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Política·Trump

¿Hierba reprogramada por...?

Market icon
Política·Trump

¿Hierba reprogramada por...?

Mar 31

Mar 31

$272,534 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$272,534 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

31 de marzo

$261,728 Vol.

1%

Market icon

30 de junio

$10,807 Vol.

31%

Market icon

31 de diciembre

$0 Vol.

43%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if marijuana is rescheduled down from I to any other level (or is unscheduled completely) by the Drug Enforcement Agency of the United States (https://www.dea.gov/drug-information/drug-scheduling), by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if marijuana is rescheduled down from I to any other level (or is unscheduled completely) by the Drug Enforcement Agency of the United States (https://www.dea.gov/drug-information/drug-scheduling), by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if marijuana is rescheduled down from I to any other level (or is unscheduled completely) by the Drug Enforcement Agency of the United States (https://www.dea.gov/drug-information/drug-scheduling), by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus favors cannabis rescheduling by December 31, 2026, at 43% implied probability, with June 30 next at 37% and March 31 near-certain no at 1%, reflecting ongoing DEA rulemaking delays despite President Trump's December 2025 executive order directing Attorney General Pam Bondi and DEA Administrator Terry Cole to expedite the shift from Schedule I to Schedule III. A March 27 letter from Rep. Steve Cohen pressed DOJ and DEA for a timeline update, underscoring congressional impatience after canceled administrative hearings and procedural stalls since the 2024 proposed rule. Traders weigh potential Section 280E tax relief and banking access against historical agency foot-dragging, with upcoming Federal Register publication or DEA responses as key catalysts before year-end.

Trader consensus favors cannabis rescheduling by December 31, 2026, at 43% implied probability, with June 30 next at 37% and March 31 near-certain no at 1%, reflecting ongoing DEA rulemaking delays despite President Trump's December 2025 executive order directing Attorney General Pam Bondi and DEA Administrator Terry Cole to expedite the shift from Schedule I to Schedule III. A March 27 letter from Rep. Steve Cohen pressed DOJ and DEA for a timeline update, underscoring congressional impatience after canceled administrative hearings and procedural stalls since the 2024 proposed rule. Traders weigh potential Section 280E tax relief and banking access against historical agency foot-dragging, with upcoming Federal Register publication or DEA responses as key catalysts before year-end.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if marijuana is rescheduled down from I to any other level (or is unscheduled completely) by the Drug Enforcement Agency of the United States (https://www.dea.gov/drug-information/drug-scheduling), by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if marijuana is rescheduled down from I to any other level (or is unscheduled completely) by the Drug Enforcement Agency of the United States (https://www.dea.gov/drug-information/drug-scheduling), by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if marijuana is rescheduled down from I to any other level (or is unscheduled completely) by the Drug Enforcement Agency of the United States (https://www.dea.gov/drug-information/drug-scheduling), by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus favors cannabis rescheduling by December 31, 2026, at 43% implied probability, with June 30 next at 37% and March 31 near-certain no at 1%, reflecting ongoing DEA rulemaking delays despite President Trump's December 2025 executive order directing Attorney General Pam Bondi and DEA Administrator Terry Cole to expedite the shift from Schedule I to Schedule III. A March 27 letter from Rep. Steve Cohen pressed DOJ and DEA for a timeline update, underscoring congressional impatience after canceled administrative hearings and procedural stalls since the 2024 proposed rule. Traders weigh potential Section 280E tax relief and banking access against historical agency foot-dragging, with upcoming Federal Register publication or DEA responses as key catalysts before year-end.

Trader consensus favors cannabis rescheduling by December 31, 2026, at 43% implied probability, with June 30 next at 37% and March 31 near-certain no at 1%, reflecting ongoing DEA rulemaking delays despite President Trump's December 2025 executive order directing Attorney General Pam Bondi and DEA Administrator Terry Cole to expedite the shift from Schedule I to Schedule III. A March 27 letter from Rep. Steve Cohen pressed DOJ and DEA for a timeline update, underscoring congressional impatience after canceled administrative hearings and procedural stalls since the 2024 proposed rule. Traders weigh potential Section 280E tax relief and banking access against historical agency foot-dragging, with upcoming Federal Register publication or DEA responses as key catalysts before year-end.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Hierba reprogramada por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre" con 43%, seguido de "30 de junio" con 31%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 43¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 43% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Hierba reprogramada por...?" ha generado $272.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 5, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Hierba reprogramada por...?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Hierba reprogramada por...?" es "31 de diciembre" con 43%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 43% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "30 de junio" con 31%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Hierba reprogramada por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.