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Política·Seguridad Nacional

¿Cuándo terminará el cierre del DHS?

Market icon
Política·Seguridad Nacional

¿Cuándo terminará el cierre del DHS?

Ended: mar 31

abr 30

Ended: mar 31

abr 30

Después del 31 de marzo 100.0%

Antes del 16 de febrero <1%

16-19 de febrero <1%

20-23 de febrero <1%

Polymarket

$1,667,440 Vol.

Después del 31 de marzo 100.0%

Antes del 16 de febrero <1%

16-19 de febrero <1%

20-23 de febrero <1%

Polymarket

$1,667,440 Vol.

Antes del 16 de febrero

$13,653 Vol.

No

16-19 de febrero

$26,041 Vol.

No

20-23 de febrero

$65,698 Vol.

No

24-27 de febrero

$70,334 Vol.

No

28 de febrero - 3 de marzo

$59,864 Vol.

No

4-7 de marzo

$0 Vol.

No

8-11 de marzo

$0 Vol.

No

12-15 de marzo

$0 Vol.

No

16-19 de marzo

$0 Vol.

No

20-23 de marzo

$0 Vol.

No

24-27 de marzo

$192,078 Vol.

No

28-31 de marzo

$111,354 Vol.

No

Después del 31 de marzo

$1,128,420 Vol.

Sí

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, triggered by congressional disputes over immigration enforcement funding for ICE and CBP, extended beyond March 31 after the Senate's March 27 bill—excluding those operations—failed in the House, and a rival House continuing resolution stalled in the Senate. With both chambers in recess until April 13-14, traders reflect near-unanimous consensus (100%) that resolution falls after March 31, driven by repeated blocked proposals and no floor votes in the final days. President Trump's executive order paying TSA workers mitigated some airport chaos but did not end the lapse. Realistic challenges include a surprise bipartisan deal upon reconvening or further executive action, though historical shutdown patterns suggest prolonged stalemate absent compromise on reforms.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,667,440
Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 15, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, triggered by congressional disputes over immigration enforcement funding for ICE and CBP, extended beyond March 31 after the Senate's March 27 bill—excluding those operations—failed in the House, and a rival House continuing resolution stalled in the Senate. With both chambers in recess until April 13-14, traders reflect near-unanimous consensus (100%) that resolution falls after March 31, driven by repeated blocked proposals and no floor votes in the final days. President Trump's executive order paying TSA workers mitigated some airport chaos but did not end the lapse. Realistic challenges include a surprise bipartisan deal upon reconvening or further executive action, though historical shutdown patterns suggest prolonged stalemate absent compromise on reforms.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,667,440
Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 15, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Cuándo terminará el cierre del DHS?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Después del 31 de marzo" con 100%, seguido de "Antes del 16 de febrero" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Cuándo terminará el cierre del DHS?" ha generado $1.7 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 15, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Cuándo terminará el cierre del DHS?", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Cuándo terminará el cierre del DHS?" es "Después del 31 de marzo" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Antes del 16 de febrero" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Cuándo terminará el cierre del DHS?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.