalls and high winds at Chicago O'Hare and Denver International, continuing a week-long average near 4,000 driven by Midwest and Northeast storms plus elevated spring break volumes. Persistent FAA air traffic controller staffing shortages amplify disruptions, while forecasts from NOAA indicate potential for intensifying thunderstorms in the Southeast. This keeps the race tight; intraday shifts in weather radar or FAA ground stop announcements could widen the gap between top ranges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNumber of US Flights Delayed March 26?
Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?
4,000-4,500 49%
3,000-3,500 31%
5,000-5,500 12%
<3,000 1%
$1,167 Vol.
$1,167 Vol.
<3,000
11%
3,000-3,500
31%
3,500-4,000
56%
4,000-4,500
49%
4,500-5,000
8%
5,000-5,500
12%
5,500-6,000
28%
>6,000
24%
4,000-4,500 49%
3,000-3,500 31%
5,000-5,500 12%
<3,000 1%
$1,167 Vol.
$1,167 Vol.
<3,000
11%
3,000-3,500
31%
3,500-4,000
56%
4,000-4,500
49%
4,500-5,000
8%
5,000-5,500
12%
5,500-6,000
28%
>6,000
24%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 3,500-4,000 US flight delays on March 26 at 56.5%, edging out 4,000-4,500 at 49%, amid uncertainty from volatile spring weather patterns across major hubs. March 25 logged over 4,200 delays due to snow squalls and high winds at Chicago O'Hare and Denver International, continuing a week-long average near 4,000 driven by Midwest and Northeast storms plus elevated spring break volumes. Persistent FAA air traffic controller staffing shortages amplify disruptions, while forecasts from NOAA indicate potential for intensifying thunderstorms in the Southeast. This keeps the race tight; intraday shifts in weather radar or FAA ground stop announcements could widen the gap between top ranges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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