Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 65-89 tweets (36.5% implied probability) and 40-64 (30.5%) for Elon Musk's X posts over April 2-4, reflecting his recent moderated pace of about 30 posts per day in late March, down from mid-month averages near 44. Key swings stem from daily volatility—spiking to 52 on March 29-30 after a low of 11 on March 28-29—tied to news cycles around Tesla updates, SpaceX progress, and political commentary that can ignite posting frenzies. Weekend patterns often see lighter activity, but breaking developments like earnings previews or viral moments could push toward 90+, while quiet periods favor the lower bin; with the period imminent, traders watch for catalysts amid Elon's unpredictable, high-engagement style.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 2 al 4 de abril de 2026?
¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 2 al 4 de abril de 2026?
65-89 37%
40-64 31%
90-114 21%
115-139 7%
NUEVO
$68,912 Vol.
NUEVO
$68,912 Vol.
4 abr 2026
<40
6%
40-64
31%
65-89
37%
90-114
21%
115-139
7%
140-164
2%
165-189
1%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 37%
40-64 31%
90-114 21%
115-139 7%
NUEVO
$68,912 Vol.
NUEVO
$68,912 Vol.
4 abr 2026
<40
$8,813 Vol.
6%
40-64
$3,797 Vol.
31%
65-89
$3,741 Vol.
37%
90-114
$3,769 Vol.
21%
115-139
$4,130 Vol.
7%
140-164
$6,711 Vol.
2%
165-189
$8,686 Vol.
1%
190-214
$7,188 Vol.
1%
215-239
$14,341 Vol.
<1%
240+
$7,737 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 65-89 tweets (36.5% implied probability) and 40-64 (30.5%) for Elon Musk's X posts over April 2-4, reflecting his recent moderated pace of about 30 posts per day in late March, down from mid-month averages near 44. Key swings stem from daily volatility—spiking to 52 on March 29-30 after a low of 11 on March 28-29—tied to news cycles around Tesla updates, SpaceX progress, and political commentary that can ignite posting frenzies. Weekend patterns often see lighter activity, but breaking developments like earnings previews or viral moments could push toward 90+, while quiet periods favor the lower bin; with the period imminent, traders watch for catalysts amid Elon's unpredictable, high-engagement style.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volumen
$68,912Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 65-89 tweets (36.5% implied probability) and 40-64 (30.5%) for Elon Musk's X posts over April 2-4, reflecting his recent moderated pace of about 30 posts per day in late March, down from mid-month averages near 44. Key swings stem from daily volatility—spiking to 52 on March 29-30 after a low of 11 on March 28-29—tied to news cycles around Tesla updates, SpaceX progress, and political commentary that can ignite posting frenzies. Weekend patterns often see lighter activity, but breaking developments like earnings previews or viral moments could push toward 90+, while quiet periods favor the lower bin; with the period imminent, traders watch for catalysts amid Elon's unpredictable, high-engagement style.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$68,912Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 65-89 tweets (36.5% implied probability) and 40-64 (30.5%) for Elon Musk's X posts over April 2-4, reflecting his recent moderated pace of about 30 posts per day in late March, down from mid-month averages near 44. Key swings stem from daily volatility—spiking to 52 on March 29-30 after a low of 11 on March 28-29—tied to news cycles around Tesla updates, SpaceX progress, and political commentary that can ignite posting frenzies. Weekend patterns often see lighter activity, but breaking developments like earnings previews or viral moments could push toward 90+, while quiet periods favor the lower bin; with the period imminent, traders watch for catalysts amid Elon's unpredictable, high-engagement style.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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